Newcastle vs Everton Predictions

Newcastle vs Everton predictions for this Premier League tie in the north east. Everton aims to break their winless streak at St James’ Park against a rejuvenated Newcastle United in Tuesday’s Premier League clash. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.


Premier League | Gameweek 31 – Apr 2, 2024 at 7.30pm UK at St. James’ Park

Newcastle vs Everton Predictions

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A High-Stakes Encounter: Newcastle’s Ascent Meets Everton’s Desperation

Key Stats

– Newcastle’s last six home matches have frequently featured both teams scoring, with over 2.5 goals scored.

– Everton’s 12-game winless run in the Premier League includes seven losses, highlighting their acute need for a turnaround.

– The last eleven encounters between these sides have seen both teams score in seven, indicating a trend that might continue.

As Newcastle United and Everton prepare to face off at St James’ Park, the match presents a vivid tableau of contrasting ambitions and dire needs. Newcastle, buoyed by a sensational comeback victory, seeks to consolidate their European aspirations. In contrast, Everton, ensnared in a winless quagmire, is desperate to avert the spectre of relegation. This fixture, steeped in historical significance and current urgency, promises a clash where strategy, resolve, and raw emotion collide.

The Newcastle United Resurgence

Eddie Howe’s Newcastle have emerged as a side capable of both brilliance and brittleness. Their recent victory, a testament to resilience and attacking flair, underscored their lethal forward line and a never-say-die attitude. However, the defensive fragility exposed by conceding three goals cannot be overlooked. Newcastle’s season has been a narrative of potent attack juxtaposed with defensive lapses, resulting in a goalscoring prowess that often masks their vulnerability at the back.

With key players like Anthony Gordon and Miguel Almiron sidelined, Harvey Barnes’ recent heroics off the bench could not have been timelier. His likely inclusion, alongside Jacob Murphy and the formidable Alexander Isak, hints at Newcastle’s attacking intent. The possible return of Kieran Trippier could also provide a much-needed defensive and offensive balance.


Everton’s Perilous Plight

For Sean Dyche’s Everton, the narrative is markedly different. A sequence of late goals conceded, culminating in a heartbreaking loss to Bournemouth, has left the Toffees teetering on the brink of a record winless streak. Their inability to convert chances into goals, coupled with defensive errors, paints a picture of a team in crisis. Despite an uptick in shot creation, the paucity of goals remains Everton’s albatross.

The potential inclusion of Beto, following his goal at the Vitality Stadium, offers a glimmer of hope. However, the absence of Anthony Gordon due to suspension and the potential reshuffling in defence, with Vitalii Mykolenko’s hopeful return, adds to the uncertainty surrounding Everton’s lineup and strategy.

Tactical Dynamics and Key Battles

The match’s outcome may hinge on the midfield battle and the ability of each team’s wingers to exploit the flanks. Newcastle’s penchant for attacking down the wings, through the likes of Barnes and Murphy, will test Everton’s full-backs, possibly leading to a high number of corners and wide attacking plays. Conversely, Everton’s reliance on counter-attacks could expose Newcastle’s defensive gaps, particularly if Trippier is unfit to marshal the backline.

Newcastle’s expected dominance in possession will challenge Everton to maintain discipline and seize their moments. The duel between Isak’s aerial threat and Everton’s centre-backs, particularly James Tarkowski, could prove pivotal.


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Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals

Rationale: The trends observed in both Newcastle’s offensive dynamism and Everton’s defensive fragility suggest that this fixture is primed for goals. Newcastle United, boasting a commendable average of over 2 goals per game, have consistently demonstrated their capability to breach opposition defences, particularly at St James’ Park.

Coupled with this is their defensive generosity, conceding 51 goals thus far. Everton, despite their struggles, have shown signs of life in attack, notably in their recent fixture against Bournemouth. Given both teams’ current form and statistical inclinations towards high-scoring matches, betting on over 2.5 goals offers a logical prediction, grounded in recent performances and historical encounters that often witness a flurry of goals.

Correct Score Prediction: Newcastle United 2-1 Everton

Rationale: This prediction is informed by the juxtaposition of Newcastle’s attacking prowess and Everton’s struggle for consistency. The Magpies, with their array of attacking options and tendency for late dramatics, are poised to exploit Everton’s defensive lapses, particularly in the latter stages of the game.

Conversely, Everton’s capacity to find the net, albeit sporadically, against a Newcastle side prone to defensive blunders, suggests they could trouble the scorers. The anticipated ebb and flow of the match, with Newcastle’s offensive pressure eventually overcoming Everton’s resilience, points towards a 2-1 victory for the hosts. This scoreline reflects the blend of ambition and desperation that will characterise this encounter.

Goalscorer Prediction: Harvey Barnes to Score

Rationale: Harvey Barnes’ recent impact off the bench, coupled with his direct attacking style and finishing prowess, places him in the spotlight for this fixture. Given Newcastle’s attacking philosophy and Everton’s defensive challenges, Barnes is expected to be at the heart of Newcastle’s forward thrusts.

His ability to exploit spaces and his proven track record in clutch moments make him a likely candidate to score. Considering Everton’s tendency to concede late goals and their possible defensive reorganisation to counter Newcastle’s wide threats, Barnes’ propensity for impactful performances makes him a prime choice to add to his tally.

First Half Result: Newcastle to Lead

Rationale: Newcastle’s approach under Eddie Howe, characterised by early intensity and pressing, is likely to unsettle an Everton side struggling for form and confidence. The Magpies’ ability to start strongly, especially with the backing of their home crowd, suggests they could establish an early advantage.

This prediction also considers Everton’s recent pattern of conceding goals and their potential tactical approach aimed at containing Newcastle’s attack, which might leave them vulnerable to early breakthroughs. The expectation of Newcastle seizing the initiative and capitalising on their home advantage and Everton’s fragilities lends weight to the forecast of a halftime lead for the hosts.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.