Hacken vs Malmo Predictions

Hacken vs Malmo predictions ahead of this Swedish Allsvenskan contest. In Allsvenskan Gameweek 10, heavyweights Hacken and Malmo clash at Bravida Arena on Monday evening. Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.

Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 9 – May 20, 2024 at 6.10pm UK at Bravida Arena

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Hacken vs Malmo Predictions

Hacken Host High-Flying Malmo: A Battle of Contrasting Forms

As gameweek 10 of the Allsvenskan approaches, Hacken are set to clash with Malmo at Bravida Arena on Monday evening. Hacken, currently positioned fourth with 16 points, face a formidable Malmo side sitting atop the league standings with 24 points.

Match Preview

Hacken’s season so far has been inconsistent. Their third loss in nine league games came last week when they were defeated 3-0 by Halmstad. Despite dominating possession with 70% and launching 31 shots, Hacken failed to score, while Halmstad capitalised on their limited chances. Under new coach Paco Johansen, Hacken have struggled defensively, conceding 14 goals, the same number as the bottom team Vasteras. For Hacken to mount a serious challenge for the title, tightening their defence is imperative.

Malmo, on the other hand, have made a strong start to the season, taking 24 out of a possible 27 points. Their only loss came against Elfsborg earlier this month. Following this defeat, Malmo rebounded by defeating Goteborg 3-0 and narrowly edging out GAIS 1-0. With a robust defence that has conceded only four goals this season, Malmo have established themselves as the team to beat. A win against Hacken could extend their lead at the top, especially if Djurgarden falter against Halmstad.

Team News and Expected Lineups

Hacken

Hacken are likely to miss several players due to injury. Ishaq Abdulrazak, who is set to return to Anderlecht, is sidelined along with Isak Brusberg (groin), Jeremy Agbonifo (thigh), and Nikola Zecevic, who remains doubtful.

Expected Starting XI: Andreas Linde; Julius Lindberg, Johan Hammar, Marius Lode, Jacob Barrett Laursen; Amane Romeo, Simon Gustafson, Pontus Dahbo; Amor Layouni, Srdjan Hrstic, Ali Youssef

Malmo

Malmo will be without their first-choice right-back Jens Stryger Larsen due to suspension. Injuries also rule out Oliver Berg (ankle), Stefano Vecchia (back), and Niklas Moisander (arm). Oscar Lawicki remains out with a long-term injury.

Expected Starting XI: Ricardo Friedrich; Taha Abdi Ali, Pontus Jansson, Derek Cornelius, Busanello; Sebastian Jørgensen, Sergio Peña, Lasse Berg Johnsen, Sebastian Nanasi; Erik Botheim, Isaac Kiese Thelin

Tactical Analysis

Key Battles

Midfield Dominance: Simon Gustafson vs. Sergio Peña

The midfield contest between Simon Gustafson and Sergio Peña will be crucial. Gustafson’s ability to control play and link defence with attack will be tested by Peña’s dynamic presence and vision.

Defensive Stability: Johan Hammar vs. Isaac Kiese Thelin

Hacken’s Johan Hammar must contain Malmo’s top scorer Isaac Kiese Thelin. Hammar’s physicality and aerial prowess will be vital against Thelin’s sharp finishing and positioning.

Wing Play: Amor Layouni vs. Busanello

Amor Layouni’s pace and dribbling skills can trouble Malmo’s defence, while Busanello’s overlapping runs and crosses will test Hacken’s defensive organisation on the flanks.

Gameplay Prediction

Expect an intense and tactical battle. Hacken, with home advantage, will aim to dominate possession and press high, leveraging their offensive firepower. Malmo will likely focus on their solid defensive structure, looking to hit Hacken on the counter-attack and capitalise on set-pieces.

Tactical Breakdown

Areas of Decision

The midfield will be a battleground where control of possession and creative playmaking can determine the match’s outcome. Gustafson and Peña will be instrumental in dictating the tempo and supplying the forwards.

The defensive lines of both teams will also be crucial. Malmo’s compact defence will look to neutralise Hacken’s attacking threats, while Hacken’s backline must step up to manage Malmo’s potent offensive duo, Botheim and Thelin.

Suggestions for Improvement

Hacken: Defensive Solidarity

Hacken need to address their defensive frailties urgently. Johansen must instill better organisation and discipline at the back. A more pragmatic approach in high-stakes games could yield better results.

Malmo: Maintaining Consistency

Malmo must continue their disciplined defensive approach while ensuring they capitalise on scoring opportunities. Maintaining their focus and intensity in each game is crucial for sustaining their title challenge.

Strengths and Weaknesses

Hacken:

• Strengths: High possession play, creating numerous scoring opportunities.
• Weaknesses: Defensive lapses, inconsistent performances against lower-ranked teams.

Malmo:

• Strengths: Solid defence, effective counter-attacks, clinical finishing.
• Weaknesses: Occasional lapses in concentration, reliance on key players for goals.

Managerial Critique

Paco Johansen’s tenure at Hacken has been marked by an attacking philosophy but defensive weaknesses. He needs to balance the team’s offensive instincts with a more robust defensive setup. Malmo’s Henrik Rydstrom, on the other hand, has excelled in organising his team defensively while maintaining their attacking threat.

Expected Goals Analysis

Hacken’s xG (expected goals) reflects their ability to create chances, but their xGA (expected goals against) highlights defensive issues. Malmo’s xG and xGA indicate a well-balanced side capable of scoring while limiting opponents’ opportunities.

Predictions and Betting Angles

Best Bet: Malmo to Win

Given Malmo’s formidable form and defensive solidity, they are favourites to secure a victory. Their ability to grind out results even in challenging games makes them the safer bet.

Correct Score Prediction: Hacken 1-2 Malmo

Malmo’s defensive strength combined with Hacken’s recent struggles at the back suggests a narrow win for the visitors. A 2-1 scoreline reflects Malmo’s edge while acknowledging Hacken’s potential to find the net.

Goalscorer Prediction: Isaac Kiese Thelin

Isaac Kiese Thelin, Malmo’s leading scorer, is likely to add to his tally. His consistent performance in front of goal makes him a strong candidate to score at least once.

Corner Prediction: Over 10.5 Corners

Both teams generate a high number of corners, with Hacken averaging 6.9 per game and Malmo 7.1. This suggests a high probability of surpassing 10.5 corners in the match.

Innovative Market Prediction: Malmo Most Shots on Target

Malmo’s attacking prowess and ability to create chances point towards them having the most shots on target. This market offers a strategic betting angle given their offensive statistics.

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