Las Palmas vs Girona Predictions

Las Palmas vs Girona predictions for this La Liga fixture. Las Palmas, buoyed by their first La Liga win of the 2024-25 season, will host Champions League contenders Girona on Saturday evening as they aim to build momentum. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

La Liga | Oct 26, 2024 at 5:30pm UK at Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas vs Girona Predictions

Can Las Palmas Continue Their Momentum Against a Weakened Girona?

• Las Palmas’ improved form: Four of their six points this season have been earned in their last four matches, signalling an upward trend after a dismal start.
• Girona’s shaky defence: Girona have conceded in each of their last five league games, struggling to maintain the solidity that saw them finish third last season.
• Injuries piling up for Girona: Key players such as Jhon Solis and Portu are unavailable for Girona, leaving them without some of their most important attacking and creative outlets.

Our Tips

This Saturday, La Liga fans can look forward to an intriguing clash as Las Palmas take on Girona at home. Both sides are navigating difficult seasons, but for entirely different reasons. Las Palmas, having just climbed off the foot of the table with a thrilling 3-2 win over Valencia, will be hoping that result sparks some form under new head coach Diego Martínez. On the other hand, Girona have struggled to balance domestic and European campaigns, sitting mid-table in 12th after a string of inconsistent results.

Las Palmas will certainly feel buoyed by their recent performance, but they remain in a precarious position, fighting to claw their way out of the relegation zone. Girona, meanwhile, have tasted success in the Champions League this week, but their La Liga form leaves much to be desired, with the Catalan outfit needing to find consistency if they are to remain competitive on both fronts. With both teams desperate for points but lacking momentum in the league, this encounter promises to be a nervy affair.

Best Bet: Draw

Taking all factors into account, the best bet for this clash is a draw. Here’s why you should consider backing this outcome.

Girona might appear the stronger team on paper, having qualified for the Champions League and come off a historic win in Europe, but that success doesn’t mask their league struggles. With only 12 points from 10 games, they sit a somewhat disappointing 12th. The demands of European football are clearly taking their toll. Although their away form hasn’t been disastrous, with a recent 1-1 draw against Celta Vigo, the squad’s significant injury issues cannot be ignored. With key players like Jhon Solis, Portu, and Viktor Tsygankov sidelined, Girona are not at full strength.

Las Palmas, meanwhile, will be brimming with confidence after securing a dramatic victory over Valencia. That win broke a poor run of form and could provide the momentum they need to turn their season around. However, it’s important not to get too carried away—Las Palmas are still a team that has managed only two wins all season. Their struggles in defence, having conceded an average of 1.9 goals per game, suggest they are still vulnerable, especially against teams that have the ability to take their chances.

Yet, Girona’s own attacking frailties cannot be overlooked. They have managed only 11 goals in 10 matches, a rather underwhelming return for a side that was so impressive last season. Despite having quality players like Cristhian Stuani leading the line, they’ve struggled to convert opportunities, and with multiple key players out, their ability to create and capitalise on chances could be hampered.

Our BettingTips4You.com expert Gerard Gabasa sums it up: “Las Palmas are finding their feet under new management, while Girona’s European exploits may be more of a burden than a boost at this stage. Both sides will likely cancel each other out in a game where caution takes precedence.” The data backs this too—Las Palmas are yet to keep a clean sheet, but they’ve also shown the capacity to score in recent games. Girona, with their mounting injuries, will likely aim to keep things tight. All signs point towards a low-scoring draw, making a stalemate the best bet for this contest.

Correct Score Prediction: 1-1 Draw

Given the expected tactical caution from both teams, a 1-1 draw looks like the most plausible outcome. Here’s why.

Firstly, both sides have been involved in games where goals have been at a premium. Las Palmas have scored just 12 goals in 10 games, with Girona managing a similar tally of 11. While neither team has been prolific, they both possess just enough firepower to get on the scoresheet. Fabio Silva has been a key outlet for Las Palmas, scoring twice in recent matches, while Cristhian Stuani, Girona’s top scorer with three goals, continues to be a threat despite Girona’s creative limitations.

Defensively, however, neither side has been particularly solid. Las Palmas have conceded 19 goals already this season, averaging nearly two per game, while Girona’s defence has let in 13, a slightly better figure but still far from water-tight. This suggests that although both teams may try to keep things tight, their respective vulnerabilities at the back are likely to be exposed at some stage.

Thus, a 1-1 draw represents the most balanced outcome. Las Palmas will be buoyed by their home crowd and recent win, but Girona’s experience in La Liga, even with a depleted squad, should allow them to avoid defeat.

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