Lecce vs AC Milan predictions ahead of Saturday’s Serie A clash at Stadio Via del Mare. After an impressive and vital win in the Champions League during the week, can AC Milan follow up with victory at Lecce in Serie A on Saturday? Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.
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Match Live Saturday, 11th November at 2:00 pm In:
Lecce vs AC Milan Predictions
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Milan’s Quest for Consistency: An In-depth Analysis Against Lecce
Key Stats
– Lecce has been struggling, with no win in their last seven matches, indicating a defensive vulnerability.
– AC Milan’s recent 2-1 win over PSG could be the turning point they need to revive their Serie A campaign.
As AC Milan gears up for their upcoming Serie A encounter against Lecce at Stadio Via del Mare, they find themselves at a pivotal point in the season. Following a mixed bag of results in recent weeks, Milan’s midweek triumph over Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League could be the catalyst they need for a domestic resurgence.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
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Best Value Bet Rationale
Giroud’s ability to find the back of the net is not limited to his footwork; his aerial prowess is equally noteworthy. Of his six goals this season, two have been headers. This statistic is particularly relevant considering Milan’s playing style, which often involves crosses into the box, providing Giroud with ample opportunities to utilise his aerial strength.
Considering Lecce’s defensive record, which includes conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game and a total of 14 goals so far this season, Giroud’s chances of scoring a header are further enhanced. Lecce’s recent form also indicates a vulnerability that Milan, especially a player of Giroud’s calibre, could exploit. They have conceded goals in three of their last four encounters with Milan, showing a susceptibility to Milan’s attacking threat.
The selection of Giroud to score with a header is currently boosted by Bet365, offering odds of 7/1, enhanced from 13/2. This presents a significant value bet, considering Giroud’s scoring trends and Lecce’s defensive frailties. The odds, subject to change, provide an attractive proposition for this specific betting market.
In summary, the combination of Giroud’s impressive heading ability, Milan’s crossing strategy, and Lecce’s defensive struggles presents a strong rationale for betting on Giroud to score a header in this matchup. This betting selection not only aligns with the data but also offers enhanced value due to the odds boost by Bet365.
Lecce’s Struggle for Form
Lecce, on the other hand, has hit a rough patch after an impressive start to the season. The team, now sitting 13th in the league, has failed to secure a win in their last seven matches across all competitions. This decline in form was further highlighted in their painful defeat against Roma, where they succumbed to late goals, continuing a trend of defensive lapses in crucial moments.
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Milan’s Battle for Consistency
Milan’s recent Serie A outings have been less than ideal, with two losses in their last three league games. Despite this, their European success against PSG has shown glimpses of the team’s potential and resilience. The return of key players such as Olivier Giroud and Rafael Leao, who have been pivotal in Milan’s attack, could provide the necessary impetus for a turnaround.
Key Tactical Battles
The match at Via del Mare could well be decided in the midfield, where control and creation will be paramount. Lecce’s Ylber Ramadani has been instrumental in the midfield, but Milan’s midfielders, like Ruben Loftus-Cheek, possess the quality to dominate possession and dictate the tempo.
Analysing the Managers: Pioli vs D’Aversa
Stefano Pioli, Milan’s head coach, has been instrumental in developing a fluid attacking style, but criticism lies in his team’s recent inability to maintain consistency. His counterpart, Roberto D’Aversa of Lecce, has been commendable in instilling resilience but needs to address his team’s defensive vulnerabilities and late-game focus.
Predictions for the Match
1. Handicap Market Prediction: Milan to Win
Given Milan’s recent European triumph and their historical upper hand over Lecce, a win for Milan seems likely. However, considering Lecce’s ability to find the net, particularly at home, and Milan’s defensive frailties, a narrow victory for Milan is predicted.
2. Correct Score Prediction: Milan to Win 2-1
Considering both teams’ recent form, a 2-1 victory for Milan seems plausible. Lecce has shown they can score against Milan, and their urgent need for points might lead to an aggressive approach. However, Milan’s attacking prowess, particularly with players like Rafael Leao in form, should see them edge this encounter.
3. Goalscorer Prediction: Rafael Leao
Leao’s recent performances, including his decisive role against PSG, make him a prime candidate to find the back of the net. His record against Lecce – scoring in his last three appearances against them – further cements his status as the likely goalscorer in this fixture.
4. Corner Prediction: Milan to have More Corners
Milan’s attacking style, characterised by wide play and crossing, likely means they will earn more corners. A prediction of over 5.5 corners for Milan seems reasonable, given their style and Lecce’s tendency to defend deep against stronger teams.
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