Montpellier vs PSG Predictions

Montpellier vs PSG predictions for this meeting in Ligue 1. Paris Saint-Germain, looking to end a three-game Ligue 1 winless streak, visit Montpellier HSC at Stade de la Mosson on Sunday, as the champions-elect seek a turnaround. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.


Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26 – Mar 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Stade de la Mosson

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Montpellier vs PSG Predictions

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PSG’s Redemption Quest: A High Stakes Clash at Montpellier

Key Stats

– PSG aims to avoid their longest winless run in a single Ligue 1 season since May 2018.

– Montpellier’s home record this season has seen them win just two of their 13 matches.

– Kylian Mbappe, with 21 goals in 23 league games, stands as the beacon of hope for a PSG side eager to silence their critics.

In a season where every point is pivotal, Paris Saint-Germain’s journey to the Stade de la Mosson to face Montpellier becomes more than just a fixture; it’s a quest for redemption. PSG’s unexpected three-game winless streak has raised eyebrows, presenting a scenario few would have predicted for the champions-elect. On the flip side, Montpellier, entrenched in a relegation battle but buoyed by recent performances, sets the stage for a classic David vs. Goliath encounter in Ligue 1.


The Stakes

Montpellier, finding themselves in the mire of the relegation battle, have shown resilience under Michel Der Zakarian. Their recent victory over Nice showcased their potential to upset the apple cart. However, consistency remains their Achilles heel, especially at home, where victories have been scarce.

PSG, under the tutelage of Luis Enrique, face a different kind of pressure. The spectre of their longest winless run since May 2018 looms large, making a win imperative not just for points but for morale. The saga surrounding Kylian Mbappe further complicates the narrative, adding a layer of intrigue to PSG’s lineup and tactical approach.

Tactical Breakdown and Key Duels

Expected Lineups and Formation:

  • Montpellier HSC: Lecomte; Tchato, Omeragic, Kouyate, Sylla; Leroy, Ferri; Nordin, Savanier, Adams; Khazri.
  • Paris Saint-Germain: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Hernandez, Beraldo, Mendes; Zaire-Emery, Ugarte, Lee; Dembele, Mbappe, Barcola.

Montpellier’s reliance on Savanier for creative impetus will be crucial. His battle in midfield, especially against PSG’s Ugarte, could dictate the pace and control of the game. For PSG, Mbappe’s role, whether as a starter or coming off the bench, could be the game-changer, with his pace and finishing ability unmatched in Ligue 1.

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Strategic Outcomes:

Montpellier must capitalise on their home advantage, despite their less than stellar record at the Stade de la Mosson. A compact, counter-attacking approach could exploit PSG’s occasional lapses in defensive concentration. For PSG, the emphasis will be on quick transitions and exploiting the wide areas, with Hakimi’s overlapping runs and Mbappe’s speed key to breaking down Montpellier’s defence.

Managerial Insight

Der Zakarian’s Montpellier has shown tactical flexibility, but their defensive fragility against top-tier teams is a concern. A more disciplined defensive structure, coupled with quick breaks, could unsettle PSG’s rhythm. Luis Enrique’s PSG, meanwhile, faces a test of character. His management of squad rotations and the Mbappe situation will be under scrutiny, demanding not just tactical acumen but psychological astuteness.


Best Bet: PSG -2 To Win

Given PSG’s firepower and their dominance over Montpellier in recent encounters, expecting PSG to win with at least a two-goal margin is plausible. Despite recent hiccups, PSG’s quality and depth should see them overpower a Montpellier side struggling for consistency.

Correct Score Prediction: Montpellier 1-4 Paris Saint-Germain

A 4-1 victory for PSG reflects both their attacking prowess and Montpellier’s defensive vulnerabilities. With PSG keen to return to winning ways and Montpellier’s tendency to concede, a high-scoring affair is likely, with PSG’s quality upfront making the difference.


Goalscorer Prediction: Kylian Mbappe

Assuming he starts, Mbappe’s record speaks for itself. His speed, movement, and clinical finishing make him a constant threat, and his motivation to silence critics could see him finding the back of the net once again.

Team to Score First: Paris Saint-Germain

PSG’s attacking start to games, coupled with Montpellier’s defensive issues, suggests that the visitors are likely to open the scoring. An early goal from PSG could set the tone for the rest of the match.

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Emmanuel Nwankwo
Born and bred in the heart of Yorkshire, Emmanuel Nwankwo has been a passionate voice in the world of football writing. Over the last 7 years, he's contributed his insights and analyses to various online publications, diving deep into the intricacies of the game he loves so dearly. Despite the allure of the Premier League, Emmanuel's heart truly belongs to Huddersfield Town Football Club, where his love for football was kindled. With every match, he relives the nostalgia of cheering from the terraces of the John Smith's Stadium. His dedication to the sport is evident in every piece he crafts, drawing readers into the world of football and sharing the passion that defines him.