Montenegro vs Wales Predictions

Montenegro vs Wales Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in the Nations League. Wales aim to build on their draw against Turkey as they continue their 2024-25 UEFA Nations League campaign with a match against Montenegro on Monday night, seeking their first win in the competition. Read on for our free predictions and tips.

Nations League | League A | Sep 9, 2024 at 7:45pm UK at Stadion Kraj Bistrice

Montenegro vs Wales Predictions

Can Wales End Their Goal Drought and Secure a Vital Win Against Montenegro?

• Wales’ Defensive Solidity: Despite failing to score in their last four games, Wales have demonstrated defensive stability, holding Turkey to a 0-0 draw in their Nations League opener and limiting their opponents to just four shots on target.
• Montenegro’s Struggles in Front of Goal: Montenegro have failed to score in two of their last three games, with their most recent match resulting in a 2-0 loss to Iceland. Their last victory came in March against North Macedonia, but they’ve since struggled to find any attacking rhythm.
• Low-Scoring Encounters Expected: Both Wales and Montenegro have been involved in low-scoring matches recently. Wales have not scored in their last four outings, while Montenegro have seen under 2.5 goals in five of their previous eight fixtures, making a tight contest likely on Monday.

Best Bet

As Montenegro and Wales prepare to meet at Stadion Kraj Bistrice for their UEFA Nations League encounter, both teams face significant pressure to change their recent fortunes. For Wales, this match represents an opportunity to build on their goalless draw against Turkey, Craig Bellamy’s first match as manager. On the other side, Montenegro will be eager to recover from a 2-0 defeat to Iceland in their Group B4 opener. Both nations are keen to secure a much-needed victory as they look to regain momentum after inconsistent form in recent outings.

Montenegro come into the match on the back of three consecutive defeats, including two disappointing losses in friendlies against Belgium and Georgia. Despite showing glimpses of potential during their Euro 2024 qualification campaign, they ultimately fell short, missing out on a spot at the finals. Their most recent defeat to Iceland has put them under pressure, especially given that they will now face a Wales side that, despite struggling for form, showed defensive resilience against a talented Turkish side.

Wales, meanwhile, are seeking their first win under Bellamy, with hopes of turning their fortunes around after a series of underwhelming results. Despite their struggles in front of goal, their goalless draw with Turkey provided some positive signs, particularly defensively, as they held a dangerous opposition scoreless. Monday’s match will be a significant test of their ability to find the net and turn their possession and chances into goals.

When considering the best wager for this match, the combination of Wales to win and under 2.5 goals appears the most appealing. While both teams have struggled in recent times, Wales have demonstrated solid defensive qualities under Bellamy. Against Turkey, they were able to keep a clean sheet, and they boast a slightly better recent form compared to Montenegro, who are currently on a three-game losing streak.

One of the most striking aspects of this match is the lack of goals from both teams in recent fixtures. Wales have now gone four games without finding the back of the net, despite creating 16 chances in their previous match against Turkey. Their xG of 2.28 in that game indicates that they are capable of crafting opportunities, but their finishing has been poor, as evidenced by their single shot on target. Montenegro, too, have struggled to score, having netted only once in their last three outings.

With both sides exhibiting poor offensive form, it’s hard to envisage a high-scoring game here. Montenegro’s defence has also been vulnerable, conceding in each of their last three matches, including two goals in their Nations League opener against Iceland. Their defence has been breached seven times in their previous three games, which suggests that Wales, despite their own attacking woes, may be able to exploit gaps at the back.

Moreover, Bellamy is likely to focus on keeping things tight defensively, given Montenegro’s home advantage and the pressure on them to perform in front of their own fans. The lack of cutting edge from both teams supports the idea of a low-scoring contest, making under 2.5 goals a prudent addition to the bet.

As BettingTips4You.com’s expert Herrin Kendrick notes, “Wales are solid defensively, and while goals have been hard to come by, they’re capable of grinding out a narrow win in what is likely to be a tense affair in Montenegro. Their ability to create chances, even if not yet converting them, gives them the edge here.”

Additional Prediction

In alignment with the best bet prediction, a 1-0 win for Wales seems a plausible correct score outcome. As both teams have shown a lack of offensive prowess, and with Wales coming off a strong defensive display against Turkey, the most likely scenario is a narrow victory for the visitors.

Wales have shown they can keep teams at bay, even when under pressure, and Montenegro’s recent record suggests they will struggle to break down the Welsh defence. While Montenegro have won four of their last five home games, they have been defensively fragile of late, conceding two goals to Iceland and three to Belgium.

Wales, on the other hand, despite their lack of goals, have shown they can control possession effectively. In their match against Turkey, they had 67% possession and completed 529 passes with an accuracy of 87.9%. This suggests they are capable of dictating the pace of the game, even if their final third play needs improvement.

Given the defensive focus likely to be at the forefront of Bellamy’s game plan, Wales could look to secure a victory by a single goal. Montenegro’s struggles in front of goal—having failed to score in two of their last three matches—further supports the prediction of a low-scoring affair, with Wales taking their chances to seal a 1-0 victory.

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