Newcastle Falcons vs Harlequins for Friday Gallagher Premiership Rugby affair. The Newcastle Falcons are in a dire situation as they continue their search for a first victory in this season’s English Premiership. Read on for our free Rugby Gallagher Premiership predictions and betting tips.
Gallagher Premiership Rugby | Gameweek 11 – Jan 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Kingston Park
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Newcastle Falcons vs Harlequins Predictions
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The Struggle at Kingston Park: Newcastle Falcons vs Harlequins – A Premiership Clash
Key Stats
– Harlequins have won their last three matches against Newcastle, overcoming a -6 handicap.
– Alex Dombrandt leads the season in carries, dominant carries, and turnovers for Harlequins.
The Newcastle Falcons are at the bottom of the table, 12 points adrift. Having lost all ten of their league games, the Falcons are the lowest points scorers in the Premiership, with a mere 149 points from ten matches and the highest points conceded at 323. This statistic is further dampened by their opponents scoring over 30 points in two of the last three league games.
Their home form doesn’t offer much solace either. Losing all five league games at home and scoring only 67 points, the Falcons’ struggle is evident. The only exception being the heavy defeat by Saracens (50-12), which highlights the depth of their predicament.
Harlequins’ Seasonal Overview
In stark contrast, Harlequins are situated comfortably in sixth place, just three points shy of the league leaders Northampton. With six wins and four losses from ten games, their season can be described as relatively successful. Their resilience is particularly noteworthy, having bounced back from defeats with commendable victories, like the recent 32-26 triumph over Gloucester.
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However, their away form could be a cause for concern, with losses in the last two away league games against top-tier teams. This could suggest a potential vulnerability when playing outside their home ground.
Key Match-ups and Statistics
The last encounter between these two sides saw Harlequins secure a 40-12 victory, a result that the Falcons would be keen to avenge. Players like Nick David, who ranks among the top ten for Defenders Beaten (28), and Alex Dombrandt, leading in several key metrics, are pivotal for Harlequins. Meanwhile, Newcastle’s Guy Pepper stands out with his defensive prowess, having made a season-high of 34 tackles against Saracens.
Predictions
- Harlequins to Win with a -6 Handicap: Considering the current form of both teams and Harlequins’ recent performances, it’s likely they will win with a margin. Harlequins have overcome the -6 handicap in their last three matches against Newcastle, making this a justifiable prediction.
- Try Scorer Prediction – Alex Dombrandt: Dombrandt’s remarkable form this season, leading in carries and turnovers, positions him as a likely candidate to score a try. His influential presence in both attack and defence makes him a potent threat in any match situation.
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