Gimnasia vs Independiente Prediction

Gimnasia vs Independiente predictions for this Argentina Primeira Division affair at the at the Juan Carmelo Zerillo Stadium on Friday. Only three points separates these two teams, who will prevail? Read on for all our free betting tips and predictions.

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Gimnasia vs Independiente Predictions


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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Gimnasia La Plata on the Verge of Triumph

Key Stats
– Gimnasia have an impressive home record, losing only once in their past nine league games while securing five victories and three draws.
– Independiente have struggled on the road, failing to secure a win in their past ten away games with five losses and five draws.
– Gimnasia’s recent game against Newell’s Old Boys saw them scoring two goals within 25 minutes despite having only 35% ball possession.

The Argentine Primera Division is set for another exciting matchup as seventeenth-placed Gimnasia La Plata gear up to face off against Independiente, currently occupying the 22nd position. A mere three points divide the teams as they head into Friday’s showdown at Juan Carmelo Zerillo Stadium.

The Tale of the Teams

Both Gimnasia and Independiente are situated in the lower half of the league table but have produced some captivating performances recently. Gimnasia presented an engrossing draw against Newell’s Old Boys in their latest encounter, while Independiente celebrated a slender victory over Huracan. These matches, however, have not altered their overall league standings substantially.


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Gimnasia’s clash with Newell’s Old Boys witnessed an impressive initial performance, with goals from Benjamin Dominguez and Cristian Tarragona propelling them to a 2-0 lead in the first 25 minutes. Despite maintaining only 35% of ball possession, they executed a stunning 13 shots. But their lead slipped away in the face of Newell’s Old Boys’ attacks on either side of half-time. As a result, Gimnasia enters the forthcoming contest with Independiente on a three-match winless streak across all competitions.

Out of their last seven games, Gimnasia have managed a single win, with two losses and four draws. This is compounded by their struggle to find the back of the net in four out of their last six league clashes. This goal-scoring drought partly explains why only six teams in the Primera Division have scored fewer than Sebastian Romero’s squad this year.

On a brighter note, Gimnasia can draw strength from their impressive home record. At Juan Carmelo Zerillo Stadium, they have suffered a loss only once in their past nine league matches, securing five victories and three draws.

The Independent Struggle

As for Independiente, their initial stretch of the 2023 season didn’t promise much, marked by a lone victory in 13 games. Their record during this period included a depressing series of seven draws and five defeats. However, the Red Devils have gradually improved their performance with four wins, two draws, and three defeats in their subsequent nine games.

Notwithstanding their recent home victories, Independiente’s away form leaves much to be desired. They’ve conceded a minimum of two goals in five out of their last six away matches, lost five, and drawn blanks in three. Their overall away record shows zero wins in the past ten league games, with five draws and five losses. Independiente’s scoring drought on foreign soil is evident, with goals missing in six of these matches.

The Teams’ Lineup and Strategy

Entering the match, Gimnasia’s long-term absentees, Lautaro Chavez and Matias Miranda, won’t be available due to injuries. The responsibility will rest on the shoulders of Nicolas Colazo and Guillermo Enrique, who will handle the left-back and right-back roles respectively. Cristian Tarragona will spearhead the attack, supported by Benjamin Dominguez, Alan Lescano, and Franco Torres.

Independiente, on the other hand, will be without attacking midfielder Tomas Pozzo and left winger Rodrigo Marquez due to injuries. Their 4-4-2 formation will likely feature Matias Gimenez Rojas partnering with Martin Cauteruccio in the forward line.

Predictions and Justifications

Considering Independiente’s poor away record, we anticipate Gimnasia to end the Red Devils’ winless streak, inflicting upon them a fourth successive away defeat. Our correct score prediction for the outcome is a 2-1 victory for Gimnasia, justified by Independiente’s habit of conceding at least two goals in five out of their last six away games. Moreover, the robust home record of Gimnasia further substantiates this prediction. Gimnasia’s last nine home games have included five wins, only one loss, and three draws.

We also predict both teams to score in this encounter. While Gimnasia have struggled to find the net consistently, they managed to put two past Newell’s Old Boys in their last game. On the other hand, Independiente have shown a knack for finding goals at critical moments, like their last-minute winner against Huracan.


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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

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Luca Semproni
Luca Semproni was born in Italy and loves Italian football to the core. A well-known Youtuber in the tipping space, he has collaborated with BettingTips4You for several years, providing great tips, especially on the Italian football and European Cups. A disillusioned Roma fan!