Marseille vs Montpellier Predictions

Marseille vs Montpellier predictions for this Ligue 1 clash. Marseille aims to continue their unbeaten Ligue 1 streak against Montpellier HSC in gameweek 23’s finale at Stade Velodrome on Sunday. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.


Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23 – Feb 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK at Stade Velodrome

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Marseille vs Montpellier Predictions

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A Tactical Tête-à-Tête: Marseille’s Quest for Home Dominance vs. Montpellier’s Resolve

Key Stats
– Marseille remains unbeaten at home in Ligue 1 this season, showcasing their fortress-like Stade Velodrome.
– Montpellier has lost six of their 10 away league games, highlighting their travel woes.
– Aubameyang emerges as a key figure, with his Europa League performance underscoring his potential to influence the upcoming clash significantly.

In the panorama of French football, the impending clash between Marseille and Montpellier HSC stands as a testament to resilience and ambition. Marseille, under the new stewardship of Jean-Louis Gasset, seeks redemption after a winless streak, while Montpellier aims to defy odds by clinching back-to-back league victories for the first time this season. This match not only embodies the pursuit of league superiority but also the intricate battle of tactical wits and team spirit.


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Team Composition and Tactical Outlook

Marseille’s lineup, led by the experienced Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, hints at an attacking formation aimed at exploiting Montpellier’s defensive vulnerabilities. The absence of Jonathan Clauss through suspension and injuries to key players could see Gasset tweaking his strategy, potentially giving Moumbagna and Sarr pivotal roles on the flanks to stretch Montpellier’s defence.

Montpellier, on the other hand, confronts its own set of challenges. The possible starting lineup, featuring Lecomte in goal and a defensive setup comprising Omeragic and Sagnan, suggests a focus on solidity at the back, coupled with the intent to launch counter-attacks through Nordin and Tamari’s pace upfront.

Key Battles and Strategic Nuances

The duel between Marseille’s attacking prowess and Montpellier’s defensive resolve will be critical. Aubameyang’s form and lethal finishing ability pose a significant threat, while Montpellier’s Savanier, with his midfield creativity, holds the key to unlocking Marseille’s defence. The tactical acumen of both Gasset and Michel Der Zakarian will be under scrutiny, as they manoeuvre their squads through this high-stakes encounter.

Prognosis and Suggestions for Improvement

Marseille’s recent form, especially at home, paints a picture of a fortress yet to be breached in Ligue 1 this season. However, their inability to convert draws into wins calls for a more clinical approach in front of goal. Gasset must instil a killer instinct in his forwards to capitalise on their home advantage fully.

Montpellier’s away form and inconsistency pose significant concerns. Der Zakarian must address the team’s defensive lapses and foster a more resilient mindset to turn potential losses into draws or wins, especially in away fixtures.

Decisive Factors and Managerial Critique

The midfield tussle will be decisive, with Marseille’s ability to control the game’s tempo through Ounahi and Gueye pivotal. Montpellier’s Savanier needs to assert his influence to disrupt this rhythm. Gasset’s recent appointment brings a fresh perspective to Marseille, potentially revitalising the squad. However, Der Zakarian faces the challenge of galvanising a team to break a winless streak against a formidable opponent, a task demanding tactical innovation and psychological motivation.

Predictive Analysis

  • Market Prediction: Marseille to Win Considering Marseille’s unbeaten home record in Ligue 1 and Montpellier’s struggles on the road, a victory for Les Olympiens seems plausible. Despite Montpellier’s sporadic flashes of brilliance, Marseille’s balanced attack and defensive solidity, coupled with the morale boost from their Europa League victory, should see them through.
  • Correct Score Prediction: Marseille 2-0 Montpellier HSC Marseille’s defensive record at home, conceding just six goals in 11 games, against a Montpellier side that has struggled for goals away, suggests a clean sheet for the hosts. With Aubameyang leading the line, Marseille is likely to find the net a couple of times.
  • Goalscorer Prediction: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Aubameyang’s proven track record and recent form position him as a likely candidate to score. His experience and predatory instincts make him a constant threat, particularly against a Montpellier defence that has shown vulnerabilities.
  • Corner Prediction: Total Corners Over 9 Marseille’s attacking approach, combined with Montpellier’s potential to launch counter-attacks, suggests a game with several corner opportunities. Both teams’ tactical setups favour wide play, likely resulting in a high number of corners.
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Robin Bylund
Robin is a Premier League fanatic from Sweden that barely misses a minute of action from England's top flight. Robin's been with us since 2015 and combines his work for us with his own Podcast, while also freelancing as a translator and content producer for various media outlets.