Napoli vs Real Madrid Predictions

Napoli vs Real Madrid predictions for Tuesday’s Champions League group stage affair in Naples. Two of Europe’s giants clash at the Stadio Armando Maradona. With both teams in good form, who will be able to get the three points? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Match Live Tuesday, 3rd October at 8:00 pm In:

Napoli vs Real Madrid Predictions

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Naples Awaits: Champions League Showdown Between Napoli and Real Madrid

Key Stats
– Napoli’s 59.9% ball possession vs Real Madrid’s 57.6% in their respective leagues.
– Real Madrid’s stunning record against Serie A teams: victorious in 14 of their last 15 encounters.
– Both teams have a similar goal-scoring rate, averaging just over two goals per match this season.

In the vibrant city of Naples, the fervent football fanatics await the spectacle of the season. Come Tuesday evening, Stadio Diego Armando Maradona will be alight with anticipation as Napoli, the Italian champions, play hosts to Spanish giants Real Madrid in what promises to be a blockbuster Champions League group stage fixture.

Recent Form and Historical Perspective

Rudi Garcia’s Napoli, although having some hiccups in Serie A, surged to their fourth league win this season by trouncing Lecce 4-0. This success propelled them to 14 points from seven matches, positioning them third, just a whisker behind the frontrunners, Inter Milan. More impressively, in recent outings, they’ve managed to secure three victories out of four matches across all tournaments. Their European adventure commenced on a dramatic note with a 2-1 victory over Braga, highlighting their resilience.


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It’s worth reminiscing that Napoli’s best stride in the Champions League came last season when they reached the quarter-finals. This season, expectations are sky-high, especially with a clash of such magnitude early in the group stages.

In contrast, Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid have showcased formidable form at the onset of the 2023-24 season, marked by just a single loss against their arch-rivals, Atletico Madrid. Topping La Liga with a whopping 21 points, Los Blancos seem to have rejuvenated following the Madrid derby setback, by registering wins against the likes of Las Palmas and Girona.

Although Real Madrid had to dig deep for a late winner from Jude Bellingham against Union Berlin in their Champions League opener, their European credentials remain intact. Having bagged 14 European Cups and boasting a remarkable record against Serie A sides – winning 14 of their last 15 – they enter the fray as the team to beat.

Team News and Tactical Insight

Injury woes have plagued both squads. Napoli are missing Juan Jesus, Amir Rrahmani, and Pierluigi Gollini. However, the Italian side can find solace in their attacking duo of Victor Osimhen, who boasts five goals this season, and Matteo Politano, both expected to start.

Real Madrid’s casualty list includes Eder Militao, Thibaut Courtois, and Arda Guler, while David Alaba’s fitness remains a concern. Despite Joselu’s notable early-season form, there’s a likelihood of Rodrygo starting alongside Vinicius Junior, offering a dynamic dimension to Madrid’s attack.

Statistical Analysis

Napoli’s prowess is evident in their statistics. With an average BettingTips4You Expert Rating of 7.07, they rank 2nd out of 20 in Serie A. Their attacking stats are impressive, averaging 2.3 goals per match and maintaining a ball possession of 59.9%. Defensively, they’ve recorded three clean sheets and have been formidable in the air, winning 54.1% of their aerial duels.

Real Madrid, with an average BettingTips4You Expert Rating of 7.19, tops La Liga. Their offensive record mirrors Napoli’s, but they edge out with 57.6% ball possession and better shot accuracy. Their defensive stats also stand out with four clean sheets, and they recover the ball slightly more frequently than Napoli.


1. Match Outcome: Napoli to Secure a Draw

Napoli’s Performance Analysis: Entering this Champions League contest, Napoli have exhibited a commendable resilience. They recently dismantled Lecce with a resounding 4-0 scoreline in Serie A. Rudi Garcia’s men, although not flawless this season, have accumulated 14 points from their first seven matches, positioning them third in Serie A. Their recent European performance saw them clinch a narrow but crucial 2-1 victory against Braga, demonstrating their ability to grind out results even in challenging scenarios.

Real Madrid’s Performance Analysis: Real Madrid, on the other hand, possess an illustrious European record, making them one of the giants of the competition. With 14 European Cups under their belt, they’re no strangers to high-pressure matches. In their most recent outing, they managed a clean 3-0 victory over Girona in La Liga. Carlo Ancelotti’s troops have shown a formidable form at the onset of the 2023-24 season. However, it’s essential to note that the Spanish side’s away record in the Champions League recently hasn’t been stellar, winning only seven of their last 23 away matches.

Verdict: Given Napoli’s resilience, especially at home, combined with Real Madrid’s somewhat inconsistent away form in Europe, a draw seems to be a plausible outcome for this fixture.

2. Correct Score: 2-2 Draw

Napoli’s Goal-Scoring Prowess: In their domestic league, Napoli have been firing on all cylinders, netting 16 goals in just seven matches. Their attacking prowess, combined with their tactical flexibility, makes them a threat going forward.

Real Madrid’s Attacking Form: Real Madrid, too, have displayed commendable attacking performances, also netting 16 goals in their La Liga campaign. The likes of Vinicius Junior and Rodrygo have shown promise in the final third, making them key assets in Ancelotti’s attacking arsenal.

Verdict: Given both teams’ striking potential and the importance of the match, a high-scoring draw seems probable, with a 2-2 scoreline being a likely outcome.

3. Goal Scorer: Victor Osimhen to Score for Napoli

Napoli’s Leading Light: Victor Osimhen has been Napoli’s talisman this season. With five goals already to his name, he’s showcased his clinical nature in front of goal. His agility, combined with his goal-scoring instincts, makes him a constant threat.

Real Madrid’s Defensive Concerns: While Real Madrid have an array of star-studded names, they have shown vulnerabilities at the back, especially when playing away. This could provide Osimhen with the opportunities he needs to find the back of the net.

Verdict: Considering Osimhen’s recent form and Real Madrid’s occasional defensive lapses, betting on Osimhen to score in the match seems like a wise choice.

4. Corner Prediction: Napoli to Secure More Corners with a Total of 14 Corners in the Match

Napoli’s Attacking Flair: Napoli, in their recent matches, have shown a penchant for attacking down the flanks and delivering crosses into the box. This style of play naturally leads to more corner opportunities. On average, they’ve secured around 6.6 corners per match in their domestic league.

Real Madrid’s Defensive Play: Real Madrid, known for their high pressing and aggressive play, often force their opponents to play down the wings. This could result in them conceding more corners than they’d like.

Verdict: Factoring in both teams’ style of play and the stakes of the match, it’s anticipated that Napoli will edge out Real Madrid in terms of corners won. With both teams likely to be on the front foot, a total of 14 corners in the match seems a realistic prediction.

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!