Marseille vs Ajax Predictions

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Marseille vs Ajax Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews. Marseille and Ajax meet at Stade Velodrome on Tuesday, chasing their first Champions League points in over 50 years since their last encounter. Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

Champions League | Sep 30 2025 at 8:00 pm UK at Stade Velodrome

Marseille vs Ajax Predictions

Can Marseille Overpower Ajax in a Clash of Two Giants Searching for Form?

• Marseille’s European defensive struggles
  • They have conceded in 21 of their last 22 Champions League fixtures, making a clean sheet at this level a rare and fragile achievement.
• Ajax’s away record in Europe
  • The Dutch side have gone six straight Champions League away matches without a clean sheet, underlining their vulnerability on the road.
• Aubameyang’s Ajax habit
  • The striker has scored five times in his last two appearances against Ajax, proving he thrives against this particular opponent.

Best Bet for Marseille vs Ajax

Tuesday night at the Stade Vélodrome will bring back memories of football’s golden age, as Marseille and Ajax meet in the Champions League for the first time in over half a century. It is a fixture steeped in European tradition, yet both sides come into this one looking more fragile than formidable. Marseille were undone late on by Real Madrid in their opener, falling to a harsh penalty after matching the Spanish champions for long spells. It was one of those defeats that leaves you furious rather than embarrassed, and the sense of injustice could easily fuel their fire.

Ajax, meanwhile, looked toothless against Inter, barely troubling the Italians and registering only two efforts on target in front of their own fans. Their new campaign in Europe’s premier competition has begun like a nightmare they can’t quite wake up from, and their away form this season hardly offers reassurance. The Dutch side haven’t picked up a competitive away win yet, and arriving in Marseille’s intimidating home arena will feel like a baptism of fire for a team still searching for its rhythm.

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Best Bet for Marseille vs Ajax

At BettingTips4You we keep things clear and focused, giving you one Best Bet per match – the single selection we truly believe in. For this game, our ultimate choice is Marseille to Win and Both Teams to Score.

The reasoning is grounded in the form and flaws of both clubs. Marseille showed against Real Madrid that they are capable of producing high-intensity football. Timothy Weah got on the scoresheet in that match, while Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has made a habit of tormenting Ajax, with five goals across their last two encounters. The home crowd at the Vélodrome can be ferocious, and with Marseille having shut out Paris Saint-Germain in Ligue 1 just days ago, they will feel confident of carrying that resilience into Europe.

The trouble, however, lies in their defensive record in this competition. Marseille have conceded in 21 of their last 22 Champions League games, which makes it difficult to trust them to keep a clean sheet. Ajax may look flimsy, but they still possess dangerous individuals like Wout Weghorst, who has the knack for popping up with important goals, even if he’s not fully fit. Add in Kenneth Taylor’s strike at the weekend in Eredivisie action, and it would be naïve to write off their ability to score.

Ajax’s issues are deeper: they are leaking goals and haven’t recorded a clean sheet in this tournament away from home since 2019. John Heitinga’s men tend to crumble under sustained pressure, and Marseille’s direct style could be too much to handle.

As BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Semproni explained:

“Marseille thrive on the chaos of the Vélodrome atmosphere. They might not keep Ajax out, but with Aubameyang and Weah in form, they should have enough to win with goals on both sides.”

When it comes to a correct score, a 3-1 Marseille victory feels right. Ajax are likely to land a punch, but the French side’s firepower and home advantage should tilt the balance decisively in their favour.

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