Napoli vs Empoli Predictions

Napoli vs Empoli predictions for this Serie A fixture. Napoli host Empoli on Monday targeting a third consecutive home win, with the Serie A champions pushing for maximum points against the relegation-threatened visitors in this crucial gameweek 32 fixture. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Serie A | Apr 14, 2025 at 7:45pm UK at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli vs Empoli Predictions

Could Empoli Ruin Napoli’s Perfect Home Run With Another Shock in Naples?

• Empoli’s Travel Sickness – The Tuscan outfit are winless in their last eight away games, with five of those ending in defeat and no clean sheets across 13 on the road.
• Napoli’s Leaky Fortress – While they’ve won their last two at home, Napoli have conceded in five straight at the Maradona, allowing underdogs more than a sniff.
• Lukaku the Decider – With six match-winning strikes this season, Romelu Lukaku has been Serie A’s most decisive scorer—exactly the kind of player Empoli don’t want to see right now.

Best Bet for Napoli vs Empoli

With only a handful of matches left in this season’s Serie A campaign, Monday’s meeting between Napoli and Empoli at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona could end up being more dramatic than many would expect. For one side, it’s about clinging onto the final threads of a fading title push. For the other, it’s pure survival mode—every point could be the difference between staying in the top flight or slipping into the abyss of relegation.

Napoli, for all their quality, arrive at this one slightly bruised. A 1-1 draw against Bologna, who had previously bulldozed through six straight wins, should’ve been seen as a solid result. But when you’re chasing a relentless Inter side at the top, dropped points start to feel more like defeats. With Inter having the luxury of playing earlier in the weekend, Napoli might find themselves under pressure before they even step onto the pitch—six points behind and knowing there’s absolutely no room for another slip-up.

Empoli, meanwhile, are staggering into this with a limp. They’ve not won away from home in eight outings and have racked up five losses during that run. Still, football’s an odd game—just ask Napoli, who’ve already suffered two 1-0 home defeats to these very opponents in recent seasons. Can lightning strike a third time? That’s what Roberto D’Aversa’s injury-plagued side will be praying for.

Best Bet for Napoli vs Empoli: Napoli to Win and Over 2.5 Goals

At BettingTips4You, we pride ourselves on filtering through all the noise to bring you just one clear, carefully considered prediction per match. Why overload you with a buffet of bets when one quality tip is all you need? For this clash, our best bet is Napoli to win and Over 2.5 goals.

The logic behind this tip is firmly rooted in the numbers and the context surrounding both teams. Napoli may not be obliterating sides, but they’re consistently getting the job done at home—two recent 2-1 wins over Fiorentina and Milan prove that. And here’s the kicker: they haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last five matches at the Maradona. That’s a very telling stat, especially against an Empoli side who, despite all their problems, have enough in the tank to at least trouble the scoreboard.

Romelu Lukaku, who’s proven himself a decisive figure with six match-winning goals this term, leads the line for a Napoli side that also features the creative spark of Politano and the workrate of McTominay and Lobotka in midfield. Even without the suspended Di Lorenzo and Zambo Anguissa, they should still dominate the ball and create plenty of opportunities against a weakened Empoli defence missing a whole medical room’s worth of players.

Empoli’s attack is not exactly frightening, but Sebastiano Esposito and Lorenzo Colombo have managed to notch a combined 13 goals between them, and they’ve been involved in over 50% of their team’s total goals. If they get a half-chance, they might just take it—particularly with Napoli’s patchy home clean sheet record.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Pratesi puts it:

“Napoli are far from perfect defensively, but their firepower at home and Empoli’s porous away form scream goals. A home win with goals is the sweet spot here.”

With Empoli conceding in every one of their last 13 Serie A away matches and Napoli scoring multiple times in four of their last five home games, there’s every reason to believe this one lands in the 3-1 region.

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Expected Scoreline: Napoli 3-1 Empoli
While Empoli might sneak a goal through Esposito or Colombo, the hosts’ superior quality—especially in the final third—should eventually blow the visitors away. This is not the same Empoli that caused problems in recent years; this is a side limping through a relegation fight, short on confidence and legs.

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