Millwall vs Dagenham predictions for their FA Cup third round tie. Dagenham & Redbridge face Millwall at The Den in the FA Cup third round, seeking a shock upset against their Championship hosts to secure a coveted fourth-round place. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.
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FA Cup | Jan 13, 2025 at 7:30pm UK at The Den
Millwall vs Dagenham and Redbridge Predictions
Can Millwall Finally Break Their Poor Run as Dagenham Dream of an FA Cup Upset?
- Millwall’s Defensive Resilience: The Lions have the seventh-best defensive record in the Championship, conceding just 31 goals in 25 matches this season.
- Dagenham’s Road to the Third Round: The Daggers have already beaten two Football League sides – Crewe Alexandra and AFC Wimbledon – to reach this stage of the FA Cup.
- Millwall’s FA Cup History Against Non-League Teams: The Lions have kept clean sheets in their last two home ties against lower-league opposition in the FA Cup, underlining their defensive dominance in similar scenarios.
Our Tips
Millwall to Win to Nil | |
5/4 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Millwall are predicted to win without conceding, relying on defensive stability and creative playmakers against inconsistent Dagenham. The Daggers’ limited attack and Millwall’s strong home record bolster this outcome’s likelihood. | |
Millwall 2-0 | |
6/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning A 2-0 Millwall win is likely, reflecting their defensive solidity and limited scoring output. Dagenham’s counter-attacking efforts should frustrate but fail to breach Millwall, aligning with recent FA Cup outcomes. |
The Den will play host to an intriguing FA Cup third-round clash on Monday evening, as Championship strugglers Millwall face off against National League hopefuls Dagenham & Redbridge. With both sides undergoing managerial changes in recent weeks, the stage is set for a high-stakes encounter where pride, progression, and a chance to kickstart their seasons are all on the line.
Millwall’s season has been a frustrating one. Sitting 14th in the Championship table, their campaign has been hampered by an inability to score goals regularly, with just 24 in 25 league matches. Defensive solidity – the seventh-best in the division – has kept them afloat, but they’ve managed just one win in their last 11 matches in all competitions. Newly appointed boss Alex Neil is under pressure to deliver his first victory after a draw with Coventry and a loss to Bristol City in his opening two games. However, non-league opponents could provide the perfect opportunity to regain some much-needed confidence.
On the other hand, Dagenham & Redbridge enter the match with a renewed sense of optimism. Caretaker manager Lewis Young has steadied the ship since the departure of Ben Strevens, picking up a win and a draw in his first two games in charge. Impressively, both of these results were secured away from home, including a hard-fought 1-1 draw with high-flying Forest Green Rovers. The Daggers have already knocked out League Two sides Crewe Alexandra and AFC Wimbledon in this year’s FA Cup, proving they are capable of punching above their weight. But can they overcome the gulf in quality between the National League and the Championship?
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Best Bet: Back Millwall to Win to Nil
Millwall to win without conceding stands out as the most compelling betting option for this clash. Despite their current struggles, the Lions’ defensive solidity cannot be overlooked. They’ve consistently shown resilience at the back, even against stronger Championship opposition. While goals have been hard to come by, the prospect of facing a non-league defence could finally give them the platform to find the net, particularly with the likes of George Honeyman and Langstaff providing creative impetus.
Dagenham, for all their recent improvements, remain inconsistent. Their FA Cup exploits have been admirable, but facing a Championship side away from home is an entirely different challenge. The Daggers have struggled in defence at times, highlighted by their 4-2 loss to Braintree Town on Boxing Day. Additionally, their attacking options are limited, especially if top scorer Dion Pereira remains unavailable. While Josh Rees provides a goal threat, Dagenham are unlikely to breach a Millwall defence that has conceded just 31 goals in 25 Championship matches this season.
The Lions’ recent home performances further support this bet. They’ve kept clean sheets in their last two FA Cup home ties against lower-league opposition, and even during their difficult league campaign, they’ve managed to maintain defensive discipline against teams outside the top half. This pattern suggests that Millwall’s defence should hold firm against Dagenham, who are unlikely to replicate their heroics from earlier rounds.
BettingTips4You.com expert Graham Hartshorn concurs, noting: “Millwall’s defensive strength is undeniable, even during their rough patch. Against a non-league side like Dagenham, it’s hard to see the Lions conceding. Combine that with the attacking opportunities they should create in this tie, and a win to nil becomes the standout option.”
With Neil desperate for his first win in charge and a more favourable opponent to exploit, Millwall should have enough to not only secure progression but do so without conceding.
Correct Score Prediction: Millwall 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge
A 2-0 victory for Millwall appears the most likely outcome. This scoreline reflects the Lions’ defensive prowess and their struggles to score freely, even against weaker sides. While Millwall should dominate possession and create chances, their attacking output remains limited due to injuries to key players like Duncan Watmore and Josh Coburn. Two goals seem a realistic ceiling for this Millwall side, especially as they’ve only scored more than twice in a match once this season.
On the flip side, Dagenham’s ability to frustrate higher-league opponents should prevent the scoreline from becoming a rout. They held Forest Green Rovers to just one goal in their recent draw and will likely adopt a similar strategy of sitting deep and trying to hit on the counter. However, without Pereira’s attacking influence, breaking through Millwall’s defence will prove a step too far.
This prediction also aligns with Millwall’s history in similar fixtures. In their last two FA Cup matches against lower-league opponents, the Lions have emerged 2-0 winners. The combination of their defensive strength and Dagenham’s limited firepower suggests history could repeat itself at The Den.
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