Iceland vs Kosovo Predictions

Iceland vs Kosovo Predictions for this Nations League playoff clash. Iceland are favoured to win with both teams scoring, given their attacking edge and Kosovo’s defensive issues, though Kosovo’s recent scoring form suggests they’ll trouble Iceland in a neutral venue encounter. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Nations League | Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK at Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia

Iceland vs Kosovo Predictions

Can Iceland Rewrite the Script or Are Kosovo Set for History?

• Iceland’s leaky defence breeds chaos: Five of their last six matches have featured three goals or more, largely due to defensive mishaps and high-risk football.
• Kosovo bring the goals too: Six of the Dardanet’s last eight fixtures have also gone over the 2.5 goal mark, showing a consistent attacking threat.
• No home comforts for Iceland abroad: ‘Home’ games away from Reykjavik haven’t been kind to Iceland, with three consecutive neutral-site matches ending without a win.

Best Bet for Iceland vs Kosovo

It all comes down to this—ninety minutes in the Spanish sun, far away from either side’s home comforts, where Iceland and Kosovo will lock horns for a final shot at securing their place in League B of the UEFA Nations League. For Kosovo, this is uncharted territory, the chance to climb into a division they’ve never reached before. For Iceland, it’s about holding onto what little remains of their reputation, pride and league status after a campaign that has been, frankly, forgettable.

The first leg in Pristina offered a perfect snapshot of where these two nations currently stand. Iceland, under their new manager Arnar Gunnlaugsson, looked exactly like a side in transition—disorganised, unsettled, and lacking the resilience that once defined them. Despite equalising through the lively Orri Oskarsson, they soon fell behind again and never really looked like recovering.

Kosovo, on the other hand, appeared sharper, more cohesive, and far more dangerous in possession. They didn’t just win that first leg—they deserved to. Their midfield controlled the tempo for long spells, and with Elvis Rexhbecaj and Lumbardh Dellova both getting on the scoresheet, they head into Sunday’s showdown with momentum firmly in their favour. Iceland, though, have one thing going for them: desperation. And desperate teams can be unpredictable.

Best Bet for Iceland vs Kosovo: Over 2.5 Goals

At BettingTips4You, we don’t hand you a shopping list of ten possible bets and leave you scratching your head. We keep it simple, focused and effective. One game, one tip—that’s our style. And for this clash in Spain, the standout value lies in backing Over 2.5 Goals as the Best Bet.

Now, before you start thinking this might be a cagey, nervy affair, think again. This one’s shaping up to be wide open. Iceland have to come out swinging. They’re trailing, and a draw simply won’t do. With nothing to lose and their place in League B hanging by a thread, they’ll be forced to take risks—and when Iceland go for it, the goals tend to follow. Just ask Montenegro, or better yet, ask Wales, who put four past them in November.

The defensive structure under Gunnlaugsson remains a work in progress, and the absence of several experienced names like Gylfi Sigurdsson and Alfons Sampsted is clearly being felt. With Oskarsson leading the line and supported by the likes of Albert Gudmundsson and Andri Gudjohnsen, they do have firepower—but it comes at the cost of balance at the back.

Kosovo, meanwhile, are set up perfectly to exploit this. They don’t need to go all-out attack, but when they do break, they’ve got one of Europe’s most underrated frontmen in Vedat Muriqi—28 goals for his country and a menace in the air. Add Rashica’s pace and creativity into the mix, and Iceland’s shaky defence might just be in for another tough night.

BettingTips4You.com expert quote:

“Iceland have no option but to open up, and Kosovo won’t hesitate to punish them on the counter. This one’s got goals written all over it.” – Herrin Kendrick

The expected tempo of the match, the stakes, and the styles of both teams all point towards a high-scoring affair. So while Iceland will throw everything they’ve got, Kosovo are more than capable of matching them blow for blow—and maybe even adding to their lead.

For the correct score, we’re leaning towards a 2-2 draw. Iceland will come out hard and probably find the net, maybe more than once, but their defensive lapses and Kosovo’s dangerous transition play mean holding on won’t be easy. A draw sends Kosovo through, and they’ll be more than satisfied with that outcome..

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