Mexico vs Canada Predictions

Mexico vs Canada predictions, betting tips and match previews for this International friendly clash. Canada aim for their first win against Mexico on US soil in over 20 years as they face El Tri in a friendly at AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas, on Tuesday. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

International Friendly | Sep 11, 2024 at 1:30am UK at AT&T Stadium

Mexico vs Canada Predictions

Will Goals Be the Defining Factor as Canada Take on Mexico?

• Mexico’s Attack Roars Back to Life: In their 3-0 win over New Zealand, Mexico netted as many goals as in their previous four matches combined. This resurgence in form suggests they are finding their rhythm under new management, with Orbelín Pineda and César Huerta leading the charge.
• Canada’s Impressive Press: Canada forced multiple turnovers in their 2-1 victory over the USA, capitalising on defensive errors. Under Jesse Marsch, the Canucks have scored four goals in their last two games, showing a marked improvement in their finishing compared to earlier matches.
• Defensive Vulnerabilities on Both Sides: While Mexico have kept two clean sheets in their last four competitive matches, they have been inconsistent defensively. Canada, meanwhile, have conceded seven goals in their last six games, indicating potential weaknesses for Mexico to exploit.

Best Bet

As the Canadian national team prepare to take on Mexico in a high-profile friendly at the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, both teams are coming into this match with renewed energy and ambitions under their new managers. For Canada, the upcoming encounter represents not just a chance to build on their 2-1 victory over the United States but also an opportunity to break a long-standing drought against Mexico on US soil. On the other hand, Mexico will be riding high after their 3-0 win over New Zealand, looking to maintain momentum under the guidance of their new boss, Javier Aguirre. Both teams have shown improvements recently, but each side remains eager to prove themselves further, especially in preparation for future competitive tournaments.

In addition, the Canucks are buoyed by a historic win over the USA, marked by a resilient performance that saw them capitalise on their opponents’ defensive errors. Meanwhile, Mexico’s comprehensive victory over New Zealand signalled a return to form, with their attack finally clicking after a frustrating run of poor results. With both sides seemingly on an upward trajectory, this friendly could provide fireworks, as each squad aims to further fine-tune their tactics and build confidence ahead of more critical matches. All signs point to a highly competitive and potentially thrilling match, with goals seemingly on the cards given both teams’ recent form in front of goal.

The most compelling bet for this match is the prospect of over 3.5 goals. Both Canada and Mexico are showing positive attacking intent under their respective managers, and this encounter has all the hallmarks of a high-scoring game. Mexico have rediscovered their attacking prowess, as evidenced by their 3-0 win over New Zealand. Crucially, they netted as many goals in that one game as they had in their previous four matches combined, suggesting their forwards are finally in sync. Orbelín Pineda, César Huerta, and Luis Romo all found the back of the net, showcasing Mexico’s varied attacking options and their ability to break down defences.

Canada, meanwhile, have similarly shown a more clinical edge in front of goal. They scored twice against the USA, capitalising on defensive errors, and this marks a noticeable improvement in their conversion rate in recent matches. The Canucks have netted four goals across their last two games, a significant step up from their earlier form under manager Jesse Marsch. With the likes of Jonathan David and Jacob Shaffelburg looking sharp, Canada’s attack is likely to cause problems for Mexico’s defence, which has been solid but not impervious.

Both teams appear rejuvenated offensively, which makes a goal-fest a distinct possibility. Mexico’s defensive solidity—conceding only one goal in their last four competitive fixtures—might be tested here against a Canadian side that has recently found success in high-press situations. On the other hand, while Canada’s defence has kept a few clean sheets, they have also conceded seven goals in their last six matches, suggesting vulnerabilities that Mexico’s potent forwards could exploit.

Our expert at BettingTips4You.com, Gerard Gabasa, adds: “With both teams showing newfound confidence in their attacking play, over 3.5 goals looks like a great value bet here. Mexico are capable of punishing a shaky defence, while Canada have demonstrated they can capitalise on mistakes. Expect goals at both ends in what should be an open and exciting game.”

Given both sides’ offensive resurgence and occasional defensive lapses, backing over 3.5 goals looks like a sound choice. The combination of Mexico’s rediscovered attacking form and Canada’s tendency to press high and force turnovers suggests that neither defence will have an easy night. This match has the potential to go back and forth, with both teams finding the net multiple times.

Correct Score Prediction: Mexico 3-2 Canada

In keeping with our expectation of a high-scoring affair, the correct score prediction for this match is a narrow 3-2 victory for Mexico. Both teams have demonstrated their ability to score, but Mexico’s slight edge in attacking quality should see them through. With Pineda, Huerta, and Romo all in fine form, Mexico are likely to find the back of the net at least a few times, particularly given Canada’s recent defensive record, which has been shaky against better teams.

Canada will not go down easily, however. With Jonathan David leading their line and Jacob Shaffelburg in excellent form, Canada are more than capable of breaching Mexico’s defence. David, in particular, will be a key threat with his sharp movement and finishing ability. While Canada may struggle to keep Mexico at bay, they should have enough in the tank to make this a close contest. Their pressing style under Marsch could lead to turnovers in Mexico’s defensive third, creating opportunities to get on the scoresheet.

This prediction aligns with the best bet of over 3.5 goals, as a 3-2 scoreline would ensure five goals in the match, comfortably surpassing that threshold. Both teams are likely to trade blows in what promises to be a competitive and entertaining contest.

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