Italy vs Germany Predictions

Italy vs Germany predictions for this UEFA Nations League clash. Italy host Germany at San Siro on Thursday in the first leg of their UEFA Nations League quarter-final, seeking a semi-final spot. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | Mar 20, 2025 at 7:45pm UK at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Italy vs Germany Predictions

Can Italy Stop Germany’s Unbeaten Run at San Siro?

• Italy’s defensive struggles
  • The Azzurri have managed just one clean sheet in their last ten matches, highlighting their vulnerability at the back.
• Germany’s goal-filled away games
  • All three of Germany’s away fixtures in the Nations League group stage saw both teams score, reinforcing their tendency for open matches.
• Recent history suggests goals
  • Seven of the last eight encounters between these sides have ended with both teams finding the net, making this a recurring trend in their matchups.

Best Bet for Italy vs Germany

A mouth-watering clash awaits in Milan as Italy and Germany lock horns in the first leg of their UEFA Nations League quarter-final. With a semi-final spot up for grabs, both teams will be eager to take control of the tie before the return leg in Dortmund.

Italy, under Luciano Spalletti, are still adapting to a new tactical approach following their underwhelming defence of the European Championship last summer. They looked sharp in the early stages of the Nations League but suffered a setback with a home defeat to France, ultimately finishing as runners-up in their group. Despite that, they still secured a place in the quarter-finals, where they now face a familiar foe in Germany.

For Germany, confidence is at an all-time high after an unbeaten run in the group stage saw them comfortably finish top ahead of the Netherlands. Julian Nagelsmann’s men are scoring freely, averaging three goals per game in the tournament so far. However, they arrive in Italy with a depleted squad due to injuries, which could make this contest more even than it initially appears. The battle between Italy’s structured approach and Germany’s high-intensity attacking game promises to be a fascinating watch.

Best Bet: Both Teams to Score

Here at BettingTips4You, we pride ourselves on providing just one carefully selected prediction per match, ensuring maximum value for our readers. For this encounter, our best bet is Both Teams to Score, as both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities while boasting plenty of firepower in attack.

Italy’s backline has been far from watertight, managing just one clean sheet in their last ten outings. Even during the Nations League group stage, where they performed reasonably well, they failed to shut out their opponents in three home matches. Spalletti’s tactical reshuffle, which relies on wing-backs pushing forward, leaves gaps in defence that a team of Germany’s quality can exploit.

Germany, despite their attacking prowess, have also struggled to keep things tight at the back. All three of their away games in the group stage saw both teams find the net, and with key defensive absentees, Nagelsmann’s side could be even more exposed. The absence of first-choice goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen further complicates matters, with Alexander Nübel or Stefan Ortega expected to deputise.

On the attacking front, both teams possess enough talent to break each other down. Even with Mateo Retegui ruled out, Italy still have Moise Kean and Giacomo Raspadori, who are more than capable of troubling Germany’s defence. The Azzurri also have midfielders like Nicolò Barella and Sandro Tonali who can contribute goals.

Germany, on the other hand, are missing Florian Wirtz and Kai Havertz, but with Jamal Musiala pulling the strings and Leroy Sané’s pace on the wings, they remain a serious threat going forward. The combination of Italy’s fragile defence and Germany’s attacking efficiency makes it highly likely that both teams will get on the scoresheet.

BettingTips4You.com expert Luca Semproni weighs in on this prediction:

“With both teams showing defensive frailties and possessing dangerous attacking players, it’s hard to see a clean sheet for either side. Expect an open, high-intensity battle where both defences get tested.“

Given the balance of the squads and the way these teams approach games, a 2-1 win for Italy seems like a likely result. The Azzurri’s home advantage and Germany’s injury issues could tip the scales in their favour, but it won’t come without a fight.

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