Liverpool vs Newcastle Predictions

Liverpool vs Newcastle predictions ahead of the Carabao Cup final on Sunday. Newcastle, desperate for silverware, face holders Liverpool in Sunday’s EFL Cup final at Wembley, aiming to end their long trophy drought. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

EFL Cup | Final | Mar 16, 2025 at 4:30pm UK at Wembley Stadium

Liverpool vs Newcastle Predictions

Can Newcastle End Their Trophy Drought or Will Liverpool Reign Supreme Again?

• Liverpool’s Cup Final Mentality: The Reds have won their last four consecutive EFL Cup finals when defending the trophy from the previous season.
• Newcastle’s Defensive Struggles: The Magpies had conceded at least two goals in five straight matches before their recent 1-0 win over West Ham.
• Head-to-Head Dominance: Liverpool have gone 17 matches unbeaten against Newcastle, including a 2-0 win just a few weeks ago.

Best Bet for Liverpool vs Newcastle

Wembley Stadium will be the stage for Sunday’s EFL Cup final, where Newcastle United will look to bring an end to nearly 70 years of silverware struggles, while Liverpool are on a mission to defend their title. This clash represents two sides on opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to cup pedigree. The Magpies, haunted by years of heartbreak in domestic finals, arrive desperate to rewrite history. Liverpool, on the other hand, are no strangers to these occasions, having lifted the trophy a record 10 times.

The build-up to this final has been anything but smooth for either side. Liverpool come into this game still nursing the wounds of a dramatic Champions League exit to PSG, a match that saw them fall short in a penalty shootout. Newcastle, meanwhile, have had to deal with inconsistency, though they did manage a morale-boosting 1-0 victory over West Ham last Monday, a result that saw them finally keep a clean sheet after a string of leaky defensive performances.

With Liverpool aiming to retain their dominance in the competition and Newcastle determined to claim long-awaited glory, this promises to be a tense and absorbing contest.

Best Bet for This Match: Liverpool to Win & Under 3.5 Goals

At BettingTips4You, we take a quality-over-quantity approach to predictions. Rather than overwhelming readers with endless possibilities, we focus on identifying one carefully selected tip per match, ensuring that we only recommend the strongest bet. For this final, the standout choice is Liverpool to win with under 3.5 goals in the game.

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Why This Is the Best Bet

Liverpool’s ability to turn up on the biggest occasions cannot be overstated. Despite their Champions League disappointment midweek, their domestic form has been imperious, and they remain 15 points clear at the top of the Premier League. Even when they have not been at their absolute best, they have found ways to win, demonstrating the experience and resilience that have made them serial contenders in English football.

Newcastle, for all their determination, are facing an uphill battle. Their form has been patchy, with three defeats in their last five matches across all competitions. While they managed to grind out a 1-0 win against West Ham, they had previously conceded at least two goals in five consecutive matches, a worrying sign ahead of facing a Liverpool side that knows how to exploit defensive weaknesses.

One major issue for Eddie Howe’s team is their struggles against Liverpool historically. The Magpies have failed to beat Liverpool in 17 straight meetings, including a 2-0 loss at Anfield just weeks ago. The mental block of facing the Reds in a final, especially with their history of failing in these moments, cannot be ignored.

Another key factor is Liverpool’s squad depth and game management. They will be without Trent Alexander-Arnold, Joe Gomez, and Conor Bradley, leaving their right side exposed. However, Newcastle will also be missing key players, including Anthony Gordon (suspended), while Lewis Hall, Sven Botman, and Jamaal Lascelles are all injured. The absence of Gordon, in particular, removes a crucial attacking outlet.

Newcastle will look to Alexander Isak, who has four goal involvements in five previous games against Liverpool, but even with his presence, breaking down a well-drilled Liverpool defence led by Virgil van Dijk will be a tough challenge.

Liverpool are unlikely to blow Newcastle away, but a disciplined, professional performance should see them edge this final. Given Newcastle’s inconsistency in front of goal and Liverpool’s ability to control finals, a low-scoring win for the Reds looks the most probable outcome.

BettingTips4You.com expert quote:
“Experience in finals counts for everything, and Liverpool know how to get the job done. Newcastle’s hunger is undeniable, but Liverpool’s mentality and squad depth make them the safer bet. Expect a professional display from the Reds.”

A 2-0 victory for Liverpool seems a logical conclusion. Newcastle might offer some resistance, but Liverpool’s structure and game management should see them through comfortably without the match becoming a high-scoring affair.

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