Kazakhstan vs Slovenia Predictions

Kazakhstan vs Slovenia Predictions for this Nations League game. Kazakhstan and Slovenia, both defeated midweek, will look to recover in their UEFA Nations League clash on Sunday. Read on for our free match preview and betting tips.

Nations League | League B | Oct 13, 2024 at 2pm UK at Astana Arena

Kazakhstan vs Slovenia Predictions

Can Kazakhstan Turn the Tide Against Slovenia, or Will They Sink Further?

• Kazakhstan’s Goal Drought: Kazakhstan have failed to score in all three of their Nations League matches so far, a worrying trend for a team fighting relegation.
• Slovenia’s Sesko On Fire: Benjamin Sesko has been directly involved in every one of Slovenia’s four goals in this season’s Nations League, underlining his crucial role for the team.
• Kazakhstan’s Home Struggles: Despite playing at home, Kazakhstan have lost two of their last three matches in Pavlodar, including a 3-0 defeat to Slovenia last year.

Our Tips

As the UEFA Nations League campaign unfolds, Kazakhstan find themselves teetering on the brink of relegation, with a crucial clash against Slovenia looming large this Sunday. Both sides come into the fixture off the back of heavy midweek defeats, making this a must-win for both nations. Slovenia, currently sitting just above the drop zone, will be desperate to secure all three points to keep their hopes alive of finishing in the top half of the group. Meanwhile, Kazakhstan, still without a win in the competition, are equally desperate to avoid sinking further into the abyss.

This game isn’t just about avoiding relegation, though; it’s about pride, redemption, and a chance to get the campaign back on track. The setting for this clash, Pavlodar, could provide the hosts with a slight edge, but can they take advantage of it? Slovenia, fresh from a humbling 3-0 defeat to Norway, will see this as an opportunity to pounce on a wounded opponent. With Kazakhstan failing to find the net in their last three Nations League outings, the question remains: can they break that drought and give their home crowd something to cheer about?

The stakes are high, and with both sides struggling for form, this could be a tense, nervy affair. But could there be an upset on the cards, or will Slovenia’s quality, led by their rising star Benjamin Sesko, prove too much for the Kazakhs?

Best Bet: Slovenia to Win and Keep a Clean Sheet

After carefully analysing the form, statistics, and team news, the best bet for this fixture looks to be Slovenia to win and keep a clean sheet. This outcome aligns with both teams’ recent performances, particularly Kazakhstan’s struggles in front of goal. Slovenia’s backline, anchored by captain Jan Oblak, remains a strong unit, and Kazakhstan’s attacking options appear too limited to threaten their goal.

Kazakhstan have yet to score in this season’s Nations League, a statistic that speaks volumes. In three matches, they’ve managed just five shots on target, and their key attacking players, like Abat Aymbetov, are either short on fitness or form. Meanwhile, Benjamin Sesko continues to be a force for Slovenia, bagging all of their goals in the competition so far. Given Slovenia’s ability to score, combined with Kazakhstan’s woeful attacking record, it’s hard to see the home side finding a way through.

Kazakhstan’s last game against Austria saw them manage just 29% possession and concede a staggering 29 shots on goal. Such a porous defence, coupled with their lack of cutting edge up front, makes it difficult to envision them pulling off a shock result here. On the flip side, Slovenia may not have been at their best against Norway, but they still possess more than enough firepower to outclass a Kazakhstan side that has been out of its depth in League B.

BettingTips4You.com expert John Pentin says: “Slovenia are by no means invincible, but against a Kazakhstan side that looks like they couldn’t hit a barn door at the moment, they should come away with a comfortable win. I can’t see the hosts breaking their scoring duck this time, especially with Oblak in goal.”

The data supports this view. Kazakhstan have an xG (expected goals) of just 1.2 across three games, which is shockingly low for any side in this competition. In contrast, Slovenia have conceded only four goals in their three games, and their defensive solidity, combined with the attacking prowess of Sesko, makes a Slovenia win to nil the most logical choice.

Correct Score Prediction: Kazakhstan 0-2 Slovenia

Building on the analysis from the best bet, the correct score prediction for this encounter is a 2-0 victory in favour of Slovenia. This scoreline reflects Slovenia’s capacity to control the game, especially in the final third, while also considering Kazakhstan’s inability to create clear-cut chances.

While Slovenia have struggled on the road in recent matches, this game presents an opportunity to reset and get back to winning ways. Kazakhstan’s defensive frailties, as shown by their conceding seven goals in just three games, make them highly vulnerable. Moreover, Slovenia, even with their own inconsistencies, have a more than capable forward line led by Sesko, who will fancy his chances of adding to his tally.

Given Kazakhstan’s poor form and their reliance on players who have been lacking regular match action, it’s difficult to imagine them posing a significant threat. Even with home advantage, the Kazakhs are likely to sit back and try to absorb pressure, but their defensive structure has shown cracks in recent games, which Slovenia can exploit.

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