Montenegro vs Iceland Predictions

Montenegro vs Iceland predictions for Saturday’s UEFA Nations League clash. Montenegro aim to snap a six-game losing streak against Iceland in a crucial UEFA Nations League clash, with both teams eager for a positive result. Click here for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Iceland

Nations League | Nov 16, 2024 at 5pm UK at Stadion Kraj Bistrice

Montenegro vs Iceland Predictions

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Can Iceland Capitalise on Montenegro’s Struggles in Niksic Showdown?

  • Montenegro’s Defensive Issues: With 13 goals conceded in their last five games, Montenegro’s backline has struggled immensely, making them vulnerable against Iceland’s attack.
  • Iceland’s Scoring Edge: Iceland have scored in all but one of their recent Nations League fixtures, showing they can find the net even in challenging games.
  • Montenegro’s Home Scoring Run: Despite their struggles, Montenegro have managed to score in each of their last seven home matches, making both teams to score a likely outcome.

Our Tips

Iceland to Win
19/10 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
Iceland are favoured to win, leveraging Montenegro’s defensive struggles and recent six-game losing streak. Despite Haraldsson's absence, Iceland’s consistent attack and Montenegro’s key absences strengthen Iceland's advantage.
Iceland 2-1
17/2 - odds when tipped
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Reasoning
A 2-1 win for Iceland is likely, as Montenegro’s scoring at home meets Iceland’s attacking strength. Iceland's high press and Montenegro’s defensive gaps should secure the visitors' victory.

The Nations League continues this Saturday as Montenegro and Iceland meet in a clash where both teams are desperate to shake off recent struggles. Montenegro, hosting in Niksic, face an uphill task as they try to snap a six-game losing streak that has seen their defence crumble repeatedly. To add to their woes, star forward Stevan Jovetic will be absent due to suspension, robbing them of one of their most reliable attacking outlets. His absence is likely to affect Montenegro’s game plan, as his experience and finishing skills are invaluable, especially for a side struggling to find consistency. However, in front of a home crowd, Montenegro may look to push forward in search of an elusive win, hoping to bring some joy to their supporters.

Iceland, while slightly better positioned, are also dealing with their own share of issues. They come into this game on the back of a 4-2 defeat to Turkey, a result that underscored their defensive frailties. With midfielder Hakon Arnar Haraldsson ruled out through injury, Iceland’s depth in the middle of the park takes a hit, potentially limiting their ability to control possession and dictate play. Both sides have displayed porous defences in recent games, which could make this encounter an open, high-scoring affair. Although neither team is at the top of their game, they each possess enough offensive threat to suggest a lively contest is on the cards in Niksic.

Best Bet: Iceland to Win

Our best bet for this encounter leans towards an Iceland victory, with the visitors positioned to take advantage of Montenegro’s defensive issues and personnel gaps. Iceland, despite their own inconsistencies, have shown glimpses of attacking sharpness that could prove crucial against a Montenegro side that has lost six consecutive matches. Iceland’s recent 2-0 win over Montenegro in Reykjavik during the reverse fixture demonstrated their ability to exploit Montenegro’s defensive lapses. Even though they are without Haraldsson, they still have a solid attacking structure that has averaged over one goal per game in their recent Nations League outings.

Montenegro, by contrast, have displayed an inability to keep opponents at bay, conceding 13 goals in their last five games. Playing at home may provide them a morale boost, but it hasn’t translated to points in recent times, as seen in their lone Nations League home game against Wales, where they managed to score but ultimately lost 2-1. Without Jovetic leading the line, Montenegro could struggle to find the net as regularly, particularly against an Iceland side that, while vulnerable, does possess a more coherent game plan. The confidence of the Icelandic players may be bolstered by Montenegro’s frailties and the memory of their previous encounter, setting them up well for an away win.

BettingTips4You.com expert Herrin Kendrick suggests Iceland have the edge, noting, “Montenegro’s home advantage is unlikely to offset their defensive struggles, and Iceland’s recent form and squad stability put them in a strong position to exploit Montenegro’s weaknesses. This game is set up for Iceland to make a statement.”

Given the recent patterns and Iceland’s marginally better defensive record, backing Iceland to win appears to hold the best value. Montenegro’s form slump, combined with crucial absences, means they are likely to fall short again.

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Correct Score Prediction: Iceland 2-1 Montenegro

Predicting a 2-1 victory for Iceland aligns with the likely trajectory of this match, taking into account both teams’ recent performances and defensive records. Iceland may not keep a clean sheet, given Montenegro’s tendency to find the net in home games. Montenegro have scored in their last seven home matches, and while they struggle to contain opponents, they often manage to create scoring opportunities in familiar territory.

Despite Montenegro’s attacking potential, Iceland’s stronger game plan and attacking edge should allow them to pull ahead. Iceland’s goals are expected to come from their high press and ability to capitalise on Montenegro’s defensive disorganisation. Iceland’s ability to move the ball quickly from midfield to attack will be key, especially as Montenegro lack defensive depth to close down spaces effectively.

A 2-1 outcome in Iceland’s favour accounts for both Montenegro’s likely home goal and Iceland’s superior form. With Montenegro needing to attack to please the home crowd and break their losing streak, gaps will inevitably open up, allowing Iceland to clinch the win through counterattacks or set-piece situations.

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