Hull City vs Derby Predictions

Hull City vs Derby predictions for this Championship fixture. Hull and Derby clash in vital relegation battle at MKM Stadium. Both sides urgently need points to escape the drop, making this a high-stakes Championship showdown. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Championship | Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK at KCOM Stadium

Hull City vs Derby Predictions

Could East Yorkshire Witness a Relegation Scrap Turn into a Goal Frenzy?

• Hull’s Attacking Pulse Is Back: After netting only twice in five games, the Tigers found the net twice in one match last weekend, possibly signalling a shift in confidence.
• Derby Can Break Through on the Road: Despite a poor away record, the Rams fired three goals past West Brom in their last away trip — their best offensive away performance of the campaign.
• Defensive Frailties All Over: Hull have the worst home record in the division, and Derby have only three away wins — signs that neither defence is likely to hold firm under pressure.

Best Bet for Hull City vs Derby

Sometimes the league table lies. Sometimes it screams the truth loud enough to shake the floodlights. And when Hull City welcome Derby County to the MKM Stadium on Saturday, every misplaced pass and scruffy clearance will carry the weight of survival. The points on offer here aren’t just points — they’re a potential lifeline, a means of dodging that gut-punch drop into League One. The tension? Palpable. The stakes? Huge. The mood? Somewhere between cautious optimism and outright panic, depending on who you ask.

Hull have a chance to make their situation safe. A victory here gets them to the golden figure of 51 points — a number likely high enough to breathe easy come the final day. Derby, only a couple of steps behind, are in a similar boat. Win here, and they leapfrog their hosts. For a fixture this late in the season, you can’t script it much better. Both sides are fresh off morale-boosting wins: Hull came from behind to beat Preston, while Derby pulled off a tidy away win at West Brom. But while most expect a tense, risk-averse affair, there’s a strong case to be made for fireworks.

Best Bet for This Match: Over 2.5 Goals

Here at BettingTips4You, we don’t deal in scattergun guessing. One match, one tip — that’s the rule. For this massive relegation six-pointer, our Best Bet is Over 2.5 Goals.

Now, at first glance, this might sound counterintuitive. After all, both teams have had trouble scoring all season, with Hull among the Championship’s lowest scorers and Derby not exactly setting fireworks off. But this is where context matters more than headlines.

Hull managed just two goals in five matches prior to Easter Monday, then promptly doubled that in one game. Joe Gelhardt’s brace from the spot showed that when the pressure is on, the Tigers can find a way. Meanwhile, Derby may have only won three times away from home, but one of those was their last match — and they did it with three goals at a tricky ground. That performance at West Brom wasn’t just surprising, it was refreshingly bold. The Rams knew they needed to take risks and they were rewarded.

Add in the desperation factor, and this match has the potential to break loose. A draw doesn’t help either side much. Both teams know that safety isn’t likely to be handed to them — they have to go and grab it. That means pushing forward, even if it leaves gaps at the back.

Hull’s defence has looked vulnerable, especially at home where they’ve only managed five wins all season. That makes them susceptible, and Derby’s recent form suggests they’ve got the tools to punish them. Equally, Derby have injuries piling up in key areas, including missing goal threat Dajaune Brown and creative presence Kemar Roofe, which means they might be even more open defensively. And let’s be honest, when both teams have a whiff of survival in their nostrils, shape and discipline often fly out the window.

“This isn’t going to be neat and tidy. Hull and Derby both need more than a point, and when desperation meets chaos, goals tend to follow.”
– BettingTips4You.com expert Steve Harrington

Both clubs are reaching for the same rope, and they’ll probably do so by throwing bodies forward rather than sitting back and hoping for a miracle.

Likely Correct Score: Hull City 2-2 Derby County

Neither team can afford to play for a point, so it could become one of those rare survival matches where it turns into a mini-shootout. We’re backing an entertaining, nervy, four-goal thriller.

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