Leeds vs Burnley Predictions

Leeds vs Burnley Predictions for this Championship fixture. Two promotion favourites, Leeds United and Burnley, face off at Elland Road on Saturday in an exciting Championship clash. Both recently relegated, they’ll be eager to assert dominance in this high-stakes battle. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Championship | Sep 14, 2024 at 12:30pm UK at Elland Road

Leeds vs Burnley Predictions

Will Leeds Continue Their Championship Resurgence Against Burnley?

• Leeds’ defensive strength: Leeds United have kept clean sheets in their last three matches, conceding just three goals across their first four Championship games. Their defensive solidity has been key to their recent success, and they will be aiming for another shutout against Burnley.
• Corners galore at Elland Road: Leeds’ home games have seen a high number of corners, with an average of over 13 corners per game in their last two matches at Elland Road. This suggests that over 10.5 corners is a likely outcome when they face Burnley.
• Burnley’s attacking inconsistency: Despite starting the season with a flurry of goals, Burnley have scored just twice in their last three matches. Their attacking threat has diminished, and they’ll need to improve to break down a resolute Leeds defence on Saturday.

Best Bet

As Leeds United prepare to host Burnley at Elland Road on Saturday in a pivotal Championship clash, both teams find themselves vying for a critical win that could shape their early-season fortunes. Leeds, under the guidance of Daniel Farke, have begun to hit their stride after a slow start to the campaign, while Burnley, recently relegated from the Premier League, are seeking to rediscover the form that saw them start the season strongly. This encounter promises to be a compelling battle between two sides with promotion ambitions, each looking to stake their claim as a dominant force in the Championship this season.

Leeds come into this game in strong form, having notched up two consecutive 2-0 wins against Sheffield Wednesday and Hull City. Despite a sluggish start, which saw them draw against Portsmouth and West Brom, they appear to have found their rhythm, and with a solid home record, they’ll be aiming to continue their upward trajectory. Burnley, on the other hand, have faltered after an electric start to their season. Scott Parker’s side started with back-to-back wins over Luton and Cardiff but have since struggled to replicate that form, drawing against Blackburn and losing to Sunderland. With Leeds enjoying home advantage and Burnley looking to regain momentum, this game is set up to be a fascinating clash between two of the Championship’s early pace-setters.

The standout prediction for this encounter is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals looking like the best bet. Leeds’ recent matches have been defined by solid defensive displays, and Burnley, while possessing attacking talent, have not been prolific in their last few outings. Leeds’ last two league matches have both finished 2-0, with the Whites keeping clean sheets and limiting their opponents’ chances. The team have conceded just three goals across their opening four Championship games, an impressive defensive record that suggests they are capable of keeping Burnley at bay.

Burnley, meanwhile, have also been involved in low-scoring games recently. Despite their early-season flurry of goals, their last three matches have seen fewer than three goals, and they’ve struggled to break down more defensively resolute sides. They scored just once in their recent 1-1 draw with Blackburn and were shut out by Sunderland. With both teams focusing on defensive organisation, particularly Leeds, who have tightened up considerably since their early-season draws, the chances of this being a cagey, low-scoring affair are high.

Furthermore, Burnley’s issues in defence, with the likes of Hjalmar Ekdal and Jordan Beyer missing through injury, may lead to a more cautious approach. Burnley have conceded three goals in four matches, and while they remain a threat going forward, their vulnerability at the back means they are unlikely to play with the same attacking freedom that characterised their early-season performances. This, combined with Leeds’ tendency to control possession and limit their opponents’ chances, points to a match where goals may be at a premium.

“Given Leeds’ recent defensive solidity and Burnley’s more cautious approach in their last few games, under 2.5 goals seems the most likely outcome here.” – BettingTips4You.com expert Herrin Kendrick.

Additional Prediction

Another prediction that fits the pattern of this game is an expectation for plenty of corners, particularly with both teams likely to adopt direct styles of play. Leeds’ matches at Elland Road this season have seen a flurry of corners, with 12 awarded against Portsmouth and a further 15 in their win over Hull. This is reflective of Leeds’ strategy of exploiting the wings through players like Wilfried Gnonto and Manor Solomon, whose dribbling and crossing often force defenders into desperate clearances.

Burnley, while less prolific in winning corners themselves, will likely contribute to this tally, especially if they find themselves chasing the game. In their last match, despite only securing a point, Burnley registered 11 corners, highlighting their ability to force the issue even when not dominating possession. Given that both teams have struggled to break each other down in open play, set pieces are likely to be a key avenue for creating chances, which bodes well for a high corner count in this encounter.

With both sides capable of winning corners through their wide players, and Leeds in particular having shown a tendency to rack up high corner counts at home, over 10.5 corners seems a solid prediction for this clash.

Correct Score Prediction: Leeds United 2-0 Burnley

Given the aforementioned likelihood of a low-scoring game and Leeds’ recent defensive stability, a 2-0 win for the home side appears to be the most plausible outcome. Leeds have secured back-to-back 2-0 victories and seem to be settling into a consistent pattern of controlling games through possession and defensive organisation. Their ability to keep clean sheets against teams like Sheffield Wednesday and Hull suggests that Burnley, who have struggled to score in recent games, may find it difficult to break through.

Burnley, on the other hand, have defensive issues of their own, particularly with key players missing through injury. While they have managed to score in most of their games, the loss of players like Vitinho and Dara O’Shea, combined with Leeds’ defensive prowess, means they could struggle to find the back of the net here. Leeds’ solid midfield, anchored by Ethan Ampadu, should provide the necessary protection for their defence, limiting Burnley’s opportunities to create clear-cut chances.

Given Leeds’ ability to control possession and limit chances, along with Burnley’s injury concerns at the back, a 2-0 scoreline in favour of the home side aligns well with the prediction of under 2.5 goals and reflects the current form of both teams.

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