Girona vs Granada Predictions

Girona vs Granada Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews in La Liga. Concluding a sensational 2023-24 La Liga campaign, Champions League-bound Girona welcome relegated Granada to Montilivi on Friday. Read on for our free predictions and tips.

Girona
Granada

La Liga | Gameweek 38 – May 24, 2024 at 8pm UK at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

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Girona vs Granada Predictions

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Girona to Cap Off Historic Season with Victory Over Relegated Granada

Key Stats

– Girona have scored 78 goals this season, showcasing their offensive strength.

– Granada have conceded 72 goals, the highest in La Liga.

– Artem Dovbyk has netted 21 times, making him one of the league’s top scorers.

As the 2023-24 La Liga season draws to a close, Girona are set to host Granada at Montilivi Stadium in what promises to be a match of contrasting fortunes. Girona, guaranteed a third-place finish, have secured a spot in the Champions League, while Granada are resigned to relegation. This match offers a unique spectacle where one team celebrates an unprecedented achievement, and the other faces the bitter end of a disappointing campaign.

Match Preview

Girona’s remarkable season has seen them secure a podium finish, a testament to their consistent performances throughout the campaign. Managed by Michel, the team has displayed resilience and tactical acumen, often outperforming expectations. Although their form slightly dipped in the latter part of the season, with losses to Alaves and Villarreal, they bounced back emphatically with a 3-1 victory against Valencia. Key goals from Savio, Artem Dovbyk, and a Yarek Gasiorowski own goal underscored their attacking prowess.

In stark contrast, Granada’s season has been marred by inconsistency and managerial upheaval. Under Jose Ramon Sandoval, they showed fleeting signs of revival but ultimately failed to avoid the drop. A run of four consecutive defeats in May, including a 4-0 thrashing by Real Madrid, sealed their fate. Despite this, they have demonstrated sporadic resilience, scoring in five of their last seven matches.

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Team Analysis and Key Players

Girona’s attacking strength is highlighted by their 78 goals this season, with a remarkable contribution from Artem Dovbyk, who has netted 21 times. The Ukrainian forward’s form has been pivotal, and his ability to find the net will be crucial against Granada. Midfield dynamo Aleix Garcia, with his vision and passing accuracy, orchestrates the play, while Viktor Tsygankov and Savio add flair and creativity.

Defensively, Girona have shown solidity, although recent matches have seen them concede goals. The backline, marshalled by experienced campaigners like Eric Garcia and Daley Blind, will aim to secure a clean sheet to end the season on a high.

Granada, on the other hand, have struggled offensively, scoring just 38 goals. Myrto Uzuni has been a bright spot with 11 goals, while Bryan Zaragoza and Lucas Boye have chipped in occasionally. Defensively, they have been porous, conceding 72 goals, the highest in the league. Their reliance on experienced players like Raul Fernandez in goal and the defensive work of Bruno Mendez has not sufficed to stave off relegation.

Tactical Dynamics and Gameplay

Girona are expected to dominate possession, utilising their high pass accuracy (87.7%) and ball retention skills. Their ability to create chances, averaging 12.6 shots per game, with 4.9 on target, suggests they will pressure Granada’s fragile defence continuously. Michel’s tactics often involve high pressing and quick transitions, exploiting spaces behind the opposition’s defence.

Granada will likely adopt a more cautious approach, aiming to counter-attack using the pace of their wingers and the physical presence of Boye up front. However, their inability to maintain possession (46%) and a high number of defensive errors suggest they will struggle against Girona’s relentless attack.

Key Areas and Player Duels

The midfield battle will be crucial, with Aleix Garcia and Yangel Herrera orchestrating Girona’s play against Granada’s Gerard Gumbau and Gonzalo Villar. The flank duels will also be significant, with Tsygankov and Savio likely to challenge Granada’s full-backs.

Managerial Analysis

Michel has effectively managed Girona’s rise, demonstrating tactical flexibility and motivational prowess. His ability to adapt and inspire his squad has been central to their success. In contrast, Sandoval’s short tenure at Granada has been challenging, marked by tactical inconsistencies and an inability to galvanise his squad.

Predictions

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  1. Best Bet: Girona to Win with Both Teams Scoring Girona’s offensive capabilities, combined with Granada’s defensive vulnerabilities, make a home win with both teams scoring a solid bet. Girona have scored in almost every home game, while Granada have managed to find the net in several recent away fixtures, despite their poor form.
  2. Correct Score: Girona 4-1 Granada Girona’s attacking form, particularly at home, suggests they will score multiple goals. Given Granada’s defensive frailties and Girona’s occasional lapses in concentration, a 4-1 scoreline seems plausible.
  3. Goalscorer Prediction: Artem Dovbyk to Score Anytime Dovbyk’s goal-scoring prowess, with 21 goals this season, makes him the standout candidate to find the net. His ability to exploit defensive weaknesses and his clinical finishing will be key.
  4. Corner Prediction: Girona to Have More Corners Girona’s attacking style often results in a high number of corners (4.2 per game), whereas Granada’s defensive stance and lower possession stats lead to fewer corners. Girona should dominate this aspect of the game.
  5. Innovative Market: Total Shots on Target for Girona Over 5.5 Girona’s offensive statistics, averaging 4.9 shots on target per game, combined with Granada’s defensive weaknesses, suggest they will surpass this mark. Expect a barrage of shots as Girona aim to finish the season strongly.
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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.