Monza vs AC Milan Predictions

Monza vs AC Milan predictions for this Serie A fixture. AC Milan, now 11 points off Serie A’s top spot, seek redemption as they visit Monza on Saturday. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Serie A | Nov 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at U-Power Stadium

Monza vs AC Milan Predictions

Can AC Milan Find Redemption Against Resilient Monza?

• High-Scoring Encounters Expected
  • Three or more goals have been scored in four of Milan’s last five away games and three of Monza’s last four at home, setting the stage for an open clash.
• Pulisic’s Goal Threat Remains Key
  • Christian Pulisic has been Milan’s main man in attack, scoring in five of his last eight Serie A appearances. His presence will be pivotal against Monza’s backline.
• Monza’s Home Resilience
  • Monza have managed to hold Inter and Fiorentina to draws at home, demonstrating that they can rise to the occasion, especially against stronger opponents.

Our Tips

With pressure mounting on AC Milan manager Paulo Fonseca, the Rossoneri make the short trip to face Monza, hoping to salvage pride and points. Milan’s midweek setback against Napoli—a sobering 2-0 loss at San Siro—has widened the gap in their Scudetto chase. This match against Monza isn’t just about three points; it’s a lifeline for a team floundering under heavy expectations and struggling for consistency. Meanwhile, Monza, led by their new boss and Milan legend Alessandro Nesta, find themselves flirting with the relegation zone. However, Monza will take heart from last season’s iconic victory over Milan—a thrilling 4-2 comeback that stunned the San Siro faithful. With both sides desperate for different reasons, Saturday’s clash promises intensity, drama, and perhaps a surprise or two.

Best Bet: Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

Backing Both Teams to Score alongside Over 2.5 Goals looks like the best play for this contest. This prediction stems from Milan’s inconsistent form and Monza’s tendency to concede but also to find the net in crucial matches.

Milan have shown signs of defensive vulnerability, conceding 11 goals in their last nine league fixtures, which doesn’t exactly inspire confidence. Although they’ve recorded three clean sheets, those came against lesser opposition, and their backline has looked disjointed, particularly on the road. Monza, with a similar defensive record of 13 goals conceded in 10 matches, aren’t much better off defensively. Yet, Milan’s attacking prowess should shine through with the likes of Christian Pulisic, who has been in fine form, finding the net five times in his last eight Serie A appearances. Pulisic’s goal threat, combined with Rafael Leao’s pace and Álvaro Morata’s experience, makes Milan’s attack one of the more formidable ones Monza have faced.

Monza, meanwhile, are not to be underestimated in the scoring department. Dany Mota, their top scorer with four goals, leads an attacking line that has shown flashes of promise, particularly in home games. Monza have scored in three of their last four home matches, managing to hold top teams like Inter and Fiorentina to draws. This speaks to their resilience and ability to seize scoring opportunities, especially with Daniel Maldini—a player with strong Milan ties—adding an extra narrative twist. Milan’s defence, which has been prone to lapses, may find it challenging to keep Monza’s forwards at bay for a full 90 minutes.

Given that both teams have shown defensive fragilities yet maintain attacking intent, this match appears ripe for goals. Fonseca’s Milan are unlikely to sit back, especially after a deflating loss to Napoli. Expect them to push forward from the get-go, and while that may lead to chances, it will also open them up to counter-attacks—a vulnerability Monza exploited last season. Furthermore, Monza have registered at least three goals in four of their last five matches at home, an indicator that they’re not only capable of scoring but often involved in high-scoring encounters.

As our expert, Luca Pratesi, aptly summarises, “Both teams come into this match with defensive question marks and attacking strengths, making it an ideal setup for goals. Milan’s desperation to reclaim points will leave spaces at the back, and Monza, with home advantage, will look to capitalise.”

Correct Score Prediction: AC Milan to Edge Monza 3-2

A 3-2 scoreline in favour of AC Milan aligns with the expected open style of play and the defensive concerns surrounding both sides. Milan’s attack has managed 16 goals across their nine league games, averaging just under two goals per match. Against a Monza side that’s shown a penchant for leaking goals while also being capable of finding the net, Milan should have the edge, but only just.

Monza will certainly be motivated, and their recent performances indicate they won’t go down without a fight. Their three-game unbeaten run before a hard-fought loss to Atalanta hints at a team that’s beginning to stabilise under Nesta. Milan, on the other hand, have shown that they can score in bursts, but their defensive lapses—such as those seen in their recent defeats—suggest that Monza will have their moments.

A 3-2 prediction also takes into account Milan’s urgency to assert themselves after a string of shaky performances. The Rossoneri’s forwards will look to exploit Monza’s less compact defence, while Monza’s fighting spirit, especially on their home turf, will likely see them claw back into the game. However, Milan’s extra bit of quality up front should see them narrowly clinch the points.

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