Inter Milan vs Lazio predictions, betting tips and match previews for their Serie A clash. Inter Milan, Serie A champions, face Lazio in their final home game. Lazio aim to secure a European spot. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Serie A | Gameweek 37 – May 19, 2024 at 5pm UK at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
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Inter Milan vs Lazio Predictions
Inter Milan Aim to Cap Stellar Season with Victory Over Lazio
Key Stats
– Inter Milan have kept 21 clean sheets this season, the most in their history.
– Lazio have lost their last four matches at the San Siro against Inter, with an aggregate score of 9-3.
– Lautaro Martinez has scored 24 goals in Serie A this season, leading the Capocannoniere rankings.
Inter Milan, having already secured their 20th Serie A title, will play their final home game of the season against Lazio at the San Siro on Sunday evening. While Inter can relax and enjoy their victory lap, Lazio are battling for a spot in European competitions, making this match crucial for the visitors. With the season nearing its end, both teams have different motivations, but the game promises to be a thrilling encounter.
Inter Milan: Dominance and Records
Inter Milan have been a force to reckon with this season, securing the Serie A title with ease and demonstrating their superiority in both attack and defence. Their recent 5-0 demolition of Frosinone showcased their offensive prowess, bringing their season tally to 101 goals across all competitions. This marks the fifth consecutive season they have scored over 100 goals, underlining their attacking depth and efficiency.
Simone Inzaghi’s team has amassed 92 points so far, and with two games remaining, they have the opportunity to surpass their club record of 97 points set in the 2006-07 season. Defensively, Inter have been just as impressive, keeping 21 clean sheets this season, the most in their history. Another shutout against Lazio would see them equal the Serie A record held by AC Milan and Juventus.
Lazio: Fighting for Europe
Lazio enter this match with a clear objective: to secure a spot in European competitions next season. Under the guidance of Igor Tudor, who replaced Maurizio Sarri mid-season, Lazio have seen an upturn in form, winning four of their last five matches. This run has kept them in contention for a top-six finish, and potentially even Champions League qualification, depending on other results.
The Biancocelesti have a modest away record this season and have struggled historically at the San Siro against Inter, losing their last four encounters with an aggregate score of 9-3. Despite this, Lazio’s recent form and improved defensive solidity give them hope of pulling off a surprise against the champions.
Tactical Setups and Expected Lineups
Inter Milan (3-5-2)
- Goalkeeper: Sommer
- Defenders: Pavard, De Vrij, Bastoni
- Midfielders: Darmian, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco
- Forwards: Thuram, Martinez
Inzaghi is expected to field his strongest lineup, resting key players against Frosinone to ensure freshness. Alessandro Bastoni, Benjamin Pavard, and Hakan Calhanoglu are likely to return to the starting XI, while Lautaro Martinez, who has netted 24 goals this season, will lead the attack alongside Marcus Thuram.
Lazio (4-3-3)
- Goalkeeper: Mandas
- Defenders: Patric, Casale, Hysaj
- Midfielders: Lazzari, Kamada, Guendouzi, Marusic
- Forwards: Anderson, Zaccagni, Immobile
Igor Tudor might opt for a 4-3-3 formation to balance defence and attack. Felipe Anderson, set to make his 250th Serie A appearance, will be a key player, potentially supporting either Taty Castellanos or Ciro Immobile. The goalkeeper spot could see Ivan Provedel return from injury, although Christos Mandas has performed admirably in his absence.
Key Battles and Field Dynamics
The midfield battle will be crucial, with Inter’s Barella and Calhanoglu up against Lazio’s Kamada and Guendouzi. Control of this area will dictate the game’s tempo, with both teams looking to dominate possession. On the flanks, Inter’s Dimarco and Darmian will aim to stretch Lazio’s defence, while Anderson and Zaccagni will look to exploit spaces behind Inter’s wing-backs.
The clash between Inter’s strikers Martinez and Thuram and Lazio’s defence, particularly Casale and Hysaj, will be vital. Martinez’s movement and Thuram’s physical presence will test Lazio’s backline, which has been solid in recent matches.
Expected Gameplay
Inter, playing at home, are expected to take the initiative, pressing high and seeking to score early to settle the game. Lazio, aware of their historical struggles at the San Siro, might adopt a more cautious approach, focusing on defensive solidity and looking to exploit counter-attacking opportunities. The flow of the game will largely depend on Inter’s ability to break down Lazio’s defence and Lazio’s effectiveness on the counter.
Areas for Improvement
Inter Milan: Despite their dominant season, Inter need to maintain focus and avoid complacency. They must continue their defensive discipline and ensure they convert their scoring opportunities efficiently to avoid any surprises.
Lazio: The Biancocelesti must improve their away form and find a way to break down strong defences. Greater cohesion in attack and support from midfield will be crucial if they are to challenge Inter and secure a positive result.
Managerial Strengths and Criticisms
Simone Inzaghi has successfully guided Inter to another title, demonstrating tactical acumen and an ability to manage his squad effectively. However, his team’s occasional lapses in concentration have been a concern, and ensuring full focus in these remaining games will be important.
Igor Tudor has revitalised Lazio, bringing stability and improved performances. However, his tenure has also seen inconsistency, particularly away from home. Ensuring his team is mentally and tactically prepared for this tough challenge will be key.
Analysis of Key Areas
The midfield will be a battleground, with both teams looking to establish control. Inter’s creative players will aim to dominate possession and create chances, while Lazio will look to disrupt play and launch quick counters. Key duels between Inter’s wingers and Lazio’s full-backs could decide the game’s outcome.
Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
Inter’s expected goals (xG) average reflects their offensive capabilities, while Lazio’s xG highlights their struggles in front of goal. Inter’s higher xG suggests they are more likely to create and convert chances, supporting predictions of a high-scoring game in their favour.
Predictions
Best Bet: Inter Milan to Win
Considering Inter’s formidable home record and Lazio’s struggles away from home, a victory for Inter seems the most likely outcome. Their depth in attack and defensive solidity should see them through.
Correct Score Prediction: Inter Milan 2-1 Lazio
Given both teams’ form, a closely contested match is expected. Inter’s superior quality should edge it, but Lazio’s recent improvement suggests they will put up a fight, making 2-1 a plausible scoreline.
Goalscorer Prediction: Lautaro Martinez to Score Anytime
Lautaro Martinez has been in excellent form, leading Inter’s scoring charts. His movement, finishing ability, and confidence make him a strong candidate to find the net.
Corner Prediction: Over 10.5 Corners
Both teams’ attacking styles and defensive setups suggest a high number of corners. Inter’s average of 6 corners per game and Lazio’s 5.3 support this prediction, indicating a match with numerous set-piece opportunities.
Innovative Market Prediction: Total Shots on Target Over 11.5
With both teams averaging a significant number of shots on target per game, and the high stakes of this match, numerous goal attempts are expected. Inter’s offensive intent and Lazio’s need to attack should result in over 11.5 shots on target.
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