Lithuania vs Malta Predictions

Group outsiders Lithuania and Malta clash for this 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifier. Lithuania host Malta at Dariaus ir Girėno Stadium on Thursday, 4 September 2025, 17:00, in their fifth World Cup qualifying group match. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

World Cup | Sep 4 2025 at 7:00 pm UK at Dariaus ir Girėno Stadium

Lithuania vs Malta Predictions

Can Lithuania Finally Deliver or Will Malta Stun Them in Kaunas?

• Malta’s goal drought
  • Malta have failed to score in all four of their World Cup qualifiers so far, managing just two draws and three defeats in their last five matches overall.
• Lithuania’s cautious approach
  • Lithuania have scored only two goals in three qualifiers, but their defensive organisation has kept them competitive in all but one match.
• Heavy defeats highlight gulf
  • Malta’s 8-0 thrashing by the Netherlands exposed defensive gaps, while Lithuania’s 5-0 loss to Denmark shows both sides crumble against stronger opposition.

Best Bet for Lithuania vs Malta

The Dariaus ir Girėno Stadium in Kaunas prepares to host what many might call a relegation battle of international football, as Lithuania and Malta lock horns in a World Cup qualifier neither can afford to lose. Lithuania sit fourth in the group with two points from three matches, while Malta are bottom with just a single point from four games. Neither side has managed to win so far, so the tension in this one will be sky-high.

Lithuania’s last outing ended in humiliation with a 5-0 battering away to Denmark, showing just how far they still have to go to compete with the stronger sides in Europe. At home, though, they tend to be more compact and harder to break down, and they’ll cling to that as they try to secure their first win. Malta, meanwhile, arrive with their own problems. They’ve been absolutely dreadful in front of goal, failing to score in all four qualifiers, while their defence completely imploded in an 8-0 thrashing at the hands of the Netherlands. Something has to give on Thursday evening, but which side will seize the opportunity?

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Best Bet for This Match: Lithuania to Win and Both Teams Not to Score

At BettingTips4You we stand by one principle: quality over quantity. Instead of showering readers with multiple half-hearted tips, we provide one carefully selected prediction per game. This keeps things transparent and gives you one clear option. For this fixture, the best bet is Lithuania to win and Both Teams Not to Score.

The argument is fairly straightforward. Lithuania are not a high-scoring side, but Malta’s impotence in attack is shocking—even by their modest standards. They’ve gone through four qualifiers without hitting the net, a statistic that screams weakness. At the same time, they’ve conceded 11 goals, meaning their backline leaks under the smallest pressure. Lithuania may not be prolific, but with Will Dean marshalling both defence and set-pieces, they have players capable of stepping up. At home, in front of their supporters, this feels like their moment to finally get three points.

Malta’s problem is that they’re not just losing; they’re getting battered. An 8-0 defeat in Holland wasn’t just embarrassing, it highlighted a lack of organisation and fight. Even against middle-tier opponents they’ve been passive, relying too much on damage limitation tactics that still result in defeat. And if they can’t score, it’s almost impossible to see them grinding out a result in Kaunas.

BettingTips4You.com expert quote (Wolfgang Shotten):

“This is exactly the type of match where Lithuania’s resilience meets Malta’s fragility. One goal could be enough for the hosts, because Malta simply do not look capable of replying.”

It might not be pretty, it might not thrill the neutrals, but the pragmatic choice here is Lithuania to win without conceding. They’ll be wary of making mistakes, but Malta’s toothless attack means they can afford to play within themselves.

The correct score prediction is 2-0 for Lithuania. The hosts will have enough to score at least twice, especially given Malta’s defensive frailties, while the visitors’ scoring drought looks unlikely to end here.

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