Malmo vs Kalmar predictions, betting tips and match previews ahead of this Swedish Allsvenskan contest. Top-of-the-table Malmo face relegation-threatened Kalmar at Eleda Stadion on Friday. Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11 – May 24, 2024 at 6pm UK at Eleda Stadion (Malmo)
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Malmo vs Kalmar Predictions
Malmo Aim to Extend Lead at the Top Against Struggling Kalmar
Key Stats
– Malmo have scored 25 goals in 10 matches this season.
– Kalmar have conceded 19 goals in their campaign.
– Isaac Kiese Thelin has been a key player for Malmo, scoring crucial goals.
As the Swedish Allsvenskan season progresses, Malmo are set to face Kalmar at the Eleda Stadion on Friday evening. This match pits the league leaders against a team currently struggling in the relegation zone. Malmo, with their impressive form, will be looking to consolidate their position at the top, while Kalmar will be desperate to escape the drop zone.
Match Preview
Malmo have started the season in commanding fashion, amassing 25 points from their first ten matches. They have established a three-point lead at the top of the table and are looking to extend this gap with a win against Kalmar. After securing their 23rd championship last season, Malmo have carried their form into the new campaign, winning six of their opening six matches before a minor hiccup against Elfsborg. However, they quickly bounced back with two wins and a draw in their subsequent matches.
In contrast, Kalmar have had a tough start to the season, finding themselves with just 10 points from ten games, which places them in the relegation zone. This is a stark drop from their recent performances, where they managed two sixth-placed finishes and a fourth-placed finish in 2022. Despite their poor start, Kalmar have shown some signs of improvement recently, winning two and drawing one of their last four matches.
Team Analysis and Key Players
Malmo’s success this season can be attributed to their strong attacking play and solid defence. They have scored 25 goals while conceding only six. Key players like Sebastian Nanasi, Derek Cornelius, and Isaac Kiese Thelin have been instrumental in their performances. Nanasi, in particular, has been a standout player with his creativity and vision in the midfield.
Kalmar, on the other hand, have struggled both offensively and defensively. They have scored 17 goals but conceded 19. Their key players include Jacob Trenskow and Simon Skrabb, who have both scored four goals each. Dino Islamovic and Jonathan Ring have also contributed to the team’s attacking efforts. However, Kalmar’s defence has been leaky, and they need to tighten up if they are to get anything from this game.
Tactical Dynamics and Gameplay
Malmo are expected to dominate possession and play an attacking game, leveraging their home advantage. They average 16.5 shots per game, with 6.6 on target, indicating their offensive prowess. Henrik Rydstrom’s side will likely look to control the midfield and create numerous scoring opportunities through players like Nanasi and Peña.
Kalmar will need to adopt a more defensive approach and look to hit Malmo on the counter-attack. Their away form has been inconsistent, but they will hope to capitalise on any chances they get. Henrik Jensen’s tactical plan will revolve around keeping their defensive shape and making the most of set-pieces and counter-attacking opportunities.
Managerial Analysis
Henrik Rydstrom has done an excellent job at Malmo, guiding them to the top of the table with a blend of attacking football and solid defence. His tactical acumen and ability to get the best out of his players have been key to their success. In contrast, Henrik Jensen faces a tough task with Kalmar. His team has shown some resilience in recent matches, but consistency remains an issue. Jensen will need to inspire a disciplined and focused performance from his side to have any chance of upsetting the league leaders.
Expected Lineups and Commentary
Malmo Possible Starting Lineup: Dahlin; Ali, Makolli, Jansson, Cornelius, Busanello; Peña, Johnsen, Nanasi; Botheim, Thelin
Commentary: Malmo’s lineup reflects their strength in depth and attacking intent. Thelin and Botheim will be key in the forward line, supported by a creative midfield trio of Nanasi, Peña, and Johnsen. Defensively, Jansson and Cornelius will be crucial in maintaining their solid record.
Kalmar Possible Starting Lineup: Kindberg; Jansson, Saetra, Sjostedt, Arash; Gojani, Romarinho; Trenskow, Magashy, Ring; Islamovic
Commentary: Kalmar’s lineup indicates a focus on stability and counter-attacking. Islamovic will lead the line, with support from Ring and Trenskow. Their midfield and defence will need to be disciplined and organised to withstand Malmo’s attacks.
Key Areas and Player Duels
The midfield battle will be crucial, with Nanasi and Peña up against Romarinho and Gojani. On the wings, the duels between Trenskow and Busanello, as well as Ring and Ali, will be pivotal. Thelin’s duel with Kalmar’s central defenders Saetra and Sjostedt will be significant in determining Malmo’s attacking success.
Expected Goals Averages
Malmo have averaged 2.5 goals per game this season, highlighting their offensive strength. Kalmar, with an average of 1.7 goals per game, have shown they can score but have struggled defensively. This contrast in goalscoring ability will be a key factor in the match’s outcome.
Potential Betting Angles
Considering Malmo’s strong home form and Kalmar’s defensive issues, betting on Malmo to win and score at least twice is a solid angle. Additionally, given Malmo’s high number of shots on target per game, betting on them to have over 5.5 shots on target offers value.
Predictions
- Best Bet: Malmo -1 to Win Malmo’s impressive form, especially at home, makes them favourites for this match. Their attacking prowess and solid defence should see them secure a win against a struggling Kalmar side. With a perfect home record this season, Malmo are likely to continue their dominance with a solid win.
- Correct Score: Malmo 2-0 Kalmar Given Malmo’s strong defensive record and Kalmar’s struggles in attack, a 2-0 victory for the home side seems plausible. Malmo’s ability to control games and create scoring opportunities should see them secure a comfortable win while keeping a clean sheet.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Isaac Kiese Thelin to Score Anytime Thelin has been a key player for Malmo, consistently finding the net. His positioning, finishing ability, and role as the primary striker make him a strong candidate to score in this match. Given Kalmar’s defensive vulnerabilities, Thelin is likely to add to his goal tally.
- Team to Score First: Malmo Malmo’s strong start to matches and their attacking intent suggest they will be the first to score. They have a tendency to take control of games early, and against a defensively frail Kalmar side, they are expected to find the net first.
- Innovative Market: Total Team Shots on Target for Malmo Over 5.5 Malmo average 6.6 shots on target per game, reflecting their attacking dominance. Betting on them to have over 5.5 shots on target in this match is a promising market, given their ability to create numerous chances.
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