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Liverpool vs Everton predictions for this Premier League fixture. Liverpool host Everton at Anfield on Saturday for the 247th Merseyside derby, with the Premier League champions aiming to assert dominance over their city rivals. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Premier League | Sep 19 2025 at 12:30 pm UK at Anfield
Liverpool vs Everton Predictions
Could this derby come down to one flash of genius on the flanks?
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- Late-show specialists: Liverpool have produced 29% of all Premier League goals scored in the 90th minute and beyond this season (4 of 14), with three league wins requiring stoppage-time heroics.
- Blues on the road: Everton have won six of their last 11 Premier League away matches (D2 L3), all six victories coming in 2025, a marked shift from their previous 30-game travel slump.
- Tight margins again: Three of Liverpool’s four Premier League wins have been by a single goal, and only one of the last seven derbies has reached three or more goals, pointing to another nervy squeeze.
Best Bet for Liverpool vs Everton
John McGinn To Score Or Assist | |
3/1 - odds when tipped | |
Reasoning Backing McGinn to score or assist at 3/1 makes sense: he is Villa’s heartbeat, Fulham concede space centrally, and pressure demands he delivers. | |
Anfield is primed for another of those Merseyside lunches that taste faintly of nerves. Liverpool are the reigning champions and they arrive with a perfect Premier League record, yet it’s been anything but serene. They’ve developed a flair for late theatre, almost as if they prefer the script to wobble before the big finale.
The midweek 3–2 against Atletico Madrid said it all: early control through Andrew Robertson and Mohamed Salah, a lapse punished twice, then Virgil van Dijk swatting away chaos with a stoppage-time header on Arne Slot’s birthday. It’s become a habit. A slightly worrying one if you’re a coach, a delight if you’re a neutral, and a rollercoaster if you’re a Red.
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Everton make the short trip with a little swagger of their own. A seven-point haul from three league matches after the opening stumble at Leeds, cup progress, and a sturdier feel at the back give them a platform. They were frustrated by Aston Villa in a goalless draw last weekend despite peppering the goal with 20 efforts, but there’s a shape and organisation about David Moyes’ side that hasn’t always been there. The derby record is what it is, but recent away form in the league—six wins in their last 11—offers encouragement. And yes, that includes the memory of a rare Anfield success in 2021, which at least proves it’s not mythical.
Team wise, Liverpool are near full strength aside from Curtis Jones. Alexander Isak got his legs moving with 58 minutes on his full debut in Madrid, while Hugo Ekitike could easily be the centre-forward chosen for this one. Salah sticks to the right like a magnet to the biggest moments. Alexis Mac Allister is pushing to come back into midfield, and Robertson—fresh from scoring—has reason to believe he keeps his place over Milos Kerkez. Everton’s issues are at the back, where Jarrad Branthwaite is still out and Vitaliy Mykolenko is a doubt; James Garner has been deputising at left-back, with James Tarkowski, Michael Keane and Jake O’Brien sitting in front of Jordan Pickford. Further forward, Jack Grealish—August’s Player of the Month—works the left, Iliman Ndiaye the other flank, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall roams centrally, and the Beto versus Thierno Barry call up top remains that awkward coin flip.
No need to dress it up: the ingredients scream intensity. Liverpool are chasing a fifth straight league win to start their title defence, Everton are hunting credibility across the park. Sparks will fly; someone will light the fuse late.
Best Bet — selected as our single, ultimate prediction
Jack Grealish To Score Or Assist at 5/2
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Here at BettingTips4You we do things differently: one match, one tip, the best bet. No scattergun, no confusion, just a single selection we’re willing to be judged on. For this derby, we’re backing Jack Grealish to score or assist at 5/2—and yes, we know that might raise red eyebrows. But stay with it, because the case is stronger than you think.
Start with the tactical picture. Liverpool are top, but they’ve been living on the edge. Five straight wins across all competitions have involved a decisive strike on or after the 83rd minute, and 29% of all Premier League goals scored in the 90th minute or later this season belong to Liverpool (4 of 14). That tells you two things: matches are tight, and the Reds give you transitions late on. For a ball-carrying wide forward who thrives in broken field running—exactly the phase Grealish enjoys—the final quarter could be gold dust.
Then look at Everton’s shape. With Branthwaite out and Mykolenko a doubt, Moyes has used James Garner as a makeshift left-back. That flips the geometry down Liverpool’s right and Everton’s left. If Garner stays at full-back, he’ll naturally protect inside first, given his midfield background, leaving space outside for Grealish-Dewsbury-Hall combinations. If Mykolenko returns late or half-fit, that’s another angle: Grealish can isolate and draw fouls high, banking set-piece situations where Tarkowski and Keane are potent and where a flick or a second ball becomes the assist avenue. Either route gives Grealish lanes to create, which is what we need for a score/assist ticket to cash.
The consistency is there too. Grealish has already been recognised as the Premier League’s Player of the Month for August, which is a neat shorthand for form. Everton’s broader trend backs it up: four clean sheets in five across competitions suggests they’re compact without the ball, but they’re not shy about pushing numbers when in control—witness the 20 shots against Villa. That volume, even allowing for wastefulness, positions Grealish centrally in chance creation. And if Moyes chooses Beto over Thierno Barry, that gives Grealish a penalty-box reference to hit with cut-backs and clipped crosses. If Barry starts, his running stretches the line, which opens passing corridors—again, Grealish territory.
On the opposite side, Liverpool’s likely selection hints at vulnerability you can exploit without being sensationalist. Jeremie Frimpong is blistering going forward; Salah will not track relentlessly for 90. That means Robertson and Mac Allister (if recalled) will be busy shuffling across whenever Everton turn the ball over. Transitional chaos is where Grealish tends to slip a pass between bodies or carry across the box and draw a clumsy leg. Even if Everton end up with fewer shots than last week, quality carries more weight than quantity in a derby. One carry, one slip pass, one toe-poke squared—that’s all this ticket needs.
What about the tempo? The Merseyside derby often smothers goals—only one of the last seven meetings has seen three or more—but it does not kill decisive actions. Liverpool’s season so far has been a metronome of narrow margins: three of their four league wins have been by a single goal, and they have repeatedly needed late rescue jobs. That keeps Everton in the game long enough for Grealish to get the touches he needs. If Liverpool surge early, our bet remains live via the counter; if the match sinks into a stalemate, Grealish is Everton’s most natural lock-picker. Heads or tails, he gives us two ways to win.
Personnel match-ups matter in the box too. Virgil van Dijk and Ibrahima Konaté can dominate aerially; that nudges Everton away from hopeful lumps and toward manipulated angles on the deck. Grealish excels at drawing the second centre-mid (say, Ryan Gravenberch) into a decision he doesn’t want to make—commit or hold? Commit, and the wall pass is on to Dewsbury-Hall; hold, and Grealish gets a yard to deliver across the six-yard line. Liverpool have conceded game-state chances when protecting leads; they’re not immune to late stress. That’s another minute-80+ pocket where Grealish is alive.
Numbers, form, and context all point the same way. Everton have taken six wins from their last 11 league away days (all six in 2025), so they won’t turn up to make up the numbers. Liverpool are superior overall and should still edge it, but superiority isn’t the enemy of an assist—quite the opposite. Dominant teams invite counter windows; confident underdogs run into them. Grealish feels like the hinge either way.
BettingTips4You.com expert quote — Steve Harrington (UK): “In a derby dripping with fine margins, the safest slice of value is Grealish’s end-product. If Everton do anything meaningful in the final third, he’ll have fingerprints on it.”
If you want a tiny splash of subjectivity: Grealish plays with a little mischief. He’ll happily slow a defender to walking pace, then jab the ball past him and smile as the leg dangles. In a match where emotions will boil, that trick tends to earn either a chance or a booking. We only need one moment to land 5/2. It’s not romantic; it’s just arithmetic with a grin.
How might the football actually look?
Liverpool, even if they rotate at centre-forward—Ekitike or Isak—will funnel much through Salah and Florian Wirtz, with Cody Gakpo knitting between the lines. Mac Allister’s recall would improve their balance alongside Gravenberch. Robertson’s underlaps will matter if Frimpong flies, because that leaves the Reds’ left as an extra entry route. Everton will double the pivot with Idrissa Gueye and Tim Iroegbunam to smother the half-spaces and let Dewsbury-Hall jump out to press the first pass. Ndiaye can carry threat on quick switches, but the cleanest Everton pathway remains Grealish on that left channel, especially if he can turn Konaté towards his own goal.
As for the big moments, Liverpool’s pattern this season points to a late surge—there’s that 29% late-goals slice again—while Everton’s away record in 2025 says they stay in contact. The clash of those truths screams tight scoreline.
Predicted correct score: Liverpool 2–1 Everton. Liverpool’s quality should tell, but Everton’s shape and Grealish’s craft are good enough to nick a moment. It won’t be pretty; it rarely is. But it’ll be compelling, and you may want a lie-down afterwards.
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