Marseille vs Brighton Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews. Can the Seagulls bounce back from their weekend thrashing by Villa to claim their first European win when they travel to Marseille for their second Europa League match? Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.
Match Live Thursday, 5th October at 5:45 pm In:
Marseille vs Brighton Predictions
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The Tussle for European Redemption
Key Stats
– A whopping eight of Brighton’s last nine games have witnessed a minimum of four goals.
– Both teams found the back of the net in 12 of Brighton’s last 13 matches.
Marseille’s journey in the 2023/24 season can be likened to a plummeting rollercoaster. Their European dreams were shattered early on when they faced a shocking exit from the Champions League qualifications. But the disappointment didn’t end there. Gennaro Gattuso’s troops have found it challenging to get their footing in Ligue 1. Out of seven skirmishes, they’ve managed to amass a mere nine points, positioning themselves at an unsettling 12th spot. The clouds seem to be darkening over Marseille, as they haven’t celebrated a victory in their last five endeavours. Their latest escapade saw them tasting a bitter 3-2 defeat against Monaco, even though the scales of the game remained fairly balanced.
Brighton’s Hopes Dimming
On the English side of the Channel, Brighton began their season with promises shining bright. Four commendable victories in their first five outings gave fans much to cheer about. However, the recent dip in form has raised concerns. Brighton’s record has been tarnished with three defeats in their last four games.
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Their most recent loss, a staggering 6-1 to Aston Villa, was a bitter pill to swallow. With Villa leading 3-0 in just the 26th minute, Roberto De Zerbi’s Brighton looked like a shadow of their former selves. Such a devastating loss undoubtedly leaves scars on the morale, making the impending clash against Marseille all the more challenging.
Key Players to Watch
For Marseille, the likes of Emran Soglo and Ismaïla Sarr, with BettingTips4You Expert Ratings of 7.50 and 7.40 respectively, have shown flashes of brilliance, even in adversity. Sarr, alongside Vitinha, has also been their top goalscorer with 2 goals each this season.
Brighton, on the other hand, has seen exceptional performances from Pascal Groß and Solly March, boasting impressive ratings of 7.80 and 7.44. Young gun Evan Ferguson has also been a beacon of hope, netting the ball four times this season.
Stats Dive
Marseille’s average attacking statistics, such as 1.3 goals scored per game and a big chance creation of 2.3, are countered by their defensive woes, having conceded 1.6 goals on average. This portrays a team struggling to find a consistent rhythm. Conversely, Brighton’s stats tell a tale of a team that’s more offensively potent, averaging 2.7 goals per game. However, their defence has been porous, allowing 2 goals per match on average.
Predictions
1. Match Outcome Prediction: Both Teams to Score
The Rationale:
Both squads have demonstrated the ability to penetrate defences and put numbers on the board. The Seagulls, in particular, have been a beacon of attack, with both teams finding the net in 12 of their last 13 encounters. The flair of Brighton’s attacking intent under Roberto De Zerbi has been clear this season. In addition, Marseille, despite their ongoing challenges, have managed to score nine goals in their seven Ligue 1 matches.
On the other side, Marseille’s defence seems to be under duress, having conceded ten goals in their last three outings. With Brighton’s propensity to press forward, there’s a high likelihood they’ll exploit these vulnerabilities. Hence, with these teams clashing, the prospect of both teams scoring seems very plausible.
2. Correct Score Prediction: 3-1 in favour of Brighton
The Rationale:
Brighton’s recent matches have often been a goal-fest. Excluding their singular 1-0 defeat against Chelsea, every other game this season witnessed four or more goals. On the other hand, Marseille’s defence appears to be going through a turbulent phase, having allowed ten goals across their past three matches against teams like Ajax, Paris Saint-Germain, and Monaco. The narrative suggests that Brighton, with their attacking prowess, could exploit Marseille’s shaky defence, leading to a game with multiple goals. A 3-1 scoreline seems feasible considering Brighton’s current form and Marseille’s defensive lapses.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: Evan Ferguson to score
The Rationale:
Evan Ferguson is, undoubtedly, one of Brighton’s standout performers this season. He tops their goalscoring chart in the Premier League for 2023/24, having found the back of the net on four occasions. This kind of form generally indicates a player’s confidence in front of goal and his pivotal role in a team’s attacking strategy. Given Marseille’s recent defensive struggles, Ferguson will likely see opportunities to extend his goal tally. Betting on him to score seems to be a reasonable expectation.
4. Corner Prediction: Marseille to have more corners, with a total of 12 corners in the game
The Rationale:
Marseille’s attacking data shows that they have averaged 6.3 corners per match in their Ligue 1 encounters, slightly more than Brighton’s average of 5.6 in the Premier League. Given the anticipated pace and intensity of this match-up, we can expect both teams to create several scoring opportunities and press high up the pitch. If Brighton stays true to their attacking intent and forces Marseille on the back foot, Marseille will likely resort to counter-attacks, leading to more corners. With both teams’ combined average, a total of 12 corners in the match seems like a reasonable expectation.
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