bet365
BetMGM
William Hill
Betfred
BetUK
LiveScoreBet
10Bet
Virgin Bet
Latvia vs England predictions for Tuesday’s World Cup qualifier. Under the crisp October lights of Riga’s Daugava Stadium, England are on the verge of ticking off another step on their World Cup qualifying march. There’s a strange comfort about this England side at the moment. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
▾
England’s right-sided creator exploits Latvia’s narrow block; Kane’s gravity opens lanes, and Saka’s inside runs plus switches should generate a scoring chance.
▾
England’s control, Latvia’s limited threat, and wide overloads point to a measured three-goal cushion without conceding, matching their recent template.
▾
Latvia vs England Predictions and Best Bets
- Unbreakable England: The Three Lions have conceded in just one of their last nine games and faced only a single shot on target in their five qualifying matches.
- Latvia’s lean spell: The hosts have found the net only six times in their last eleven matches, revealing their ongoing battle to create meaningful chances against structured opponents.
- Consistent Saka threat: England’s right-sided talisman has been directly involved in multiple goals in his recent international outings, thriving on his trademark inside runs and clinical one-touch finishing.
Could England’s right flank turn Riga into a one-sided showcase?
England are not exactly dazzling everyone every week, but their consistency is almost unnerving — they just keep winning and barely concede. Thomas Tuchel’s squad appear to have struck a balance between calculated control and quiet aggression, something England fans aren’t exactly used to saying without crossing their fingers.
Latvia, by contrast, find themselves in a far more precarious spot. Their campaign has been punctuated by long evenings, close misses, and the sort of moral victories that sound noble but don’t move a team up the table. One win in their last twelve is not the kind of run that fills players with swagger. The 2-2 draw against Andorra last time out probably still stings, and facing a side as ruthlessly efficient as England might feel more like an exam than an opportunity.
Still, there’s something admirable about the way smaller nations like Latvia approach nights like these. The atmosphere in Riga will be respectful but hopeful, with fans daring to believe in an upset even if the odds are stacked against them. They know England’s attack is stacked — Harry Kane’s movement, Marcus Rashford’s speed, Bukayo Saka’s intelligence — and yet they’ll still dream of catching Tuchel’s men napping on a counter or a long throw. But make no mistake, this is England’s to lose.
The Three Lions have turned into a machine lately — not mechanical in a boring way, but professional in every sense. The recent 3–0 dismantling of Wales was almost too calm, the kind of performance where they seemed to be operating in second gear and still outclassed their opponents. They’ve also recorded three wins by three goals or more in their last six, which tells you this isn’t a team that lets go once it gets ahead. If England score first in Riga, the tone could be set early, and that crowd energy could quieten quickly.
Best Bet for this match
Bukayo Saka to score at any time
At BettingTips4You, we have a simple philosophy: one match, one prediction. Quality over quantity. No long lists of half-hearted punts — just the single best tip we believe in. It’s easier for you, and it keeps us honest when reviewing results. For Latvia versus England, the standout pick is Bukayo Saka to score at any time.
William Hill
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Show Terms & Conditions
BetMGM
Bet £10 Get £40 In Free Bets
Show Terms & Conditions
bet365
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Betfred
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
Show Terms & Conditions
10bet
100% Up To £50 On First Deposit
Show Terms & Conditions
Why this tip makes sense – the perfect blend of movement, precision, and timing
Saka has become England’s most consistent creative outlet, the one who merges tactical intelligence with technical polish. The way he positions himself in attacking transitions is almost surgical. Against sides like Latvia, who defend in a narrow block and invite pressure, Saka’s combination of diagonal runs, smart positioning between full-back and centre-back, and cool finishing gives him a natural edge.
Let’s start with Latvia’s defensive reality. They’ve conceded in nearly every recent outing, and their back line is not built for sustained pressure. They sit deep, crowd the centre, and hope the flanks hold. The problem? Saka thrives when defenders drop off. He receives early, cuts inside onto that left foot, and attacks the gap between centre-halves who hesitate to step out. His low, curling shots toward the far post — or those deceptive drives at the near corner — are England’s most common attacking pattern in matches like this.
Add to that the environment. On Plexipave-style surfaces and firm northern pitches like Riga’s, pace carries. When Saka picks up the ball on the right, the bounce and friction help his drives travel quickly and cleanly. England’s full-backs — particularly Ezri Konsa or Spence on that side — will overlap and drag markers away, freeing Saka to attack the half-space just outside the box. In games where England expect 70% possession or more, that’s where goals are born.
There’s also the tactical flow to consider. Latvia will spend large portions of the night camped near their own penalty area. When England swarm and recycle through Declan Rice and Lewis-Skelly, the ball often funnels out wide to Saka. He’s not just a winger; he’s the release valve. If the attack stagnates centrally, it’s usually his quick give-and-go that reopens the play. His finishing, already razor-sharp in qualifying, has come from this exact movement pattern — wide to narrow, right foot to left, one chance, one clean hit.
Then comes the human element. Saka rarely hides. Some players dip when the occasion feels small, but he treats every game like a final. Even when England coast, he wants involvement. After sitting out stretches with Arsenal earlier in the club season, he now looks re-energised — sharp in the first touch, expressive in the final third, and notably confident from mid-range. In a fixture where the expected goals will heavily favour England, his individual xG profile should outshine everyone except maybe Kane.
And about Kane — his presence arguably amplifies Saka’s scoring odds. The England captain drops deep to connect play, pulling defenders out of shape and creating those diagonal lanes. That’s exactly where Saka ghosts in. When Kane checks toward the ball, Saka runs off his shoulder; when Kane plays higher, Saka drives across the box. It’s a partnership that forces defenders to pick their poison. Too tight on Kane, and Saka arrives late. Too wide on Saka, and Kane drags them apart. Latvia’s defenders simply don’t have the athleticism or positional awareness to contain both.
Tuchel’s system also encourages the wingers to finish rather than just create. Against Wales, England’s first-half dominance came from quick, vertical switches — get it wide, attack space, finish ruthlessly. Latvia are weaker on that side; right-back Savalnieks often gets caught between pressing high or protecting deep, which could give Saka the 1v1s he craves. One accurate ball from Rice or Anderson could unlock that side entirely.
Confidence matters, too. England’s front line looks settled, and Tuchel’s tweaks — like positioning Rice as a slightly deeper pivot to release the front four earlier — have given Saka even more licence to roam. He’s taking shots faster, arriving sooner, and showing the kind of killer instinct fans have begged to see more often from this group.
As BettingTips4You expert Graham Hartshorn summed it up:
“Saka has that glint in his eye right now — he’s not overthinking, he’s just trusting the moment. Give him half a yard in Riga, and it could be curtains for Latvia.”
At 9/2 for him to find the net, the value is strong considering England’s expected dominance and Latvia’s record against top-tier attacks. Backing Saka feels less like a gamble and more like reading the rhythm of the match correctly. One moment of composure, one swing of that left boot, and this bet could be settled before half-time.
Predicted match pattern and correct score call
Latvia will defend bravely but deep, looking for long diagonals toward Gutkovskis and hoping for set-piece scraps. England will dictate tempo, pressing in waves, while Kane orchestrates from the edge of the final third. The Three Lions’ defensive record — conceding once in nine — speaks for itself, and Latvia’s struggles in front of goal make a home strike feel unlikely.
Expect England to score early and manage the tempo, using possession as protection. Once Saka or Rashford breaks through, the floodgates won’t open dramatically, but control will be absolute. Latvia might survive a few near-misses, but eventually, quality tells. A logical projection is Latvia 0–3 England, with Saka on the scoresheet — probably cutting inside from the right and whipping one low past Zviedris.
Selected Bookmakers Offers
| |
New cust. Deposit £10+ in 7 days & bet on sports. Min odds apply. Reward = 4 x £10 Free Bets (2 x £10 Bet Builders & 2 x £10 Sports bet). Valid 7 days. Free bets not valid on e-sports & non UK/IE horse racing. 18+. T&Cs apply. | |
| |
Open Account Offer – New Customers only. Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets when you join bet365. Sign up, deposit between £5 and £10 to your account and bet365 will give you five times that value in Free Bets when you place qualifying bets to the same value settle. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits. Min odds/bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. T&Cs , time limits & exclusions apply. Registration Required. #Ad. 18+ Only, gambleaware.org | |
 | |
18+. Play Safe. From 00:01 on 18.10.2022. £30 bonus. New customers only. Minimum £10 stake on odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater on sportsbook (excluding Virtual markets). Further terms apply. #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
| |
New customers only. Register, deposit with Debit Card, and place first bet £10+ at Evens (2.0)+ on Sports within 7 days to get 3 x £10 in Sports Free Bets & 2 x £10 in Acca Free Bets within 10 hours of settlement. 7-day expiry. Eligibility exclusions & T&Cs Apply. | |
| |
New cust only. Opt-in required. Deposit & place a bet within 7 days and settle a £10 minimum bet at odds of 4/5 (1.8) or greater to be credited with 3 x £10 Free Bets: 1 x £10 horse racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder and 1 x £10 football. Free Bets cannot be used on e-sports and non-UK/IE horse racing. 7 day expiry. Stake not returned. 18+. T&Cs apply. Acca Club: Available to new & existing customers. 3 or more selections. Min Odds: 3/10 (1.3) per leg. Max stake: £500. Max Winnings: £200,000 per boost. Profit Boost amounts vary. Horse Racing, Greyhounds & Trotting excluded. Exclusions apply. Full T&C’s apply. 18+ GambleAware.org. | |
 | |
New members only. £10+ bet on sports (ex. Virtuals) 1.5 min odds, settled within 14 days. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days; £20 use on sportsbook, £10 on Bet Builder. Stake not returned. T&Cs.+ deposit exclusions apply #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
| |
New bettors. Select bonus at signup or use code SPORT. Wager deposit & bonus 8x. Max qualifying bet = bonus. Valid 60 days. Odds, bet & payment limits apply. T&Cs Apply; 18+ | Please gamble responsibly #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
 | |
New customers only, 18+. Min deposit £10. Place a £50 bet on any sport at 2.0+ to qualify for £25 in free bets and 10 Free Spins. Free Bets and Spins valid 7 days. £0.10 Free Spins. T&Cs apply. Please bet responsibly. #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
| |
New members only. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook (ex. virtuals), placed & settled at 1.5 min odds in 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. Free Bets: accept in 7 days, valid 7 days, use on sportsbook only (ex. virtuals), stakes not returned. T&Cs Apply and deposit exclusions apply. Please gamble responsibly #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
 | |
18+ New customers only. Opt in, and bet £10 on football markets (odds 2.00+). No cash out. Get 6x£5 football free bets at specified odds for set markets, which expire after 7 days. Offer valid from 12:00 UK Time on 25/08/2023. Card payments only. T&Cs Apply | gambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly #Ad. 18+Only, gambleaware.org | |
