Marseille vs Lens predictions for Sunday’s Ligue 1 clash at Orange Velodrome. Marseille will face Lens in the concluding match of Ligue 1’s gameweek 31 at the Orange Velodrome on Sunday evening, capping off a packed schedule. Read on for our free Ligue 1 predictions and betting tips.
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31 – Apr 28, 2024 at 8pm UK at Stade Velodrome
Marseille vs Lens Predictions
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A High-Stakes Showdown at the Velodrome: Marseille vs Lens
Key Stats
– High-Octane Offence: Marseille have found the back of the net 45 times this season, averaging 1.5 goals per game, with a significant 84% of their goals coming from inside the penalty area.
– Defensive Solidity at Home: Despite recent struggles, Marseille have lost only one of their 15 home games this season, showcasing their resilience at the Orange Velodrome.
– Lens’s Road Woes: Lens have lost their last two away matches by the same 2-1 scoreline, underlining their vulnerability when travelling, despite their overall defensive steadiness.
As the Ligue 1 season draws to a tantalising close, the match between Marseille and Lens at the Orange Velodrome emerges as a critical fixture in the battle for European qualification. With Lens clinging to the final continental spot and Marseille trailing by a mere five points, this encounter is set to be a riveting clash in the French top flight.
Team Dynamics and Expected Lineups
Marseille’s Formation and Tactical Outlook
Marseille, under the interim guidance of Jean-Louis Gasset, will likely deploy a formation that maximises their home advantage and addresses their recent inconsistent performances. The expected lineup for Marseille includes Lopez in goal, with a defensive trio of Clauss, Balerdi, and Garcia. The midfield is likely to see Harit, Veretout, Kondogbia, and Gueye in key roles, supporting Henrique, Aubameyang, and Correa in the attack.
This lineup suggests a focus on width and creativity from the flanks, where Clauss and Harit’s overlapping runs could prove pivotal. Aubameyang remains the focal point of their attack, with his prolific scoring ability crucial to Marseille’s chances.
Lens’s Approach and Player Roles
Lens, managed by Franck Haise, is set to counter with Samba between the sticks, backed by a defensive line consisting of Aguilar, Danso, and Medina. The midfield battle will feature Frankowski, Mendy, El Aynaoui, and Machado, with Sotoca, Wahi, and Costa leading the offensive efforts.
Lens’s formation emphasises control and progression through the midfield, where El Aynaoui’s role as an advanced playmaker will be critical in linking play and creating opportunities for Sotoca and Wahi.
Tactical Analysis: Key Battles and Strategic Play
Midfield Maestros and Flank Forays
The game is expected to be won or lost in midfield where both teams boast strong contingents. Marseille’s Kondogbia and Veretout will need to disrupt Lens’s rhythm and prevent El Aynaoui from dictating play. Simultaneously, the width provided by Marseille’s wide players could stretch a Lens defence that has shown vulnerability on the road.
Defensive Diligence and Offensive Opportunism
Lens’s defensive setup will be tested by the dynamic movement of Aubameyang and Correa. Conversely, Marseille’s defence must remain vigilant against Lens’s counter-attacks, particularly through the pace of Wahi and the positioning of Sotoca.
Individual Match-Ups to Watch
A key duel to watch will be between Marseille’s Aubameyang and Lens’s Danso. Aubameyang’s sharp movements and finishing skills will challenge Danso’s defensive acumen. Additionally, the midfield tussle between Kondogbia and El Aynaoui will be crucial in tilting the scale of possession and influence towards their respective teams.
Potential Game Deciders and Areas of Influence
The match could very well hinge on the effectiveness of the wide areas. Marseille’s ability to exploit the flanks could unsettle Lens’s three-man defence. Moreover, set-pieces and direct attacks through the centre could play pivotal roles, given both teams’ tendencies to concede from these situations.
Predictions and Betting Angles
Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals
Given the attacking talents on display and the defensive vulnerabilities both teams have shown, especially in high-stakes games, betting on a high-scoring match appears prudent. Marseille’s last five games have consistently featured more than two goals, mirroring Lens’s trend in away fixtures.
Correct Score Prediction: Marseille 2-1 Lens
Aligning with the best bet, a 2-1 victory for Marseille seems a likely outcome. Despite their European commitments potentially distracting them, Marseille’s need for points in the league and their stronger home form should edge this closely fought contest.
Goalscorer Prediction: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to Score
Aubameyang’s form has been impressive, with 13 goals this season, including critical strikes in recent fixtures. His ability to find space and finish from various angles makes him a prime candidate to get on the scoresheet once again.
First Half Result: Draw
Expect both teams to start cautiously, given the stakes. A drawn first half is probable, as both sides measure each other’s tactics and look to avoid early setbacks, setting the stage for a more open second half.
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