Gremio vs Internacional predictions for Saturday’s Brazilian Serie A encounter at Arena do Gremio. Can the hosts end a three-game losing run? Read on for our free Brazilian Serie A predictions and betting tips.
Brasileiro | Group Stage – Jun 22, 2024 at 9:30pm UK at Arena do Grêmio
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Gremio vs Internacional Predictions
Can Internacional Extend Gremio’s Misery in the Serie A Clash?
Key Stats
– Gremio have lost their last five league matches, scoring only 0.8 goals per game.
– Internacional boast an impressive away record, winning three of their last four matches on the road.
– Wesley has been Internacional’s standout player, scoring four goals in the current campaign.
As Gremio prepare to host Internacional, the atmosphere is charged with tension. Gremio’s recent performances have left much to be desired, and with Internacional showing strong form on the road, this match is set to be a compelling contest. This analysis will delve into the expected lineups, strategies, key players, and provide well-justified predictions.
Current Form and Team Analysis
Gremio’s Struggles Gremio have endured a torrid time lately, losing their last five league matches. Their latest defeat, a 1-0 loss to Fortaleza, exemplifies their current woes. They find themselves in the relegation zone with just six points from eight matches. Pressure is mounting on head coach Renato Gaúcho, who faces increasing criticism as his team struggles to find form at home. Their recent home record includes defeats to Botafogo and RB Bragantino, indicating a worrying trend of underperformance at Arena do Grêmio.
Internacional’s Resilience In contrast, Internacional have been impressive, particularly away from home. They are currently ninth in the Serie A, a full eight points ahead of their hosts. Eduardo Coudet’s men come into this match on the back of a 1-0 victory over Corinthians, marking their fourth win in six outings across all competitions. Their away form is particularly noteworthy, having secured victories against Cuiaba in the league and in cup matches against Delfin and Real Tomayapo.
Expected Lineups and Tactical Insights
Gremio’s Lineup and Approach Expected lineup: Agustín Marchesín, Reinaldo, Rodrigo Ely, Pedro Geromel, Gustavo Martins, Mathias Villasanti, Franco Cristaldo, Cristian Pavón, Yeferson Soteldo, Edenilson, João Pedro Galvão.
Gremio are likely to adopt a 4-4-2 formation, focusing on solidity and counter-attacking opportunities. Key players like Franco Cristaldo and Yeferson Soteldo will be pivotal in transitioning from defence to attack. However, their inability to convert chances has been a significant issue, as evidenced by their low goals-per-game ratio of 0.8.
Internacional’s Lineup and Strategy Expected lineup: Fabricio, Renê, Fabricio Bustos, Gabriel Carvalho, Fernando, Thiago Maia, Wesley, Igor Gomes, Rafael Borré, Sergio Rochet, Hugo Mallo.
Internacional are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, prioritising possession and quick ball movement. Wesley, their top scorer, will be a crucial figure in their attacking setup, supported by the creativity of Fernando and Thiago Maia. Their defensive solidity, with an average of 0.6 goals conceded per game, provides a robust platform for their midfield and forward players to operate effectively.
Key Areas and Player Duels
Midfield Battle The midfield battle will be a key determinant of the match’s outcome. Gremio’s Mathias Villasanti and Franco Cristaldo will face off against Internacional’s Thiago Maia and Wesley. The ability to control the midfield and dictate the tempo will be crucial. Gremio’s midfielders will need to be sharp and assertive to prevent Internacional from dominating possession.
Defensive Resilience vs. Attacking Flair Gremio’s defence, led by Rodrigo Ely and Pedro Geromel, will be under significant pressure from Internacional’s attacking trio. The duel between Gremio’s defenders and Internacional’s Wesley and Rafael Borré could be decisive. Gremio’s defence has been porous, conceding 1.3 goals per game, while Internacional have shown a clinical edge in front of goal.
Gameplay Dynamics
Gremio’s Strategy Given their recent form, Gremio are likely to adopt a cautious approach, focusing on defensive solidity and looking to exploit counter-attacking opportunities. Their expected possession is around 49.1%, indicating a more reactive strategy. Quick transitions and set-pieces might be their best chance to score, relying on players like Franco Cristaldo for creativity.
Internacional’s Gameplan Internacional will aim to control the game through possession and quick passing. With an average possession of 55.1%, they will look to press high and dominate the midfield. Their ability to recover the ball quickly (51 recoveries per game) will be crucial in maintaining pressure on Gremio’s defence. The creativity of Thiago Maia and the finishing ability of Wesley will be central to their attacking strategy.
Predictions
Best Bet: Internacional to Win Given Gremio’s dire form and Internacional’s impressive away performances, backing Internacional to secure a victory seems the most prudent bet. Gremio have lost five consecutive matches and their defensive frailties, coupled with their inability to score consistently, make Internacional the favourites.
Correct Score Prediction: Gremio 0-2 Internacional Aligning with the best bet, a 2-0 victory for Internacional is a logical prediction. Gremio’s lack of goals and Internacional’s defensive solidity suggest a clean sheet for the visitors, while their attacking efficiency should see them score at least twice.
Goalscorer Prediction: Wesley to Score Wesley, Internacional’s top scorer, is in fine form and poses a significant threat to Gremio’s defence. His ability to find space and convert chances makes him the most likely candidate to get on the scoresheet.
First Team to Score: Internacional Internacional’s recent form and Gremio’s defensive vulnerabilities point towards the visitors being the first to score. Given their tendency to start strongly and Gremio’s shaky defence, it is reasonable to expect Internacional to break the deadlock.
Innovative Market: Total Team Shots on Target – Internacional Over 4.5 Internacional’s attacking prowess and Gremio’s defensive lapses suggest that the visitors will generate multiple scoring opportunities. With an average of 4.1 shots on target per game, backing Internacional to have over 4.5 shots on target is a plausible bet.
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