Lyon vs PSG predictions for this Coupe de France Final at Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Paris Saint-Germain face rejuvenated Lyon in Saturday’s Coupe de France final, aiming to secure a domestic double. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Coupe de France | Final – May 25, 2024 at 8pm UK at Stade Pierre-Mauroy
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Lyon vs PSG Predictions
PSG and Lyon Set for a Thrilling Coupe de France Finale
Key Stats
– PSG have scored 81 goals in Ligue 1 this season, averaging 2.4 goals per game.
– Alexandre Lacazette has netted 19 goals for Lyon, contributing significantly to their resurgence.
– PSG have won 14 Coupe de France titles, the most in French football history.
Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon are set to clash in the Coupe de France final, a match that promises drama and high stakes. PSG, aiming to secure a domestic double, face a rejuvenated Lyon side that has miraculously climbed up the league standings to secure Europa League football. This article delves into the form, tactical setups, key player duels, and predictions for this crucial encounter.
Current Form and Context
Paris Saint-Germain:
PSG enter the final with a sense of optimism following back-to-back victories in Ligue 1. Despite a rocky end to their league campaign, including a series of defeats, they managed to retain their Ligue 1 title with relative ease. Their journey in the Coupe de France has been impressive, with a series of dominant performances. Notably, PSG have secured 14 Coupe de France titles, highlighting their dominance in this competition.
The return of key players such as Kylian Mbappe, who was rested in the last match, adds firepower to their lineup. However, injuries to players like Lucas Hernandez and Presnel Kimpembe pose challenges for their defensive stability.
Lyon:
Lyon’s season has been one of two halves. A disastrous start saw them flirting with relegation, but a remarkable turnaround under Pierre Sage has seen them climb to sixth place in Ligue 1, securing Europa League qualification. This resurgence is a testament to Sage’s tactical adjustments and motivational prowess.
In the Coupe de France, Lyon have dispatched several lower-league teams and notable Ligue 1 clubs, showcasing their capability to compete against the best. Their recent form, including a series of wins in the league, positions them as formidable opponents for PSG.
Expected Lineups and Tactical Insights
Paris Saint-Germain:
- Goalkeeper: Donnarumma
- Defenders: Hakimi, Marquinhos, Beraldo, Mendes
- Midfielders: Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Ruiz
- Forwards: Dembele, Ramos, Mbappe
PSG’s lineup is likely to feature a strong attacking trio with Mbappe, Ramos, and Dembele. The midfield, anchored by Vitinha and Ruiz, will aim to control possession and dictate the tempo. Defensively, Marquinhos’ leadership will be crucial in organising the backline against Lyon’s potent attack.
Lyon:
- Goalkeeper: Lopes
- Defenders: Mata, O’Brien, Caleta-Car, Tagliafico
- Midfielders: Caqueret, Matic, Tolisso
- Forwards: Cherki, Lacazette, Benrahma
Lyon’s lineup, spearheaded by the in-form Alexandre Lacazette, will focus on a balanced approach, combining solid defensive organisation with quick transitions in attack. The midfield trio of Caqueret, Matic, and Tolisso provides a blend of creativity and defensive solidity.
Key Areas and Player Duels
The midfield battle will be pivotal, with PSG’s Zaire-Emery and Vitinha up against Lyon’s Caqueret and Matic. Control of this area will dictate the flow of the game. Another crucial duel will be between PSG’s Marquinhos and Lyon’s Lacazette, with the latter in excellent scoring form.
Gameplay Dynamics and Strategic Insights
Paris Saint-Germain:
PSG are expected to dominate possession, leveraging their technical midfielders and dynamic forwards. Their strategy will likely involve quick ball movement to stretch Lyon’s defence and create openings for Mbappe and Ramos. Wing-backs Hakimi and Mendes will provide width and support in attack, aiming to overload the flanks.
Lyon:
Lyon will focus on a structured defensive setup, aiming to absorb pressure and exploit counter-attacking opportunities. Lacazette’s positioning and finishing will be key, supported by the creative talents of Cherki and Benrahma. Set-pieces could also be a crucial aspect of their strategy, given PSG’s occasional vulnerabilities in defending dead-ball situations.
Strengths and Weaknesses
Paris Saint-Germain:
Strengths: PSG’s attacking prowess is their primary strength, with Mbappe leading the charge. Their ability to control possession and create numerous scoring opportunities makes them formidable.
Weaknesses: Defensive inconsistencies and occasional lapses in concentration have been issues. Injuries to key defenders exacerbate these vulnerabilities.
Lyon:
Strengths: Lyon’s recent form and resilience are notable. Their ability to transition quickly from defence to attack and Lacazette’s scoring form are significant strengths.
Weaknesses: Defensively, they can be susceptible to pace and quick ball movement, areas PSG will likely exploit. Their tendency to concede goals has also been a concern.
Managerial Analysis
Luis Enrique: Enrique’s tenure at PSG has been mixed, with success in domestic competitions overshadowed by failures in Europe. His tactical flexibility and ability to motivate star players are strengths, but defensive frailties under his watch have drawn criticism.
Pierre Sage: Sage has transformed Lyon’s season, instilling belief and tactical discipline. His ability to inspire and tactically outmanoeuvre opponents has been key to Lyon’s revival. However, the initial struggles under his management raise questions about consistency.
Expected Goals Analysis and Betting Angles
Paris Saint-Germain:
PSG’s xG metrics highlight their offensive efficiency, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Their ability to create high-quality chances and convert them, especially through Mbappe, makes them a strong attacking force. Defensively, their xGA reflects some vulnerabilities, which Lyon might exploit.
Lyon:
Lyon’s xG indicates a solid attack, with Lacazette being the focal point. Their recent form has seen them consistently score, averaging 1.4 goals per game. However, their xGA suggests defensive challenges, particularly against high-quality opposition like PSG.
Predictions
Best Bet: PSG to win and both teams to score
Given PSG’s attacking strength and Lyon’s recent form, it is likely that both teams will find the net. PSG’s superior firepower should see them emerge victorious, but Lyon’s resurgence means they can also score, making this a balanced prediction.
Correct Score: PSG 3-1 Lyon
PSG’s attacking efficiency and Lyon’s defensive issues suggest a scoreline where PSG dominate but concede at least once. A 3-1 victory aligns with both teams’ recent performances and strengths.
Goalscorer: Kylian Mbappe to score
Mbappe, rested in the previous match, will be eager to make an impact. His scoring record and ability to exploit defensive gaps make him a strong candidate to find the net, likely more than once.
First Half Result: PSG to lead at half-time
PSG’s tendency to start strong, coupled with their attacking lineup, suggests they will take an early lead. Lyon may struggle to cope with the initial pressure, making a PSG half-time lead a probable outcome.
Innovative Market: Total team shots on target (PSG over 7)
PSG’s average of 5.9 shots on target per game, combined with Lyon’s defensive vulnerabilities, indicates that PSG could exceed seven shots on target. With their attacking trio in form, this market offers value.
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