Latvia vs Wales Predictions

Latvia vs Wales Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in Euro 2024 Qualifying. There is no other result than a win for Wales as they head to Group D’s bottom team, Latvia. Can they do that after the recent disappointments? Read on for our predictions and tips.

Match Live Monday, 11th September at 7:45 pm In:

Latvia vs Wales Predictions

Wales’ Quest for Redemption: A Comprehensive Preview of the Upcoming Clash Against Latvia

Key Stats
– Wales have clinched victories in only 2 out of their last 16 international matches.
– Latvia have suffered defeats in all of their qualifier matches, with a recent significant 5-0 loss against Croatia.
– Gareth Bale, the Welsh icon, was responsible for the only Welsh goal in their recent World Cup campaign.

Over the past decade, Welsh football has experienced its moments in the sun, highlighted by their memorable journey to the Euro 2016 semi-finals and a notable stint in the World Cup finals after 64 years. However, the road to Euro 2024 is clouded with doubt following recent setbacks against Armenia and Turkey. A victory over Latvia, who rank lower in their group, becomes all the more crucial.

In light of Friday’s 1-1 stalemate between Turkey and Armenia, there’s renewed hope for Wales. Still, given that they’ve managed only two wins from their last 16 international games, the expectations are cautious. It’s noteworthy that these victories were narrow 1-0 triumphs, with the most prominent one against Ukraine, where a deflected free-kick by the retired Welsh legend, Gareth Bale, proved decisive.


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Despite Bale’s departure, Wales have managed to find the net on rare occasions. Their recent games saw an equaliser by Nathan Broadhead against Croatia and Kieffer Moore’s lone goal during their previous face-off with Latvia.

Latvia’s Squad Concerns: Latvia are faced with a significant hurdle ahead of the impending clash against Wales. Their goalkeeper, Pavels Steinbors, is absent from the squad. The scenario gets more grim with the sidelining of Raivis Jurkovskis and their key striker, Vladislavs Gutkovskis, due to injuries.

Welsh Woes: For Wales, Joe Morrell will be noticeably missing, serving the first of a two-match suspension following his red card incident against Turkey. Adding to Rob Page’s concerns are the absences of Tom Lockyer and Dan James.

Latvia’s Struggles:

Latvia’s journey has been even more challenging. They have been on the receiving end in all their matches so far, with a recent 5-0 drubbing by Croatia. Their attacking dynamics seem compromised, especially with Gutkovskis’ injury, considering his commendable five goals in six Nations League matches last year.

What to Expect:

Given their recent performance against South Korea, Wales are anticipated to showcase a disciplined game. With Latvia’s current form and squad issues, it’s conceivable for Wales to capitalise.

Probable Line-ups:

Latvia (4-4-2): Purins; Savalnieks, Cernomordijs, Dubra, Sorokins; Jaunzems, Emsis, Tobers, Ciganiks; Uldrikis, J Ikaunieks

Wales (5-3-2): Ward; Roberts, Rodon, Mepham, B Davies, Williams; Ramsey, Ampadu, Wilson; Johnson, Moore

Tecnical Analysis

The fixture between Latvia and Wales, as with any football game, is influenced by myriad factors, from the strategies employed to the unique dynamics of individual players. In the swirling confluence of these elements, a story unfolds on the pitch. Below is a holistic analysis of the two teams’ approach, their distinct strengths, weaknesses, and potential gameplay dynamics.

Strategies Unveiled

Latvia and Wales have showcased contrasting strategies recently. Latvia have been struggling, to say the least. Their losses, particularly the 5-0 drubbing by Croatia, reveal a side with defensive frailties. Their preferred 4-4-2 formation suggests an inclination towards a balanced game, but the stats and results indicate a significant imbalance.

On the contrary, Wales, while having had their challenges, have shown a certain resilience. Their Euro 2016 performance was impressive, but recent setbacks against Armenia and Turkey have left them under pressure. Rob Page’s 5-3-2 formation indicates a defence-first approach. This tactical decision seems reasonable considering their narrow 1-0 wins.

Wales’ defensive structure was also made evident in their match against Ukraine where, despite being outplayed, they managed a win thanks to a moment of brilliance from Gareth Bale. Meanwhile, Latvia, even with their 4-4-2, have been defensively porous, as indicated by the 14 goals conceded in their last five matches.

Key Player Insights

Gareth Bale’s influence in the Welsh squad is undeniable. Even after his retirement, his shadow looms large. The Welsh have struggled to find consistent goal scorers, with only four goals in five games since Bale’s departure. Kieffer Moore and Nathan Broadhead have stepped up, but the team still seems to be in a transitional phase.

Latvia, on the other hand, faces challenges with injuries to key striker Vladislavs Gutkovskis and their primary goalkeeper Pavels Šteinbors. Gutkovskis, in particular, is a significant loss given his prior record of scoring five goals in six Nations League matches. Players like Roberts Uldriķis will be under the spotlight to deliver in his absence.

Management’s Touch

The managers of both teams have stamped their identity on their squads. Rob Page’s decision to hold a tight line, focus on defence, and play on the counter or exploit set-pieces reflects a pragmatic approach. This is especially clear considering the past performances where Wales have held out against superior opponents.

Latvia’s tactics, on the other hand, have yet to bear fruit. Their approach, arguably, seems more open, but their lack of defensive solidity is a glaring issue.

A Comparison

If we are to juxtapose the two teams, Wales seem to have the upper hand, both in terms of individual talents and team cohesion. Their defensive solidity is evident in their ability to hold stronger teams at bay. However, their offence is where questions arise. Can they capitalise on the opportunities they create? This was evident when they couldn’t significantly outscore Latvia in the reverse fixture despite dominating.

Latvia, while being underdogs, have shown glimpses of attacking potential but are significantly handicapped by their leaky defence.

Where Improvements Lie

For Latvia, the immediate concern is their defensive vulnerability. Tightening their backline and potentially adopting a more conservative approach might serve them well, especially against sides like Wales that can exploit open spaces. Offensively, the absence of Gutkovskis means other players need to step up, and more cohesive team play is required.

Wales, on the other hand, needs to focus on their goal conversion. Solidifying their midfield and ensuring they can control the game better will provide them more goal-scoring opportunities. Moreover, relying less on moments of brilliance and more on team-driven goals might be a strategy moving forward.

Dynamics, Strengths, and Weaknesses

Given both teams’ styles, the dynamic is likely to see Wales controlling the game, probing and looking for weaknesses in the Latvian defence. Latvia will potentially look to exploit Wales on the counter, utilising the pace of players like Uldriķis.

The Welsh strength lies in their defensive organisation, with players like Ethan Ampadu standing out. However, their recent scoring form is a concern. Latvia’s strength is harder to pin down given recent performances, but their unpredictable nature can be an asset. Their significant weakness, however, remains their porous defence.

In-depth Predictions

1. Match Outcome Prediction: Wales Win to Nil When delving into the performances of both sides, several indicators point towards a Wales victory. However, it’s not just a simple win for Wales that catches the eye; it’s a victory without Latvia finding the back of the net.

Latvia’s current form demonstrates their struggles, particularly in front of goal. They have been on the losing end in their past five matches, conceding a worrying 14 goals. On the other side of the pitch, their attacking prowess has been largely muted, more so with the injury to their main striker, Vladislavs Gutkovskis, who was quite a presence having scored five times in six Nations League matches last year. This significantly diminishes their already limited offensive capability.

Wales, meanwhile, despite their recent lack of prolificacy in front of goal, have a stronger defensive record. The Dragons secured a creditable 1-1 draw against a competent Croatian side and edged out Latvia 1-0 in the reverse fixture. In both encounters, Wales showcased their ability to remain steadfast at the back, and this trend is likely to continue, making a ‘Wales Win to Nil’ a valuable prospect.

2. Correct Score Prediction: 3-0 in favour of Wales Given the dynamics and recent displays of both teams, a 3-0 victory for Wales seems like a plausible outcome. Here’s the breakdown of this prediction:

Latvia’s recent defensive form has been porous, to put it mildly. Their recent 5-0 drubbing at the hands of Croatia highlights their vulnerability. They’ve conceded three or more goals in three of their last five fixtures, which paints a rather gloomy picture for them.

Wales, on the other hand, while not being excessively flamboyant in their goal-scoring, have shown glimpses of their attacking threat. Their encounter with South Korea is a case in point. They created ample opportunities, and had they been a tad more clinical, they could have secured a victory. Taking into account Latvia’s defensive woes and Wales’ potential attacking prowess, a 3-0 scoreline in favour of the Welsh seems justified.

3. Goalscorer Prediction: Brennan Johnson Wales has a rising star in their ranks in the form of Tottenham’s new recruit, Brennan Johnson. Although he has managed just two goals in 22 games for Wales, the forward’s potential is undeniable. Johnson will undoubtedly be buoyed by his recent move from Nottingham Forest to Spurs, and the shift to a top Premier League side will only boost his confidence.

Furthermore, given that he hasn’t made his debut for Tottenham yet and played only 45 minutes against South Korea, Johnson is likely to be well-rested and raring to go against Latvia. His fresh legs and boosted morale make him a prime candidate to find the back of the net in the upcoming match.

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Tyler Morris
Sports writer and analyst Tyler Morris has more than eight years of experience writing about a range of sports. He has considerable knowledge of football, and he has also covered US sports extensively, offering in-depth comments and analysis on the most recent events in these sports. Tyler is a respected specialist in the field since he utilises his knowledge to provide incisive analysis and opinion on the most recent sports events with a track record of successful tips.