Montpellier vs Lens predictions for Friday’s Ligue 1 clash at Stade de la Mosson. In a bid to steer clear of a sixth consecutive winless game in Ligue 1, Montpellier HSC welcomes Lens to the Stade de la Mosson on Friday evening. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Match Live Friday, 8th December at 8:00 pm In:
Montpellier vs Lens Predictions
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The Stade de la Mosson Showdown: Montpellier vs Lens
Key Stats
– Lens With Four Wins in Last Five Ligue 1 Games
– Montpellier Lost Six of Seven Against Top Eight Teams
As Montpellier HSC gears up to host Lens at Stade de la Mosson, the contrasting forms of both teams set the stage for an intriguing Ligue 1 encounter. Montpellier, struggling to steer clear of the relegation zone, faces a formidable challenge against Franck Haise’s Lens, who are on a remarkable ascent in the league.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
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Best Value Bet Rationale
Montpellier’s recent form is a cause for concern, as they’ve only managed to secure two points from their last five Ligue 1 fixtures, indicating a significant dip in form. Their most recent defeat, a 2-0 loss to Monaco, further highlighted their struggles, particularly in the attacking third. Their ability to score has diminished, with only two goals in their last 450 minutes of Ligue 1 play.
Lens, on the other hand, presents a stark contrast. Despite a heavy defeat in the Champions League, they have bounced back strongly in the domestic league, embarking on a nine-game unbeaten streak and securing wins in their last three matches. This run has elevated them to sixth in the league standings. Notably, their defensive solidity, particularly in away matches, has been impressive, recording four consecutive clean sheets on the road.
Additionally, Lens has a strong recent record against Montpellier, having won two and drawn one of their last three meetings. The return of Elye Wahi, a former Montpellier player, to the Lens squad following a suspension adds an intriguing narrative and potential edge to Lens’ attack.
Considering these factors, the odds of 11/8 for a Lens victory represent substantial value, reflecting their current form and resilience, contrasted with Montpellier’s ongoing struggles.
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Montpellier’s Slump: A Concern for Der Zakarian
Michel Der Zakarian’s return to Montpellier initially sparked hope, but the team’s recent form has been worrying. Their last victory, a 3-0 win over Toulouse, now seems a distant memory as they’ve managed just two points from their subsequent five matches. A porous defence, coupled with an ineffective attack, sees them sleepwalking towards danger, currently 13th in the standings.
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Lens’ Resurgence: A Testament to Haise’s Mastery
In contrast, Lens, under Franck Haise, has shown resilience and tactical acumen. Recovering from a Champions League debacle, they’ve mounted a nine-game unbeaten run in Ligue 1, sitting comfortably at sixth in the table. Their defence, particularly impressive on the road, has been a key factor in their ascent.
Tactical Analysis
Montpellier: Expected to line up in a 5-4-1 formation, Montpellier’s approach will likely be conservative, focusing on solidity at the back and looking for counter-attacking opportunities. Key player Teji Savanier will play a pivotal role in orchestrating attacks and providing creative impetus.
Lens: Lens is likely to adopt a more assertive stance, leveraging their balanced attack and robust defense. The potential return of Elye Wahi against his former club adds an intriguing subplot, as he could be key in exploiting Montpellier’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Managerial Duel: Der Zakarian vs Haise
While Der Zakarian faces criticism for Montpellier’s lacklustre performances, Haise’s work at Lens has been commendable. His ability to bounce back after European setbacks and maintain a strong league form is noteworthy. This match will be a true test of Der Zakarian’s tactical flexibility against Haise’s well-oiled Lens machine.
Key Match Areas and Duels
The battle in midfield will be crucial, with Montpellier’s Savanier going up against Lens’ robust central players. The duel between Montpellier’s striker Adams and Lens’ backline, especially Gradit and Medina, will be key in deciding the outcome.
Gameplay Prediction
Expect a game of contrasting styles, with Montpellier sitting deep and Lens controlling the game’s tempo. Montpellier’s lack of goalscoring prowess might hinder their ability to capitalise on Lens’ rare defensive lapses.
Suggested Improvements and Criticism
Montpellier: Needs more creativity in attack. Der Zakarian should consider tactical adjustments to inject more dynamism upfront. Lens: While defensively strong, Lens could improve their efficiency in converting chances. Haise’s management has been impressive, but he needs to ensure his team doesn’t become complacent.
Expected Line-ups
Montpellier: Lecomte; Sacko, Esteve, Jullien, Omeragic, Davin; Al-Tamari, Chotard, Savanier, Khazri; Adams
Commentary: A defensive formation, looking to nullify Lens’ attacking threat.
Lens: Samba; Medina, Danso, Gradit; Frankowski, Mendy, Abdul Samed, Machado; Thomasson; Wahi, Said
Commentary: A balanced side, with a mix of defensive solidity and attacking flair.
Predictions
1. Match Result: Lens to Win
Lens’ current form and Montpellier’s struggles against top teams tilt the scales in favour of an away victory.
2. Correct Score: Montpellier 0-1 Lens
Considering Montpellier’s scoring woes and Lens’ solid defence, a narrow win for Lens seems probable.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: Elye Wahi to Score
Wahi, returning from suspension, is likely to be motivated against his former club, making him a strong candidate to find the net.
4. First Half Result: Draw
Given Montpellier’s defensive setup and Lens’ measured approach away from home, a level scoreline at half-time is likely.
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