Gremio vs Athletico Paranaese Predictions

Gremio vs Athletico Paranaese predictions ahead of this affair on Wednesday night. Can ex-Liverpool striker Luis Suarez keep with his top form and help Gremio to secure another win or will the visitors resist? Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

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Match Live Wednesday, 18th October at 11:00 pm In:

Gremio vs Athletico Paranaese Predictions

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The Tussle for Top Four Supremacy

Key Stats
– Gremio have conceded an average of two goals per game since mid-September.
– Athletico Paranaense have netted 1.5 goals on average, with a possession statistic of 47.3%.
– Both teams combined have hit the woodwork 19 times in the season, indicating their attacking intent.

Separated by a mere three points, Gremio and Athletico Paranaense are set for an exhilarating midweek clash. Both teams, being top contenders in Brazil’s Serie A, have their sights firmly on a Copa Libertadores spot. This encounter is not just about the three points but carries with it, historical precedents and a clash of philosophies.

The Home Side’s Struggles and Strategies

Gremio, currently third in the standings, has been a mixed bag of late. Out of their last five games, they’ve only emerged victorious once. Despite the stumbles, including a painful 3-2 defeat to Internacional, Gremio’s position in the top three hasn’t wavered. Renato Gaucho, Gremio’s gaffer, often favours an expansive style of play, which, although entertaining, leaves them vulnerable at the back.


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They’ve conceded an average of two goals per game since mid-September, a record only better than teams languishing at the bottom of the table. Even the attacking prowess of the Uruguayan legend, Luis Suarez, has been unable to mask their defensive frailties. Gaucho’s men need to strike a balance if they hope to consolidate their position in the top four.

Athletico Paranaense’s Journey So Far

In contrast, Athletico Paranaense, who sit eighth, are looking to bounce back from a 1-1 draw against Bragantino. The team under the management of Wesley Carvalho has shown potential but lacks consistency. Their record reads a balanced eight wins, seven draws, and six losses since June. Their aspirations suffered a setback after being ousted from the Copa Libertadores by Bolivar. This makes the clash with Gremio all the more pivotal for ensuring their return to South America’s top club competition.

Team News and Analysis

With Vitor Roque, Athletico’s top scorer, sidelined due to an ankle injury, they’ll be relying on the likes of Bueno, Pablo, and Zapelli to fill the void. Agustin Canobbio’s involvement with Uruguay and Vitor Roque’s absence are significant blows. However, the return of captain Thiago Heleno bolsters their defence.

On the other hand, Gremio’s Suarez, the 10-goal top scorer, remains their most significant threat, even amidst rumours of a departure to MLS. Gaucho might need to shuffle his midfield in the absence of Mathias Villasanti and the injured Felipe Carballo.

Performance Analysis

Gremio’s attack has been impressive, averaging 1.6 goals per match, but defensively they’ve been porous, conceding 1.3 goals on average. Their possession stats (45.4%) indicate a more reactive style of play.

Athletico Paranaense have been slightly better defensively, conceding 1.2 goals per match and scoring 1.5 on average. They’ve enjoyed more ball possession (47.3%), suggesting a more controlled approach.


  1. Under/Over: Given the recent forms and playing styles, one can expect goals. However, considering the defensive records, especially Gremio’s, an over 2.5 goals seems a likely scenario.
  2. Correct Score Prediction: Gremio 2 – 2 Athletico Paranaense.
  3. Goalscorer Prediction: With Vitor Roque out for Athletico Paranaense, Luis Suarez is a prime candidate to find the back of the net for Gremio.
  4. First Half Result: A draw at half time is probable, with both teams possibly getting on the scoreboard.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.