Godoy Cruz vs Rosario Central predictions ahead of this Argentine Primeira Division clash. Godoy Cruz, winless in phase two, host Rosario Central at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte on Wednesday for matchday five. Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.
Argentine Primera Division | Jun 12, 2024 at 9pm UK at Estadio Victor Antonio Legrotaglie
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Godoy Cruz vs Rosario Central Predictions
Godoy Cruz vs Rosario Central: A Battle for Redemption and Resilience
Key Stats
– Godoy Cruz have averaged 17 shots per game but only 0.3 goals per match in the second phase.
– Rosario Central have scored in the last 10 minutes in three of their recent four matches.
– Godoy Cruz have secured five of their nine victories this year at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte.
Godoy Cruz will aim to secure their first win in the second phase of the Argentine Primera Division when they face Rosario Central at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte on Wednesday. Both teams are coming off draws in their last league matches, making this a crucial encounter for both sides.
Match Preview
Godoy Cruz have struggled to find form in the second phase of the competition, managing only two points from three matches. Their current position barely keeps them in contention for a Copa Sudamericana spot, with a superior goal difference over Lanus being their saving grace. The last time Godoy Cruz tasted victory in the Primera Division was against Sarmiento in the opening phase. Home advantage has been significant for them, with five of their nine victories in 2024 coming at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte. However, they are at risk of consecutive home defeats for the first time this season.
Rosario Central, meanwhile, have shown resilience in their recent domestic fixtures, securing points in three successive league games. Notably, they have managed to score crucial goals in the latter stages of matches, which speaks to their fighting spirit. They currently sit in 21st place, eight points behind Godoy Cruz. A win here would mark their first consecutive away victories in the league this season. Despite their struggles, Rosario Central have a decent record against Godoy Cruz, having won their last two meetings by a 1-0 scoreline.
Team News and Expected Lineups
Godoy Cruz are dealing with injuries, with Braian Salvareschi out with a broken foot and Facundo Altamira sidelined due to a muscle injury. Vicente Poggi, who scored against Estudiantes, will be crucial in midfield. The likely lineup for Godoy Cruz is:
Godoy Cruz probable starting lineup: Petroli; Arce, Barrios, Rasmussen, Guillen; Fernandez, Leyes, Poggi; Pino, Ulariaga, Cejas
Rosario Central will be missing Francis Mac Allister, recovering from an ACL injury, and Agustin Sandez, who is dealing with physical discomfort. Marco Ruben, who scored his first goal of the second phase, will be key in their attack. The expected lineup for Rosario Central is:
Rosario Central probable starting lineup: Broun; Coronel, Mallo, Komar, F. Rodriguez; Cerrudo, Ibarra, Martinez, Lovera; Copetti, Modica
Key Areas and Duels
Midfield control will be vital, with Vicente Poggi and Bruno Leyes for Godoy Cruz up against Franco Ibarra and Mauricio Martinez for Rosario Central. The battle on the flanks will also be crucial, as Godoy Cruz’s wingers Pino and Cejas look to outpace Rosario’s full-backs Coronel and F. Rodriguez. Up front, Ulariaga will need to be clinical to exploit any defensive lapses from Rosario.
Gameplay Dynamics
Godoy Cruz will likely look to dominate possession and create chances through patient build-up play. They have averaged 52% possession and will aim to control the tempo. However, their recent lack of goals is a concern, having scored just once in the second phase. They average 17 shots per game, with 3 on target, indicating their struggles to convert chances.
Rosario Central, known for their late goals, will likely adopt a more cautious approach initially, focusing on counter-attacks and set pieces. Their ability to score late in matches shows their persistence, but they must improve their overall defensive solidity. They average 11 shots per game, with 4.8 on target, suggesting they can threaten Godoy Cruz’s defence.
Strengths and Weaknesses
Godoy Cruz: Strengths:
- Strong home form with a significant number of victories at Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
- Resilience in midfield with players like Poggi and Leyes
Weaknesses:
- Difficulty in converting chances into goals
- Vulnerable when conceding first
Rosario Central: Strengths:
- Ability to score crucial late goals
- Solid defensive performances in recent away games
Weaknesses:
- Inconsistent form and missed opportunities when leading
- Dependence on key players like Marco Ruben for goals
Managerial Analysis
Daniel Oldra of Godoy Cruz has faced criticism for his inability to turn promising play into consistent results. His tactics have often failed to break down organised defences. Miguel Angel Russo of Rosario Central has shown better adaptability, particularly in motivating his team to fight until the final whistle. However, his team’s inconsistency in converting leads into victories remains a concern.
Expected Goals Analysis
Godoy Cruz have struggled with their attacking efficiency, averaging just 0.3 goals per game in the second phase. This indicates their need to improve finishing. Rosario Central have fared better, with an average of 1.5 goals per game, suggesting they have the edge in scoring capabilities.
Betting Angles and Predictions
Given the analysis, here are five key predictions for the match:
Best Bet: Rosario Central to Win or Draw (Double Chance X2)
Rosario Central’s recent resilience and ability to secure points, even when trailing, make them a solid bet to avoid defeat. Godoy Cruz’s struggles to score and their poor recent form bolster this prediction.
Correct Score Prediction: Godoy Cruz 1-2 Rosario Central
Rosario Central’s superior scoring record and Godoy Cruz’s defensive vulnerabilities suggest a narrow victory for the visitors. A 2-1 scoreline reflects Rosario’s ability to find the net and Godoy Cruz’s potential to score at home.
Goalscorer Prediction: Marco Ruben to Score Anytime
Marco Ruben, having netted his first goal of the second phase recently, is a likely candidate to score against a shaky Godoy Cruz defence. His experience and positioning make him a constant threat in the box.
Team to Score First: Rosario Central
Given Rosario Central’s recent form and Godoy Cruz’s defensive issues, Rosario are likely to score first. Their tendency to score crucial goals, particularly late in the game, supports this prediction.
Innovative Market Prediction: Total Team Shots on Target Over 8.5
Both teams have shown a propensity to take numerous shots, with Rosario Central averaging 4.8 shots on target per game. Combining their offensive tendencies, predicting over 8.5 shots on target for both teams is justified.
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