Luton vs Burnley Predictions

Luton Town vs Burnley predictions for Tuesday’s Premier League affair. Can Luton follow up their impressive win at Goodison Park with another positive result at home or will Burnley take the opportunity in this crucial relegation battle clash? Read on for our free Premier League predictions and betting tips.

Match Live Tuesday, 3rd October at 7:30 pm In:

Luton vs Burnley Predictions



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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

A Crucial Relegation Battle Affair

Key Stats
– Luton Town have managed to score in all of their home games this season.
– Burnley haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last nine Premier League away games.
– Carlton Morris is Luton’s top scorer with 3 goals in the Premier League this season.

Luton Town are buzzing with excitement, having etched their name into the annals of the Premier League with a momentous victory, and now they are set to host Burnley in the upcoming encounter at Kenilworth Road. Their recent 2-1 triumph over Everton not only elevated spirits but also marked a major leap forward from their previous draw with Wolverhampton Wanderers at home. Despite this, they experienced an unexpected EFL Cup defeat against Exeter City. Nevertheless, the team showed resilience when they travelled to Goodison Park. Tom Lockyer and Carlton Morris took centre stage, with the former capitalising on Ashley Young’s mistake and the latter converting Alfie Doughty’s free-kick beautifully.


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Burnley, on the other hand, despite their dominant 4-0 victory over Salford City in the EFL Cup, were kept in check by Newcastle United, suffering a 2-0 loss. Their aspirations for a first Premier League win since their Championship departure remains unfulfilled. Despite holding fond memories of their Kenilworth Road trip earlier this year, where they emerged victorious courtesy of an Ashley Barnes penalty, their form has been a point of concern.

The Teams’ Form

The Hatters’ recent Premier League run can be summarised as: L-L-L-L-D-W. Their performance across all competitions isn’t drastically different, mirroring the former pattern with a W-L-L-D-L-W sequence. However, the Burnley side seems to be struggling, particularly in the Premier League, with their recent form looking like: L-L-L-D-L-L. They’ve fared slightly better across all competitions, registering a W-L-D-L-W-L pattern.

Team News and Expected Line-ups

In the aftermath of the victory over Everton, Luton captain Lockyer suffered an eye injury but played it down post-match. Reece Burke’s reasons for being substituted at half-time remain unclear. Luton’s bench strength looks promising with players like Mads Andersen and Ross Barkley fit and raring to go. On Burnley’s side, while there are no fresh injuries to report post-Newcastle, they’ll be bolstered by the return of attacker Lyle Foster. However, a few players, including Michael Obafemi and Hjalmar Ekdal, are sidelined till the international break.

Luton’s Expected Starting XI: Kaminski; Kabore, Andersen, Lockyer, Bell, Doughty; Nakamba, Barkley; Ogbene, Morris, Adebayo

Burnley’s Expected Starting XI: Trafford; Vitinho, Al-Dakhil, O’Shea, Taylor; Cullen, Berge; Koleosho, Brownhill, Zaroury; Amdouni

Key Players and Statistics

Burnley may be trailing Luton in the Premier League, but they possess an array of talent. Forward Wilson Odobert, midfielder Josh Brownhill, and goalkeeper James Trafford are standout performers with average BettingTips4You Expert Ratings of 7.00, 6.96, and 6.93 respectively.

Luton’s Carlton Morris stands tall with an average rating of 7.17, followed closely by Ross Barkley and Alfie Doughty.


1. Match Outcome: Draw

Considering Luton’s recent upswing in form with their historic victory over Everton and Burnley’s dire track record in the current season, many might anticipate a clear win for the home side. However, it’s crucial to remember that Burnley managed to shut out Luton during their last encounter at Kenilworth Road in 2023. Moreover, the Clarets’ only point this season came from an away draw. This points to a history of Burnley performing decently on Luton’s turf. Given the current form of both teams and historical data, predicting a draw could be a reasonable assessment.

2. Correct Score Prediction: 1-1

While Luton managed to net twice against Everton, they’ve averaged slightly under a goal per game this season, with 5 goals in 6 matches. Burnley, on the other hand, has managed 4 goals from their 6 games. Both sides are struggling at the back, with Luton conceding 12 times and Burnley 15 times in the same period. Based on this, both teams appear likely to score, but given their average scoring rates, a high-scoring affair seems unlikely. A 1-1 draw appears to be a well-balanced prediction given these stats.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Carlton Morris

Carlton Morris is leading the charts for Luton, having scored 3 times this season. His confidence will be high, especially after netting against Everton. With Luton likely to create opportunities at home, Morris stands out as the player most probable to get on the scoresheet. If one was to take a punt on the first goalscorer, Morris would again be a sensible pick given his current form.

4. Corner Prediction: Luton to win the Corner Battle with a Total of 12 Corners

Luton, on average, has managed 6.3 corners per game, slightly more than Burnley’s 5.5. This, combined with the fact that they are playing at home and might be slightly more on the front foot, makes them favourites to win the corner count. However, considering both team’s tendencies and the likelihood of an evenly contested match, a combined corner count might float around 12 for the entire game. This prediction takes into account both teams’ attacking intents and how they’ve fared in recent matches.



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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.