Newcastle vs Chelsea Predictions

Newcastle vs Chelsea predictions for this EFL Cup fixture. Newcastle United and Chelsea will clash at St James’ Park just three days after their Stamford Bridge encounter, battling for a spot in the EFL Cup quarter-finals. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

EFL Cup | Round of 16 | Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at St. James’ Park

Newcastle vs Chelsea Predictions

Will Chelsea’s Attack Overwhelm Newcastle’s Struggling Defence?

• Chelsea’s deadly attack: With 19 goals in nine Premier League matches, Chelsea are the division’s second-highest scorers, only behind Manchester City.
• Newcastle’s defensive issues: The Magpies have conceded 10 goals in nine league games and are missing key defenders, making them vulnerable at the back.
• Cup goal-fests: Chelsea’s last EFL Cup match saw them put five past Barrow, showing their potential for another high-scoring performance against Newcastle.

Our Tips

As Newcastle United prepare to face Chelsea in a critical EFL Cup clash at St James’ Park, both teams have something to prove. With Chelsea aiming to continue their momentum following their Premier League victory over Newcastle just days ago, the Magpies will be desperate to change their fortunes after a disappointing start to the season. Eddie Howe’s side have struggled in recent weeks, failing to maintain consistency, while Chelsea appear to be hitting their stride under Enzo Maresca’s guidance. The stakes couldn’t be higher as both teams vie for a spot in the quarter-finals, making this an enticing contest between two Premier League powerhouses.

The Magpies, winless in their last five league matches, are struggling to find their rhythm and face a daunting challenge against a Chelsea side filled with attacking prowess. However, the cup atmosphere at St James’ Park may just be what Newcastle need to reignite their season. Chelsea, on the other hand, are looking to build on their solid run of form and their 2-1 win over Newcastle just days ago, which saw Nicolas Jackson and Cole Palmer on the scoresheet.

Best Bet: Over 3.5 Goals

When analysing this fixture, one prediction stands out as the best bet: over 3.5 goals. Both sides have been involved in goal-filled encounters this season, and there’s every reason to believe that trend will continue here. Chelsea have shown an impressive attacking flair, netting 19 goals in their nine Premier League games so far, with a high-scoring tendency in cup matches as well. Their average of 2.1 goals per game in the league suggests they can certainly contribute heavily to the goal tally.

While Newcastle’s attacking form has been less convincing, managing only nine goals across the same number of Premier League games, their matches have still seen a healthy number of goals. Despite their misfiring forwards, the Magpies have often been leaky at the back, conceding 10 goals in their league campaign thus far, which adds weight to the likelihood of a high-scoring affair. Their defensive vulnerabilities, exacerbated by the absence of key players like Jamaal Lascelles and Kieran Trippier, leave them exposed to Chelsea’s attacking threats, particularly the in-form Jackson and Palmer.

Chelsea’s ability to create chances at will has been a hallmark of their season, with 3.4 big chances per game and an average of 13.9 shots per match. Even if Eddie Howe’s men manage to put up a fight in attack, the sheer volume of shots Chelsea generate means goals are likely to come from all directions. Moreover, Newcastle’s average of conceding over one goal per game and their errors leading to shots or goals make them vulnerable to Chelsea’s dynamic attack.

In cup competitions, we often see teams taking more risks, and with both sides looking to progress to the next round, expect an open, end-to-end encounter. Newcastle will be looking to break their poor form, and that could mean a more gung-ho approach, leaving gaps at the back for Chelsea to exploit. As BettingTips4You.com’s expert Gram Dodd puts it:

“With Chelsea in rampant form and Newcastle’s defensive woes mounting, a high-scoring contest feels inevitable. Over 3.5 goals offers great value in what could be a thrilling cup tie.”

Given the balance of both teams’ attacking capabilities and defensive frailties, backing over 3.5 goals is a sound bet. Chelsea’s recent cup win over Panathinaikos, where they netted five, shows they are more than capable of blowing teams away, and Newcastle’s inconsistent form makes them likely to concede multiple times.

Correct Score Prediction: Chelsea to Win 3-1

With the rationale for over 3.5 goals firmly established, a 3-1 victory for Chelsea feels like a plausible correct score prediction. Chelsea have demonstrated their ability to win on the road, particularly in cup competitions, where they’ve racked up some dominant results. The Blues have a wealth of attacking talent to call upon, and with the likes of Joao Felix and Nkunku likely to return to the starting XI, Chelsea should have enough firepower to breach Newcastle’s shaky defence multiple times.

Newcastle may struggle without key attacking outlets like Anthony Gordon, but with Alexander Isak finding the net against Chelsea in the recent league clash, there is hope for the Magpies to at least get on the scoresheet. Isak has been one of Newcastle’s more consistent performers, and his ability to score in big moments, particularly against top teams like Chelsea, suggests he could grab a goal here. However, it’s hard to see Newcastle keeping Chelsea at bay for 90 minutes, especially given their current injury crisis at the back.

While Newcastle have home advantage, Chelsea’s depth and form make them the favourites to win, and a 3-1 scoreline not only fits with the best bet of over 3.5 goals but also aligns with their recent performances against Newcastle. Chelsea’s defensive record isn’t impeccable, having conceded in their last four victories, which gives Newcastle a glimmer of hope to get on the board, but ultimately, the Blues’ attacking quality should prove decisive.

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