Montenegro vs Lithuania predictions for Thursday’s Euro 2024 qualifying fixture. Montenegro have to win when they take on Lithuania in Podgorica this week. Can they do so or will the visitors cause an upset in this clash? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Match Live Thursday, 16th November at 7:45 pm In:
Montenegro vs Lithuania Predictions
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Strategic Showdown: Montenegro’s Prowess Against Lithuania’s Resolve
Key Stats
– Lithuania’s Defensive Struggles: Conceding 12 goals in 7 matches, indicating a vulnerability at the back.
– High-Scoring History: 11 goals netted in the previous three meetings between the two sides.
As Montenegro and Lithuania prepare to clash at Podgorica City Stadium in their upcoming Euro 2024 qualifier, both teams present contrasting forms and tactical dispositions, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter. This analysis explores the underlying statistics and strategies, leading to a series of predictions based on the provided data.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
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Best Value Bet Rationale
Jovetic, with a robust BettingTips4You expert rating of 7.12, has been a linchpin in Montenegro’s attack. Despite a scoring frequency of 190 minutes per goal, his influence on the pitch transcends mere statistics. His capability to find the net from various positions, coupled with his technical prowess, makes him a constant threat. Notably, his ability to convert big chances, as reflected in his two goals from inside the box, underscores his efficiency in crucial moments.
Moreover, the context of the game lends credence to this bet. Montenegro, needing a win to keep their qualification hopes alive, are expected to adopt an assertive, attacking approach. Jovetic, likely at the forefront of this offensive surge, will have ample opportunities to exploit Lithuania’s defense, which has conceded an average of 1.7 goals per game.
Given Lithuania’s relatively lax defensive record and Montenegro’s pressing need for goals, Jovetic stands as a prime candidate to capitalise and score multiple times. The enhanced odds offer additional value, making this bet not only plausible but also potentially lucrative for discerning punters.
Montenegro’s Tactical Approach and Key Players
Montenegro, currently ranked 34th in the European Championship qualification with an average rating of 6.77, has displayed a mixed bag of results. Their attacking prowess, averaging 1 goal per game, is spearheaded by the experienced Stevan Jovetic, whose performance, including a beautiful goal against Serbia, highlights his critical role in the team’s forward line.
Defensively, Montenegro has shown some vulnerability, conceding 1.3 goals per game. However, their resilience is personified by Stefan Savić, a defender with the highest rating in the team (7.15), whose contributions at the back and surprising goal-scoring ability (2 goals) will be vital.
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Lithuania’s Strategy and Performance
Lithuania, ranked slightly lower at 37th with a similar rating of 6.77, has had a challenging campaign. With an average of 1.1 goals per game, their offensive efforts have been modest. They have shown some defensive weaknesses, conceding 1.7 goals per game. Key figures like Pijus Širvys, the team’s top scorer with 3 goals, and goalkeeper Edvinas Gertmonas, with an impressive rating of 7.58, will be instrumental in their attempt to disrupt Montenegro’s plans.
Areas for Improvement and Tactical Duels
Montenegro could benefit from a more robust defensive structure to complement their attacking flair. Lithuania, needing improvements in both attack and defence, should focus on tactical discipline and exploiting Montenegro’s defensive vulnerabilities. Key duels will likely be in the midfield, where ball control and creative playmaking will set the tone for the match.
Managerial Influence and Game Dynamics
Montenegro’s Miodrag Radulovic is likely to employ an attacking strategy, leveraging players like Jovetic. Lithuania’s coach Edgaras Jankauskas faces the challenge of rallying his team to play for pride, potentially adopting a more open and experimental approach. This difference in managerial tactics will significantly influence the game’s dynamics.
Our Opinionated Analysis: Controversial Take
Montenegro, while showing promise, has been inconsistent, particularly in defence—an aspect Radulovic must address urgently. Lithuania, under their current management, seems to lack a coherent tactical identity, often appearing disjointed on the field.
Predictions Based on Analysis
- Market Prediction: Over 3.5 Goals – Considering both teams’ recent high-scoring games and Montenegro’s aggressive approach needed to keep their qualification hopes alive, over 3.5 goals is a reasonable expectation.
- Correct Score Prediction: Montenegro 3-1 Lithuania – Montenegro’s home advantage and attacking form, contrasted with Lithuania’s defensive lapses, support a 3-1 victory for Montenegro.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Stevan Jovetic – As Montenegro’s attacking linchpin, Jovetic is a likely candidate to score, potentially more than once in this fixture.
- First Half Result: Montenegro Leading – Montenegro’s urgency to secure a victory, coupled with their historical performance, suggests they might establish an early lead.
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