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Lyon vs Basel predictions for This Europa League clash. The Europa League returns to the Groupama Stadium on Thursday evening, where Lyon and Basel meet for the first time in continental competition. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.
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Lyon’s European shape is robust yet proactive: Greif protected by Mata, Niakhate and Tagliafico, while Satriano, Fofana and Šulc supply thrust. Basel counter through Shaqiri and Ajeti, with Schmid advancing. Clean sheets wobble after domestic slips; BTTS live, but Lyon’s home control points to a poised victory on Thursday.
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Lyon’s front four rotate sharply: Šulc between lines, Fofana direct, Satriano ruthless. Basel threaten via Shaqiri’s service and Ajeti’s near-post darts. Expect Lyon to strike early, Basel respond, then late control from Morton and De Carvalho restores order. Set-pieces and counters decide a composed 3–1 win.
Lyon vs Basel Predictions and Best Bets
- Lyon’s Perfect European Start – The French side have won both Europa League fixtures without conceding, showing impressive control in and out of possession.
- Basel’s Recent Goal Rush – The Swiss champions have scored eight times in their last three matches across all competitions, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
- Groupama Fortress Factor – Lyon have not lost consecutive home matches all season, underlining their ability to respond strongly after domestic setbacks.
Can Basel’s Momentum Upset Lyon’s European Rhythm?
The French hosts, riding high in Europe but wobbling slightly domestically, are looking to reassert themselves after two narrow Ligue 1 defeats dented their early-season confidence. Still, Lyon’s European campaign has been spotless so far — two games, two wins, and not a single goal conceded. They sit fifth in the overall standings, three points clear of their Swiss visitors.
Basel arrive full of belief after a comfortable 2-0 win over Stuttgart and a 3-0 league victory at the weekend. Their confidence is palpable, and they seem to have rediscovered that attacking swagger that once made them a feared side on the continent. Yet, history reminds us that French soil hasn’t always been kind to them, with just one away European win in France to their name. With both teams eyeing progression to the next phase, this clash at the Groupama Stadium feels more than just another Thursday night fixture — it’s a test of composure, ambition, and sheer willpower.
Best Bet: Lyon to Win and Both Teams to Score
At BettingTips4You, we’re not in the business of throwing ten different bets your way and leaving you to make sense of them. No, we stand by quality over quantity — one precise selection per match, thoroughly researched and backed by reason. For this fascinating Europa League encounter, our Best Bet is Lyon to Win and Both Teams to Score.
Why Back This Prediction
This pick leans on balance, form, and a bit of psychology. Lyon have been an organised and technically astute side in Europe this season, and their defensive record speaks volumes — no goals conceded across two games is no accident. Their structure, anchored by the likes of Mata, Niakhate, and Tagliafico, has provided Dominik Greif the protection he needs, but there’s also a real edge going forward. The combination of Satriano, Fofana, and Šulc adds fluidity and unpredictability, as demonstrated in their 2-0 win against Salzburg where they looked disciplined yet dangerous on every transition.
Basel, though, are no pushovers. Ludovic Magnin’s men are flying — three straight wins, eight goals scored, none conceded. The strike partnership between Ajeti and Shaqiri’s creative influence behind him has revitalised their attack, and with Daniliuc and Schmid pushing forward from the back, they have genuine width and pace. However, their European away form is more fragile; they’ve lost their last two group games on the road without scoring, which tells you they can falter when the pressure mounts.
The logic behind backing Lyon to win with both sides scoring lies in the contrast between Lyon’s defensive discipline and Basel’s attacking resurgence. Lyon are unlikely to keep another clean sheet given Basel’s current rhythm, but at home, the French side tend to find ways to grind out results, especially in Europe. Fonseca’s men know how to take the sting out of a game, and while they may concede once, their attacking variety should be enough to carry them through.
As BettingTips4You.com expert Emmanuel Nwankwo summed it up:
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“Lyon might bend but they rarely break at home. Basel will fancy their chances, but Lyon’s European confidence should shine through once again. Expect goals, but the French to edge it.”
If we’re being honest, Basel’s chances depend heavily on scoring early. If Ajeti strikes within the first twenty minutes, we might see Lyon forced out of their rhythm — and that’s where it gets interesting. But if Lyon dominate possession as expected, they’ll simply smother Basel’s flow and pick them apart over time.
Predicted Scoreline
A 3-1 victory for Lyon feels the most plausible outcome. Basel have the tools to find the net, especially through Shaqiri’s moments of magic, but Lyon’s greater European sharpness and home comfort should prove decisive. The hosts are unlikely to let their perfect start slip — not here, not now.
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