Metz vs PSG Predictions

Metz vs PSG predictions, betting tips and match previews for their Ligue 1 clash. Paris Saint-Germain conclude their triumphant Ligue 1 campaign against relegation-threatened Metz at Stade Saint-Symphorien on Sunday. Read on for our free Ligue 1 predictions and betting tips.

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34 – May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK at Stade Saint-Symphorien

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Metz vs PSG Predictions

PSG’s Final Flourish: Can Metz Survive the Champions’ Onslaught?

Paris Saint-Germain conclude their Ligue 1 season with a trip to the Stade Saint-Symphorien to face Metz, who are fighting to avoid relegation. PSG, having secured the league title, will look to end their campaign on a high, while Metz are desperate for points to ensure they stay in the top flight.

PSG’s Dominance and Recent Form

PSG’s season has been a mix of highs and lows, but they have ultimately clinched the Ligue 1 title. Despite a mid-season wobble and an early exit from the Champions League at the hands of Borussia Dortmund, they have remained dominant domestically. Their recent form includes a strong 2-1 victory over Nice, which followed a surprising 3-1 defeat to Toulouse.

Kylian Mbappe, their star forward, has been the standout performer, although his relationship with the club’s hierarchy has been under strain. His absence against Nice due to a hamstring issue was notable, but he is expected to feature in this match, potentially making his last appearance for PSG before a likely move to Real Madrid. PSG’s attacking threat is further bolstered by players like Marco Asensio and Bradley Barcola, who have been instrumental in recent matches.

Metz’s Struggle for Survival

Metz have had a tumultuous season, currently sitting in 16th place. Their hopes of avoiding relegation hinge on this final match, with a recent run of three consecutive defeats putting them in a precarious position. The heartbreaking loss to Strasbourg, where they conceded two late goals, encapsulates their season’s struggles.

Georges Mikautadze has been a bright spot for Metz, scoring in each of his last six games. However, the team has suffered from inconsistencies and injuries, with key players like Ablie Jallow and Benjamin Tetteh sidelined. Metz’s defence has been particularly leaky, conceding 56 goals, the second-highest in the league.

Expected Lineups and Tactical Approaches

Paris Saint-Germain:

Possible Starting XI: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Skriniar, Beraldo; Ruiz, Vitinha, Zaire-Emery; Asensio, Mbappe, Barcola

PSG are likely to field a strong side to end the season positively. Mbappe’s return will add firepower upfront, supported by Asensio and Barcola. The midfield trio of Ruiz, Vitinha, and Zaire-Emery will look to control the game, while the defence, anchored by Marquinhos and Skriniar, will aim to keep Metz at bay.

Metz:

Possible Starting XI: Oukidja; Colin, Traore, Sane, Cande; Van Den Kerkhof, Camara, Jacques, N’Doram, Diallo; Mikautadze

Metz will rely heavily on Mikautadze for goals. The midfield and defence will need to be solid to withstand PSG’s attacks. The return of some injured players could provide a much-needed boost.

Key Areas and Player Duels

Midfield Control: Vitinha vs. Camara Vitinha’s ability to dictate play and break up opposition attacks will be crucial for PSG. Camara, Metz’s lynchpin, will need to counter this and ensure his team can transition quickly from defence to attack.

Defensive Stability: Marquinhos vs. Mikautadze Marquinhos, PSG’s defensive stalwart, will have the task of containing Mikautadze. Mikautadze’s recent scoring streak makes him a significant threat, and Marquinhos’ leadership and defensive prowess will be tested.

Attacking Threat: Mbappe vs. Traore Mbappe’s pace, skill, and finishing ability will be a constant threat to Metz’s defence. Traore will have to be vigilant and well-positioned to limit Mbappe’s impact.

Tactical Insights and Managerial Critique

PSG

Strengths:

• Superior attacking capabilities with Mbappe, Asensio, and Barcola.
• Solid midfield control with Vitinha and Ruiz.
• Experienced defence led by Marquinhos.

Weaknesses:

• Occasional defensive lapses.
• Potential over-reliance on key players like Mbappe.
• Mid-season inconsistencies.

Metz

Strengths:

• Resilient performances despite being in the relegation zone.
• Mikautadze’s goal-scoring form.
• Strong home support.

Weaknesses:

• Poor defensive record.
• Inconsistent performances.
• Key player injuries affecting team stability.

Managerial Analysis

Luis Enrique (PSG) Enrique has managed to secure the Ligue 1 title, but his tenure has been marred by inconsistent performances and an early Champions League exit. His tactical flexibility has been commendable, yet questions remain about his ability to get the best out of a star-studded squad consistently.

Laszlo Boloni (Metz) Boloni has faced a challenging season with Metz, struggling to find consistency. His tactics have often been reactive, focusing on damage limitation rather than proactive strategies. His ability to motivate and organise his team for this crucial match will be pivotal.

Expected Gameplay and xG Analysis

PSG’s expected goals (xG) reflect their high-quality chance creation, primarily through quick transitions and individual brilliance. Metz’s xG is lower, indicative of their struggle to create clear-cut chances. PSG are likely to dominate possession, using their midfield control and attacking prowess to break down Metz’s defence. Metz will rely on counter-attacks and set-pieces to create scoring opportunities.

Predictions

Best Bet: PSG to Win and Both Teams to Score

Given PSG’s attacking strength and Metz’s desperation, a high-scoring affair seems likely. Metz, with Mikautadze in form, could find the net, but PSG’s quality should see them secure a victory.

Correct Score Prediction: PSG 3-1 Metz

Aligning with the best bet, a 3-1 scoreline for PSG seems probable. PSG’s superior firepower and Metz’s defensive vulnerabilities suggest a comfortable win for the visitors, albeit with Metz managing to score.

Goalscorer Prediction: Kylian Mbappe

Mbappe, making potentially his final appearance for PSG, is expected to shine. His goal-scoring ability and determination to end on a high note make him a strong candidate to score.

First Team to Score: PSG

PSG’s attacking prowess, especially with Mbappe back, suggests they will score first. Metz’s defensive issues further support this prediction.

Innovative Market Prediction: Total Corners Over 9.5

Both teams average a significant number of corners per game. PSG’s attacking style and Metz’s reliance on set-pieces could lead to numerous corners, making over 9.5 a plausible prediction.

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