Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predictions

Newcastle vs Aston Villa predictions for Saturday’s Premier League contest at St. James’ Park. Newcastle and Aston Villa will go into the new season on the back of last year’s impressive achievements. Who will prevail? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa
Match Live Saturday, 12th August at 17:30 pm In:

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predictions




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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

An Epic Duel on Premier League’s Opening Day

Key Stats
– Newcastle are unbeaten in their last 14 Premier League home matches against Villa, boasting eight wins during this period.
– Callum Wilson averages a goal every 58 minutes over his last 12 Premier League appearances.
– Aston Villa’s Moussa Diaby has already scored in both of his pre-season friendlies since joining the club.

The Premier League is back, and fans are gearing up for an exhilarating match at St James’ Park between Newcastle United and Aston Villa, two teams that have truly defied last season’s expectations. Their recent six-goal thriller in Pennsylvania adds further spice to this contest.

From Peril to Glory: The Newcastle Ascendancy

Few could have predicted Newcastle’s dramatic rise under Eddie Howe. In less than 24 months, he transformed a team hovering near relegation into Champions League contenders. Finishing in a commendable fourth position last season, the Magpies are now aiming for even loftier heights.

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The Magpies’ preparation for their Champions League journey has been promising, underlined by their impressive pre-season performances both domestically and in America. Newcastle have truly become a force to be reckoned with at St James’ Park. They remain undefeated in their last 14 home games against Villa, clinching eight wins in the process.

The Aston Villa Resurgence

Villa’s trajectory has been no less compelling. From a mediocre 41-point haul in 2022 to accumulating 43 points in just half of 2023, the team’s transformation under Unai Emery has been nothing short of miraculous. As a testament to their ambition, the Villans have acquired high-profile talents like Youri Tielemans, Pau Torres, and Moussa Diaby. Though they have an unflattering track record in opening fixtures, this renewed Villa side will be eager to rewrite history.

Key Players and Match Insights

While Newcastle have been buoyed by the arrivals of talents such as Sandro Tonali, Harvey Barnes, and Tino Livramento, it’s the homegrown talent that’s making waves. Callum Wilson, for instance, has an eye-catching record, averaging a goal every 58 minutes over his last 12 Premier League appearances.

In the Villa camp, all eyes will be on Moussa Diaby, who has already made his mark with goals in his first two friendlies. Ollie Watkins, having struck against both Lazio and Valencia, will spearhead Villa’s attack, hoping to continue his rich vein of form.

The Pulsating Clash at St James’ Park: Newcastle vs Aston Villa

As two ambitious sides, Newcastle and Aston Villa, prepare to lock horns at St James’ Park, a plethora of talking points hover around their forthcoming battle. Both sides have exhibited vibrant attacking play and tactical maturity, largely driven by recent acquisitions and managerial philosophies.

Strategies and Tactics: A Tale of Two Sides

In recent games, Newcastle’s attacking prowess, augmented by the likes of Sandro Tonali and Harvey Barnes, has been evident. With Tonali pulling the strings in midfield, Eddie Howe seems to have favoured a controlled approach, favouring ball possession, as indicated by their 52.4% average possession. This contrasts with Villa’s slightly lesser 49.4%, suggesting a more balanced or even counter-attacking mindset.

Defensively, Newcastle rely on the expertise of Kieran Trippier, a player known for his wing play and set-piece prowess, coupled with Fabian Schär’s solidity. Their stats reflect their defensive organisation, conceding just 33 goals. However, Villa’s defensive numbers, with 46 goals conceded, highlight certain vulnerabilities. Despite having leaders like Tyrone Mings in defence, their seven errors leading to goals signify lapses that could be exploited.

Key Players: The Makers and Breakers

For Newcastle, Callum Wilson’s remarkable goal return with 18 goals underscores his significance. Alongside him, Miguel Almirón’s contribution with 11 goals showcases a diversified offensive threat. Alexander Isak further enhances this attacking menace.

Villa’s linchpin, Ollie Watkins, boasting 15 goals, remains a constant thorn for defenders. Yet, the emphasis isn’t solely on Watkins. Midfielders such as Douglas Luiz and Jacob Ramsey have significantly influenced their team’s overall play and score sheet.

Managerial Impact: The Masterminds Behind the Tactics

Eddie Howe’s Newcastle play with a renewed vigour. Howe’s style, inclined towards a balanced yet attacking football, has been complemented by the squad’s new additions. Villa’s manager, Unai Emery, known for his tactical acumen, seems to be instilling a cohesive style of play, although their recent signings might require some acclimatisation.

Comparative Analysis

While both teams display attacking intent, Newcastle’s recent home advantage, having secured 39 points at St James’ Park last season, might tilt the balance in their favour. Villa’s recent form, being winless in their last four away matches, further accentuates this notion. Notably, the inclusion of dynamic players such as Moussa Diaby and Youri Tielemans might eventually balance this disparity for Villa.

Suggestions for Improvement

For Newcastle, while their attacking prowess is evident, a more varied approach, possibly incorporating players like Tino Livramento, could further diversify their offensive strategies. Villa might need to address their defensive concerns, with potential tactical reworks or more cohesive training sessions to minimise individual errors.

Probing the Dynamics


  • Newcastle: Strong home form, diverse attacking options, and a potent midfield engine.
  • Villa: Recent acquisitions bring tactical variety and an augmented midfield.


  • Newcastle: Over-reliance on specific players might lead to predictability.
  • Villa: Defensive fragilities and the potential for new signings to require adaptation time..


1. Both Teams to Score: YES

The Statistical Backing:

Newcastle United and Aston Villa have a proven track record of being offensively potent, particularly when they face each other. We witnessed this firepower firsthand in their pre-season face-off in Pennsylvania, where the two sides played out an intense 3-3 draw. The Magpies’ recent outings have showcased their scoring prowess, having netted multiple times against teams like Fiorentina, Villarreal, and Brighton & Hove Albion in the lead up to this encounter. On the other side, Villa’s offence has been on the upswing, proven by their comfortable victories against top-tier teams such as Lazio and Valencia in their pre-season adventures.

The Strategic Angle:

Under the managerial expertise of Eddie Howe, Newcastle have undergone a transformation. His incorporation of attacking talents like Sandro Tonali and Harvey Barnes to the squad strengthens their front line. Similarly, Unai Emery’s Aston Villa, buoyed by the recent signings of the likes of Youri Tielemans and Moussa Diaby, isn’t a side to sit back. Both managers prefer a style that gives their attacking players a lot of freedom, and this often results in goals.

2. Correct Score: Newcastle United 2 – 2 Aston Villa

The Statistical Backing:

Given their recent encounters and the offensive momentum both teams carry, a high-scoring draw seems plausible. Newcastle have been prolific in front of goal, but they’ve also been susceptible to letting goals in, as evidenced by their draw with Chelsea and the six-goal thriller against Villa during the pre-season. Villa, on the other hand, while potent in attack, have struggled defensively in their season openers for the last couple of years.

The Strategic Angle:

Both managers have a penchant for offensive football, but neither would want to lose their opening fixture. This might lead to a situation where, after a few goals, both sides might adopt a slightly more conservative approach to protect their interests, resulting in a stalemate.

3. Goalscorer: Callum Wilson

The Statistical Backing:

Wilson’s form has been nothing short of exemplary. Averaging a goal every 58 minutes, the Newcastle striker has netted 11 times in his last 12 Premier League appearances. His potency isn’t just a recent phenomenon; he has consistently proven his calibre by being among the league’s top scorers since April. Moreover, August seems to be Wilson’s favourite month. Only the likes of Raheem Sterling and Sergio Aguero have scored more Premier League goals in August than Wilson.

The Strategic Angle:

Eddie Howe’s tactical setup seems to favour Wilson. Playing with the support of wingers like Harvey Barnes and possibly Anthony Gordon or Miguel Almirón means that Wilson will have ample service. Given Villa’s defensive vulnerability, especially in their season openers over the past few years, Wilson, with his clinical finishing, is poised to capitalise.




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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.