Girona vs Alaves predictions for this game in Spain’s La Liga. Girona seeks their 14th win in their remarkable La Liga season as they host Alaves at Estadi Montilivi on Monday evening. Will they succeed and consolidate their leadership? Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.
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Match Live Monday, 18th December at 8:00 pm In:
Girona vs Alaves Predictions
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La Liga Leaders Girona Eye Continuation of Fairytale Season Against Alaves
Key Stats
– Artem Dovbyk has scored eight league goals this season.
– Alaves have the joint-second worst scoring record in the division.
In the upcoming La Liga encounter at Estadi Montilivi, Girona, the surprise leaders, face a middle-of-the-table Alaves. Girona’s remarkable ascent to the top, with 41 points from 16 matches, has been one of the season’s standout stories. Alaves, sitting 13th with 16 points, present an interesting challenge, albeit the hosts are clear favourites given their current form.
Our Suggested Best Value Bet For This Match
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Best Value Bet Rationale
Alaves, struggling for consistency, will face a stiff challenge against Girona’s offensive might. Despite securing a return to La Liga, Alaves have found it hard to score, managing only 14 goals in 16 matches, a statistic that places them among the lowest scorers in the division.
The prediction of Artem Dovbyk to score first at odds of 10/3, boosted from 3/1 by Bet365, is a value bet for several reasons. Dovbyk’s scoring frequency of a goal every 112 minutes, combined with his 0.5 goals per game ratio, highlights his efficiency in front of goal. His recent performances, including a goal against Barcelona and three goals in his last four league appearances, demonstrate his current form and confidence.
Moreover, Girona’s attacking style and their ability to create big chances, averaging 3.6 per game, increase the likelihood of Dovbyk finding the net. His positioning and ability to convert chances from inside the box, with eight goals from 34 attempts, make him a prime candidate to open the scoring against an Alaves side that has been vulnerable defensively.
Given these factors, along with Girona’s impressive home form and Alaves’ struggles on the road, betting on Dovbyk to score first offers a compelling opportunity for value. At the moment of writing, these odds are subject to change, and terms and conditions apply.
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Girona’s Impressive Campaign: Girona’s season has been nothing short of spectacular. Their recent victory over Barcelona was a testament to their attacking prowess, and they lead La Liga in goals scored with 38. Michel’s side, unbeaten since their loss to Real Madrid, have turned their home ground into a fortress, with only one draw marring their otherwise perfect record post that defeat.
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Alaves’ Struggle for Consistency: In contrast, Alaves have had a mixed season since their promotion. They’ve struggled for goals, with just 14 in 16 games, highlighting a significant area for improvement. However, they have shown resilience, particularly in their ability to grind out results, as evidenced by their four wins and four draws.
Match Dynamics and Tactical Analysis: Girona’s high-scoring nature, coupled with Alaves’ defensive frailties, suggests a game where the hosts will dominate possession and create numerous chances. The key battle could be in the midfield, where Girona’s creative forces will look to unlock a stubborn Alaves defence.
Girona’s Missing Links: Girona will miss key players like Yangel Herrera and Cristhian Stuani, but their depth has been a highlight this season. Ivan Martin is expected to step up in Herrera’s absence, while Artem Dovbyk, with eight league goals, will be the focal point of their attack.
Alaves’ Team News: Alaves will miss the services of Aleksandar Sedlar and Giuliano Simeone due to injuries. Luis Rioja and Ianis Hagi are expected to be crucial in their setup, with Samu Omorodion leading the line.
Key Duels and Gameplay Prediction: The midfield battle will be crucial. Girona’s ability to control the game’s tempo and create scoring opportunities will be key. Alaves might adopt a counter-attacking approach, looking to exploit any gaps left by Girona’s forward pushes.
Improvement Suggestions: Girona could improve defensively, having conceded in their last seven matches. Alaves, on the other hand, need to find more consistency in their attacking play.
Managerial Tactics: Michel’s tactical acumen has been a highlight for Girona, while Luis Garcia needs to address Alaves’ goal-scoring woes.
Expected Lineups:
- Girona: Gazzaniga; E Garcia, D Lopez, Blind; Couto, Martin, A Garcia, Gutierrez; Tsygankov, Dovbyk, Savio.
- Alaves: Sivera; Gorosabel, Tenaglia, Marin, Lopez; Rioja, Blanco, Guridi, Rebbach; Hagi; Omorodion.
Commentary on Lineups: Girona’s lineup, despite missing key players, looks formidable, especially in attack. Alaves’ lineup suggests a focus on defensive solidity, with Omorodion as the key forward.
Predictions:
- Win-Draw-Win Market: Girona to win. Their current form and home advantage make them the outright favourites.
- Correct Score Prediction: Girona 2-1 Alaves. Girona’s attacking flair, combined with Alaves’ resilience, points towards a close but high-scoring match.
- Goalscorer Prediction: Artem Dovbyk to score. His recent form and knack for finding the back of the net make him a likely candidate.
- Corner Prediction: Girona to get more corners. Given their attacking style, Girona is likely to force more corners.
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