Livingston v Hibs predictions for this Scottish Premiership clash. Hibernian aim to finish top of the Scottish Premiership relegation group against Livingston this weekend. Despite being relegated, Livingston will seek a strong finish on the final day. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38 – May 18, 2024 at 3:00pm UK at Tony Macaroni Arena
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Livingston vs Hibernian Predictions
Hibernian Aim to End Season on a High Against Relegated Livingston
Key Stats
– Hibernian have scored three or more goals in seven of their last nine games.
– Livingston have conceded 69 goals in 37 matches this season.
– Martin Boyle has scored five goals this season, including a brace in his last match.
As the Scottish Premiership season reaches its climax, Hibernian and Livingston face off in a match that holds different stakes for each team. Hibernian aim to finish top of the relegation group, while Livingston, already relegated, look to end their season on a high note. This contest at the Tony Macaroni Arena promises to be an intriguing encounter with plenty of subplots and strategic battles.
Hibernian: Fighting for a Strong Finish
Hibernian currently sit second in the relegation group but are just two points behind Aberdeen, who lead the group. The Hibees will need a victory to have any chance of overtaking Aberdeen, depending on the latter’s result. Hibernian’s recent form has been mixed, but their 3-0 victory over Motherwell, featuring a brace from Martin Boyle and a goal by Myziane Maolida, showcased their potential.
The Hibees have had a stronger home record this season, but their away form has been less consistent. However, they have defeated Livingston twice this season without conceding, indicating their ability to handle the Lions. With the pressure to secure three points, Hibernian will likely adopt an aggressive approach, looking to capitalise on Livingston’s vulnerabilities.
Livingston: Playing for Pride
Livingston’s season has been one to forget, with their relegation already confirmed. Despite this, the lack of pressure might allow them to play with more freedom, potentially leading to a stronger performance. Manager David Martindale will be keen to see his team finish the season on a positive note, using this match as an opportunity to prepare for next season and allow players to showcase their abilities.
In their previous match, Livingston suffered a heavy 5-1 defeat to Aberdeen, despite taking an early lead through Tete Yengi. This result underlined their defensive frailties, which have been a persistent issue throughout the season, conceding 69 goals in 37 matches. Offensively, they have struggled, with only 28 goals scored, highlighting the need for improvements at both ends of the pitch.
Expected Lineups and Tactical Approaches
Livingston (4-2-3-1)
- Goalkeeper: George
- Defenders: Nottingham, Devlin, Kelly, Montano
- Midfielders: Pittman, Brandon
- Attacking Midfielders: Nouble, Kelly, Bradley
- Striker: Yengi
Martindale’s likely setup will focus on a solid defensive structure, with Pittman and Brandon providing cover for the backline. The attacking trio behind Yengi will look to exploit any gaps in Hibernian’s defence, using pace and creativity to create chances.
Hibernian (4-2-3-1)
- Goalkeeper: Wollacott
- Defenders: Cadden, Bushiri, Hanlon, Obita
- Midfielders: Levitt, Newell
- Attacking Midfielders: Campbell, Marcondes, Maolida
- Striker: Vente
David Gray’s side will likely maintain a balanced formation, aiming to control the midfield through Levitt and Newell. The creative force of Marcondes and the finishing prowess of Vente will be crucial in breaking down Livingston’s defence.
Key Battles and Field Dynamics
The midfield battle will be crucial, with Hibernian’s Levitt and Newell up against Livingston’s Pittman and Brandon. Winning this duel will allow either side to control the game’s tempo and dictate play. On the wings, Hibernian’s Maolida and Campbell will look to exploit Livingston’s full-backs, while Yengi’s physical presence will test Hibernian’s central defenders.
Expected Gameplay
Hibernian are expected to take the initiative, pressing high and seeking an early goal to settle nerves. Livingston, with nothing to lose, might adopt a more counter-attacking approach, looking to exploit any spaces left by Hibernian’s aggressive play. The game’s flow will largely depend on Hibernian’s ability to break down a potentially deep-lying Livingston defence.
Areas for Improvement
Hibernian: The Hibees need to address their defensive lapses, particularly in away games. Maintaining focus and avoiding errors will be key to securing a win.
Livingston: Livingston must tighten their defence and improve their attacking efficiency. Greater composure in front of goal and better defensive organisation will be crucial.
Managerial Strengths and Criticisms
David Gray has shown an ability to motivate his team and secure important results, but his tactical flexibility has been questioned at times. Ensuring his team remains focused and disciplined will be essential.
David Martindale has faced criticism for Livingston’s defensive woes and overall poor season. While his leadership has been tested, this match offers a chance to end on a positive note and build towards the future.
Analysis of Key Areas
The midfield will be a battleground, with both teams looking to establish control. Hibernian’s creative players will aim to dominate possession and create chances, while Livingston will look to disrupt play and launch quick counters. Key duels between Hibernian’s wingers and Livingston’s full-backs could decide the game’s outcome.
Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
Hibernian’s expected goals average reflects their offensive capabilities, while Livingston’s defensive xG highlights their vulnerabilities. Hibernian’s higher xG suggests they are likely to create and convert more chances, supporting predictions of a high-scoring game in their favour.
Predictions
Best Bet: Hibernian to Win
Given Hibernian’s superior form and Livingston’s struggles, Hibernian are favoured to secure the win. Their attacking prowess and defensive solidity in previous encounters against Livingston make them the likely victors.
Correct Score Prediction: Livingston 0-3 Hibernian
Hibernian’s ability to score, combined with Livingston’s defensive issues, suggests a comfortable win for the visitors. A 3-0 scoreline reflects Hibernian’s offensive strength and Livingston’s defensive vulnerabilities.
Goalscorer Prediction: Martin Boyle to Score Anytime
Boyle’s recent form, highlighted by his brace against Motherwell, makes him a prime candidate to score. His pace and finishing ability will be crucial in breaking down Livingston’s defence.
Corner Prediction: Over 9.5 Corners
Both teams’ attacking styles and defensive frailties suggest a high number of corners. Hibernian’s average of 5.4 corners per game and Livingston’s 3.2 support this prediction, indicating a match with numerous set-piece opportunities.
Innovative Market Prediction: Total Shots on Target Over 10.5
With both teams averaging a fair number of shots on target per game, this market holds value. Hibernian’s offensive intent and Livingston’s willingness to counter-attack should result in over 10.5 shots on target.
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