Italy Women vs Spain Women Predictions

Italy Women vs Spain Women predictions for Friday’s Euro 2025 group-stage clash. Spain Women seek Group A top spot as they face Italy Women in Friday’s Women’s European Championship clash in Bern. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Women’s European Championship | Jul 11 2025 at 8:00 pm UK at Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)

Italy Women vs Spain Women Predictions

Will Spain’s Firepower Overwhelm Italy’s Caution in Group A Decider?

• Spain Are Scoring for Fun
  • La Roja have banged in 11 goals in their two group games, averaging over five per match—serious attacking intent from the favourites.
• Italian Defence Could Leak Under Pressure
  • Although Italy have conceded just once so far, they allowed Portugal just one shot on target—and still let in a goal in the dying moments.
• Spain’s Defence Isn’t Bulletproof
  • Despite back-to-back wins, Spain have conceded in both group games, and have kept just one clean sheet in their last eight outings.

Best Bet for Italy Women vs Spain Women

As the Women’s European Championship edges closer to the quarter-finals, Friday’s Group A finale in Bern has all the makings of a tense affair. Spain have already punched their ticket to the knockout stage, but top spot remains up for grabs. Italy, meanwhile, have their eyes firmly set on progression too, and a point would be enough to seal their place in the next round—though a narrow loss might still do the job. What complicates things is that Spain are rampant, cruising through their first two matches with ruthless efficiency, putting Portugal and Belgium to the sword in fashion that bordered on cruel. Italy, on the other hand, have been far more measured, more cautious even. They did just enough to beat Belgium and were moments away from another win against Portugal before a late equaliser denied them.

With both teams having something to play for—albeit with different motivations—it’s unlikely we’ll see a relaxed or rotated Spanish side. If anything, La Roja will want to send a message to the rest of the tournament by finishing the group with maximum points. Italy, though, might just see this as a chance to cause an upset, particularly given their relatively solid record in recent meetings with Spain.

Best Bet: Spain to Win & Both Teams to Score

Here at BettingTips4You, we don’t overwhelm readers with a laundry list of bets. Instead, we focus on offering one carefully selected tip per game, the absolute best option based on in-depth analysis. It’s our way of cutting through the noise and delivering quality over quantity, so you always know what to back without hesitation.

The standout value here is backing Spain to win and both teams to score. While Spain have looked frighteningly sharp up front, keeping clean sheets hasn’t exactly been their strong suit lately. They’ve let in goals against both Portugal and Belgium in this tournament, even though they ended up scoring five and six goals respectively. Italy have also shown enough in attack to trouble La Roja, with Cristiana Girelli’s quality up front proving decisive in their opener and nearly again versus Portugal.

Despite Spain possibly resting a couple of starters to avoid suspensions—like Batlle and Aleixandri—there’s still way too much firepower in this squad. Aitana Bonmati is expected to start after being gradually eased in, and with Alexia Putellas in imperious form, the Italian defence will be stretched constantly. Add in the likes of Claudia Pina and Mariona Caldentey, and it’s difficult to imagine the Spanish not scoring multiple goals again. However, Italy have enough about them to find the net once themselves, especially with Girelli’s eye for goal.

BettingTips4You.com expert quote:

“Spain have been electric in attack, but their defence is still giving chances away. Italy don’t need much to punish you, so this is set up perfectly for a Spain win with both teams scoring.” – Luca Pratesi

The risk Italy face is trying too hard to protect the scoreline and getting caught out by wave after wave of Spanish attacks. But if they get brave, they can certainly sneak one. A 3-1 win for Spain feels about right—a comfortable victory, but not without blemish.

Correct Score Prediction: Spain 3-1 Italy

While Italy will likely get on the scoresheet through their experienced front line, Spain’s overall quality, depth, and relentless attacking patterns should see them comfortably take all three points. With Bonmati possibly making her first start and Putellas already looking unplayable, expect fireworks from La Roja. A 3-1 result offers the most balance between Spain’s offensive power and their occasional defensive lapses.

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