Kairat Almaty vs KuPS Predictions

Kairat Almaty vs KuPS Predictions for this Champions League qualifying round. Kairat host KuPS at Central Stadium on Tuesday, needing to overturn a two-goal deficit in the Champions League second qualifying round return leg. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Champions League | Jul 29 2025 at 4:00 pm UK at Almaty Central Stadium

Kairat Almaty vs KuPS Predictions

Can Kairat’s Fortress Break KuPS’ Grip on the Tie?

• Goals Galore in Almaty: Kairat have scored two or more goals in 71% of their home league games and average 17 shots per match on their own turf.
• Leaky Travellers: KuPS have conceded in nine of their last 10 matches on the road, including at least two goals in more than half of them.
• Momentum Builder: All of Kairat’s three wins in their last six games have come by a margin of at least two goals, showing they know how to get the job done when on song.

Best Bet for Kairat Almaty vs KuPS

All roads lead to Central Stadium this Tuesday, where Kairat find themselves staring down the barrel of elimination unless they can claw back a two-goal deficit against KuPS. The Kazakh side, who had been cruising along with a solid unbeaten run until that trip to Finland, suddenly find themselves with backs against the wall. The mood around Almaty? Cautiously optimistic, but undeniably tense.

The first leg was a tale of two halves – or more accurately, one Finnish masterclass in the second period. Kairat started reasonably well, even had moments where they dictated play, but once Mohamed Toure broke through just after the break, it all seemed to unravel. Jaakko Oksanen’s strike 20 minutes later rubbed salt into the wound and made sure KuPS took a firm hold of the tie.

However, coming back home, where the fans are loud and the players feel like giants, Kairat have reason to believe. They’ve turned over bigger performances at Central Stadium before, and after putting three past Tobol over the weekend, they arrive for this second leg with some confidence restored. That weekend win wasn’t just routine – it was a statement. And now, with their Champions League ambitions on the line, it’s time for Kairat to show what they’re really made of.

Best Bet: Kairat to Win and Over 1.5 Goals

At BettingTips4You, we strip it back to basics. One game, one prediction – no fluff, no confusion. We deliver only one Best Bet per match because we believe that focusing on quality rather than a shopping list of options makes for better value, better judgement, and easier accountability.

For this game, our Best Bet is: Kairat to win and over 1.5 total goals in the match.

Now, why this? Well, the numbers – and the context – make a strong case. Kairat have made Central Stadium a tough place to visit. In the Champions League qualifiers, they’ve won every home game so far – and three of those came with a two-goal margin. Their latest 3-1 win against Tobol shows they’re not only creating chances but also finishing them with conviction. Importantly, they’ve scored at least twice in 71% of their league matches at home, and that’s no fluke. Averaging over 17 shots and six on target per game, they’re anything but shy in front of goal.

On the other hand, KuPS may be flying high with an eight-game unbeaten streak, but defensively they’ve been far from impenetrable on the road. They’ve leaked goals in nine of their last ten away matches, with more than half of those games featuring two or more conceded. When under pressure, especially away from their familiar turf, they tend to buckle. And Kairat will be pressing from minute one.

Jorginho will be central to this charge. He’s been directly involved in all three of Kairat’s Champions League goals this season and added another strike at the weekend. Whether he starts with Satpayev or Ricardinho, the Brazilian forward offers pace, positioning and that ruthless streak in the box.

Yes, KuPS are no pushovers. They’ll be organised, likely switch to a more defensive 4-5-1 setup, and try to soak up pressure. But you can only soak for so long before the roof caves in – and in Almaty, that roof tends to come down loud and fast.

“Kairat have shown again and again that when they play at home, especially under pressure, they come alive. If they hit early, this tie could flip quickly.”
— BettingTips4You.com expert Herrin Kendrick

The feeling is that Kairat will find the goals they need. Whether it ends in penalties or not is another story, but a 2-1 home win looks very realistic – one that covers our tip and sets up a dramatic finale.

Selected Bookmakers Offers