Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna predictions ahead of this Swedish Allsvenskan clash. Hammarby and Brommapojkarna clash at the Tele2 Arena on Monday evening in Round 18 of the 2024 Swedish Allsvenskan season. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.
Swedish Allsvenskan | Aug 12, 2024 at 6pm UK at Tele2 Arena
Hammarby vs Brommapojkarna Predictions
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Can Brommapojkarna Stop Hammarby’s March Towards the Top?
Key Stats
Hammarby have won three consecutive matches, scoring nine goals in the process.
Brommapojkarna have conceded 30 goals in 17 matches, an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Nahir Besara has been directly involved in 13 goals this season, with seven goals and six assists.
The Swedish Allsvenskan is heating up as Hammarby prepare to face Brommapojkarna at the Tele2 Arena in what promises to be a compelling encounter. Hammarby are coming off the back of an impressive run of form, having won three consecutive matches, and they will be looking to continue their dominance over Brommapojkarna, whom they defeated 2-0 in their last meeting. On the other side, Brommapojkarna, despite a recent resurgence in form, face a daunting challenge against a Hammarby side that has found its rhythm both offensively and defensively.
Hammarby: Riding High on Recent Success
Hammarby have been in stellar form, and their recent performances have propelled them into the upper echelons of the Allsvenskan table. Their 4-1 victory over Kalmar last time out showcased their attacking prowess, with four different players finding the back of the net. This result followed a comprehensive 3-0 win over Mjallby, signalling a team that is peaking at the right time. Under the guidance of Kim Hellberg, Hammarby have managed to tighten their defence significantly, conceding only two goals in their last seven league matches.
This newfound defensive solidity has been key to their recent success. Hammarby’s defence, marshalled by the likes of Shaquille Pinas and Victor Eriksson, has become increasingly difficult to break down. Their ability to maintain clean sheets has provided a solid foundation for their attacking players to flourish. Nahir Besara has been the standout performer for Hammarby, contributing seven goals and six assists so far this season, making him a crucial figure in their attacking setup.
However, the absence of Mads Fenger due to a knee injury continues to be a concern. Despite this, Hammarby have adapted well, with Pavle Vagic stepping in effectively. With Frederik Winther also sidelined, Hellberg has had to rely on his squad depth, and so far, the players have responded admirably. The question now is whether Hammarby can maintain their momentum against a Brommapojkarna side that has shown flashes of brilliance in recent weeks.
Brommapojkarna: A Mixed Bag of Performances
Brommapojkarna enter this match with a record that reflects both their potential and their inconsistency. Their 4-2 victory over Halmstad was a display of attacking intent, with Adam Jakobsen and Nikola Vasic leading the charge. This result followed a 4-3 win over IFK Gothenburg, indicating a team that can score freely when given the opportunity. However, these victories were sandwiched between losses to Hammarby and Kalmar, highlighting their vulnerability, particularly in defence.
Andreas Engelmark, Brommapojkarna’s head coach, faces the challenge of balancing his side’s attacking flair with the need for greater defensive resilience. Brommapojkarna have conceded 30 goals in 17 matches, an average of 1.8 goals per game, which is concerning, especially when coming up against a free-scoring side like Hammarby. The absence of key players such as Kevin Ackermann, Mario Butros, and Gustav Sandberg has further complicated matters for Engelmark.
Nikola Vasic, with nine goals to his name, has been the shining light for Brommapojkarna. His physical presence and finishing ability make him a constant threat, and he will be crucial to Brommapojkarna’s chances of getting something from this game. However, with the defence leaking goals and the team struggling for consistency, Brommapojkarna will need more than just individual brilliance to secure a positive result against Hammarby.
Tactical Analysis: Where the Game Will Be Won
The midfield battle will be a key determinant of the outcome in this fixture. Hammarby’s midfield trio, led by Nahir Besara, has been effective in both breaking up opposition play and driving the team forward. Besara’s vision and passing range allow Hammarby to transition quickly from defence to attack, often catching opponents off guard. Brommapojkarna’s midfield, led by Frederik Christensen, will need to disrupt Hammarby’s rhythm if they are to have any chance of controlling the game.
Defensively, Brommapojkarna will have to be at their best to contain Hammarby’s wide players. The combination of Oscar Johansson and Bazoumana Toure on the flanks provides Hammarby with width and pace, which they have used effectively to stretch defences. Brommapojkarna’s full-backs, Alexander Jensen and Alexander Abrahamsson, will need to be alert and disciplined to prevent Hammarby from exploiting these areas.
In attack, Brommapojkarna will rely heavily on the link-up play between Vasic and Jakobsen. Hammarby’s defence will need to be wary of Vasic’s aerial threat, as he is capable of converting crosses into goals. Hammarby’s centre-backs, Pinas and Eriksson, will be tasked with keeping Vasic quiet, and their ability to do so could be pivotal in determining the result.
Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
Hammarby’s attacking output has been impressive, with the team averaging 1.8 goals per game. Their expected goals (xG) per match aligns with this, reflecting a side that consistently creates high-quality chances. In contrast, Brommapojkarna’s xG is slightly lower, suggesting that while they have been scoring at a reasonable rate, they are not creating as many clear-cut opportunities. Defensively, Hammarby’s xG against is also lower than Brommapojkarna’s, indicating that they are better at limiting the opposition’s chances.
Criticism of Brommapojkarna’s Managerial Approach
Andreas Engelmark’s tactics have been a source of frustration for Brommapojkarna supporters. His insistence on a high-risk, high-reward style of play has often left his team exposed at the back. While this approach can yield exciting football and plenty of goals, it also results in defensive frailties that have been ruthlessly exploited by more clinical teams. Engelmark’s reluctance to adapt his tactics to suit the opposition has cost Brommapojkarna valuable points, and his side’s position in the lower half of the table is a direct consequence of these tactical shortcomings.
Engelmark’s decision-making in crucial moments has also been questionable. His substitutions often seem reactive rather than proactive, and his failure to address the team’s defensive issues is a glaring oversight. For Brommapojkarna to move up the table, Engelmark needs to find a better balance between attack and defence, or risk seeing his side dragged into a relegation battle.
Strengths and Weaknesses of the Two Teams
Hammarby’s primary strength lies in their ability to control possession and dictate the tempo of the game. Their passing accuracy, particularly in the opposition half, allows them to build sustained periods of pressure, which often leads to goals. However, their reliance on a few key players, such as Besara, means that they could struggle if these individuals are marked out of the game.
Brommapojkarna’s strength is in their attacking play, particularly the partnership between Vasic and Jakobsen. However, their defensive record is a major weakness. Conceding nearly two goals per game is unsustainable, especially against top-tier teams. If Brommapojkarna are to have any chance of securing a result, they will need to tighten up at the back and avoid unnecessary risks.
Predictions
Best Bet: Hammarby to Win
Given Hammarby’s current form and Brommapojkarna’s defensive vulnerabilities, the best bet for this match is a Hammarby victory. Their ability to control games and their recent defensive improvements make them favourites to take all three points.
Correct Score Prediction: Hammarby 3-1 Brommapojkarna
With Hammarby’s attacking firepower and Brommapojkarna’s propensity to concede, a 3-1 victory for the home side seems a likely outcome. Hammarby should dominate possession and create plenty of chances, while Brommapojkarna’s Vasic could still find a way to get on the scoresheet.
Goalscorer Prediction: Nahir Besara to Score
Nahir Besara has been in excellent form this season, contributing both goals and assists. His ability to arrive late in the box and his proficiency from set-pieces make him a strong candidate to score in this match.
Team to Score First Prediction: Hammarby
Hammarby are likely to start the game strongly, given their recent performances. Their ability to control possession and create early chances makes them the more probable side to score first.
Innovative Market Prediction: Over 5.5 Team Corners for Hammarby
Hammarby’s dominance in possession and their attacking intent should lead to a high number of corners. Given their average of 5.1 corners per game, surpassing 5.5 corners in this match is a realistic expectation.
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