Mexico vs Brazil Predictions

Mexico vs Brazil predictions for this friendly clash at Kyle Field. Brazil face Mexico in the US for their first pre-Copa America warm-up match on Saturday evening. Read on for out free match and betting tips.

Mexico
Brazil

Friendlies: | Jun 9, 2024 at 2am UK at Soldier Field

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Mexico vs Brazil Predictions

Brazil Set to Showcase Dominance Against Mexico in Pre-Copa America Warm-Up

Key Stats

– Brazil have conceded seven goals in their last six matches.

– Mexico have lost four of their last seven games.

– Vinicius Junior has been directly involved in 26 goals this season for Real Madrid.

Brazil and Mexico are set to face off in the United States on Saturday evening in a crucial pre-Copa America warm-up match. This friendly encounter offers both teams an opportunity to fine-tune their strategies and gauge their preparedness ahead of the upcoming tournament. Brazil recently played to a thrilling 3-3 draw with Spain, while Mexico suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat against Uruguay. This match will be pivotal for both sides as they seek to build momentum.

Current Form and Tactical Insights

Brazil’s Recent Form and Tactical Approach

Brazil, known as the Seleção, have been inconsistent lately. Under new manager Dorival Junior, they showed promising signs by defeating England 1-0 and drawing 3-3 with Spain. Despite these positive results, their World Cup qualification campaign has been less than stellar, leaving them in sixth place with seven points from six matches.

Dorival Junior has introduced a balanced and dynamic approach, focusing on solid defence and fluid attacking play. The inclusion of Real Madrid stars Eder Militao, Vinicius Junior, and Rodrygo has bolstered both the defence and attack. The midfield, likely to feature Bruno Guimaraes and Douglas Luiz, provides a mix of creativity and defensive stability. With Alisson in goal, Brazil’s defensive line is expected to be formidable.

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Mexico’s Tactical Challenges and Form

Mexico, managed by Jaime Lozano, have had a turbulent run of form. Their recent 4-0 thrashing by Uruguay highlighted significant defensive frailties and a lack of cohesion. El Tri’s inconsistency has seen them win only three of their last seven matches, which includes losses to Honduras, Colombia, and the USA.

Lozano’s tactical setup typically relies on a solid defensive base and quick transitions. However, the team has struggled to implement this effectively. The potential inclusion of Santiago Gimenez, who had an impressive season with Feyenoord, adds a much-needed goal threat. Meanwhile, players like Edson Alvarez and Luis Romo will be crucial in midfield to maintain structure and control.

Expected Lineups and Key Player Roles

Brazil’s Probable Starting XI:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Starting XI: Alisson; Danilo, Militao, Marquinhos, Wendell; Guimaraes, Luiz; Raphinha, Paqueta, Vinicius; Rodrygo

Brazil’s lineup is expected to feature a strong blend of youth and experience. Alisson will provide security in goal, while the defence will be marshalled by Militao and Marquinhos. The midfield duo of Bruno Guimaraes and Douglas Luiz will look to control the tempo and break up Mexican attacks. The attacking trio of Raphinha, Paqueta, and Vinicius, with Rodrygo leading the line, promises creativity and flair.

Mexico’s Probable Starting XI:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Starting XI: Rangel; B Garcia, Guzman, Orozco, Montes; Alvarez, Beltran; Romo, Vega, Huerta; Gimenez

Mexico’s starting lineup is likely to include Santiago Gimenez, who will spearhead the attack. Edson Alvarez and Erick Beltran will anchor the midfield, providing defensive cover and distribution. Alexis Vega and Luis Romo are expected to add creativity and support from the wings, while the defensive line will aim to be more solid than in their recent outing against Uruguay.

Tactical Battle and Key Duels

The match is likely to be decided in the midfield, where the battle between Brazil’s Guimaraes and Mexico’s Alvarez will be crucial. Brazil’s ability to maintain possession and control the game’s tempo will hinge on this duel. Additionally, the defensive duel between Marquinhos and Gimenez will be key, as Brazil will look to neutralise Mexico’s main attacking threat.

Predictions and Betting Angles

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Best Bet: Brazil -1 to Win

Given Brazil’s superior squad and recent positive results under Dorival Junior, they are the favourites to win this match. Their attacking prowess combined with a solid defensive setup should see them through against a struggling Mexican side. A convincing win for Brazil appears to be the most likely outcome.

Correct Score Prediction: Brazil 2-0 Mexico

Considering Brazil’s defensive strength and Mexico’s recent struggles in attack, a 2-0 victory for Brazil seems plausible. This scoreline aligns with their recent meetings, where Brazil have often won without conceding. The Selecao’s ability to manage the game and exploit Mexico’s defensive lapses should see them secure a comfortable win.

Goalscorer Prediction: Vinicius Junior to Score

Vinicius Junior’s form and ability to break down defences make him a prime candidate to score. His pace and dribbling skills will be a constant threat to Mexico’s backline. Given his recent performances for Real Madrid, he is likely to find the net in this encounter.

Corner Prediction: Brazil to Win Most Corners

Brazil’s attacking style and possession-based approach typically result in a high number of corners. With wingers like Raphinha and Vinicius constantly pressing the opposition, Brazil are expected to win more corners than Mexico. A total of over 8.5 corners in the game seems a reasonable prediction, considering both teams’ attacking tendencies.

Innovative Market Prediction: Total Team Shots on Target Over 8.5

Given both teams’ attacking setups, there should be plenty of shots on target. Brazil’s ability to create chances and Mexico’s need to respond will likely result in a high number of shots. Betting on the total shots on target exceeding 8.5 is a viable option.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.