Lazio vs Roma Predictions

Lazio vs Roma predictions ahead of this Serie A clash. Lazio face Roma in Sunday’s Derby della Capitale at Stadio Olimpico, renewing their historic rivalry with crucial Serie A points and city bragging rights on the line. Read on for our free betting tips and match preview.

Serie A | Apr 13, 2025 at 7.45pm UK at Stadio Olimpico

Lazio vs Roma Predictions

Can the Derby della Capitale Spark Life Into Lazio’s Fading Top-Four Hopes—or Will Roma’s Resurgence Roll On?

• Derby Deadlock Continues: The last six Derby della Capitale clashes have ended with under 2.5 goals, producing just six goals in total.
• Lazio’s Offensive Struggles: Lazio have only managed four goals in their last six matches, with five of those games going under the 2.5 line.
• Roma’s Tight Tactical Edge: Roma’s last five fixtures in all competitions have produced just six goals combined, highlighting their disciplined approach.

Best Bet for Lazio vs Roma

The eternal city is bracing for another ferocious instalment of the Derby della Capitale this Sunday evening, and the stakes are anything but ceremonial. What might have been a relatively straightforward showdown between two proud rivals is now a full-blown six-pointer, with both Lazio and Roma clinging tightly to their Champions League aspirations. The heat in this derby is never low, but throw in a crumbling season for one side and a red-hot revival for the other, and you’ve got a powder keg waiting to go off in front of a roaring Stadio Olimpico.

Roma have emerged from a turbulent winter like a beast reborn, quietly building momentum under the wily stewardship of Claudio Ranieri. Once in disarray, the Giallorossi are now unbeaten in fifteen Serie A games and dare we say, are playing like a team with purpose and calm. Lazio, on the other hand, are lurching between flashes of promise and deeply concerning collapses. A thumping at the hands of Bologna, followed by a humbling at the hands of Bodo/Glimt on Thursday, has left fans both baffled and bracing.

And now, after leading their neighbours by a whopping 15 points earlier in the campaign, Lazio suddenly find themselves within two. If they lose on Sunday, they could fall behind their fiercest rivals in the table. The timing? Impeccable. The tension? Palpable.

Best Bet for Lazio vs Roma: Under 2.5 Goals

At BettingTips4You.com, we don’t bombard you with ten different options and leave you dazed—we deliver one precise, well-researched tip per game. For this fiercely-contested fixture, our Best Bet is Under 2.5 Goals.

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This might seem like a low-key choice on the surface. It’s a derby, right? Passion, chaos, drama—you’d expect goals. But let’s not get seduced by sentiment. These sides are both tactically cautious, defensively-minded, and drained from their European obligations. Lazio have found the net just four times in their last six matches, and five of those games have ended with fewer than three goals. Their attack is far from fluid, and fatigue—combined with the pressure of recent underwhelming results—has them retreating into a more conservative shell.

Roma, though reborn under Ranieri, haven’t exactly been free-flowing in attack either. They’ve scored only six times in their last five matches, and with Paulo Dybala missing, their creativity takes a sizeable hit. Relying on the likes of Dovbyk, Saelemaekers and Pellegrini to carve through Lazio’s deep block won’t be easy, especially when the hosts are clinging onto a strong recent record as the ‘home’ side in these derbies.

The last six Rome derbies have seen under 2.5 goals land. And more than that, this game has often felt like a chess match—careful, calculated and at times, borderline dull. Both teams are desperate not to lose, and when you combine that with fatigue and the emotional weight of the occasion, what you get is a cagey affair likely to be decided by a single moment—or not at all.

“These are two teams with everything to lose and not much rhythm in attack, so don’t expect fireworks—expect friction, frustration, and a very tight game.”
— BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Pratesi

A 1-1 draw feels on the cards. Lazio have made a nasty habit of that scoreline at home recently, and Roma are unbeaten in six straight away matches. With the way both teams are set up and considering the absentees, neither side looks likely to run riot.

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