Gibraltar vs Scotland predictions for this friendly at the Estadio do Algarve. Scotland, bound for Euro 2024 finals, aim to end their winless streak against Gibraltar on Monday at Estadio Algarve. Read on for out free match and betting tips
Friendlies | Jun 3, 2024 at 5pm UK at Estadio Do Algarve
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Gibraltar vs Scotland Predictions
Scotland Seek to End Winless Streak Against Gibraltar: A Tactical Breakdown
Key Stats
– Gibraltar have failed to score in their last 12 matches.
– Scotland have conceded 19 goals in their last seven games.
– Scotland have averaged 2.1 goals per game in their recent qualifiers.
On Monday evening, Scotland will be looking to end their prolonged winless streak when they face Gibraltar at the Estadio Algarve. This friendly match provides an opportunity for Steve Clarke’s men to regain some confidence ahead of the Euro 2024 finals, where they will compete against some of Europe’s finest teams.
Match Preview
Scotland’s qualification journey for Euro 2024 was a testament to their resilience and capability, having secured their spot with a series of impressive victories last year. Their triumph over Spain, in particular, showcased their potential to compete with elite teams. However, recent performances have been less than encouraging, with a worrying seven-game winless run, including heavy defeats to the Netherlands and a narrow loss to Northern Ireland. This form has raised concerns about Scotland’s preparedness for the Euros.
The Tartan Army’s defence has been particularly fragile, conceding 19 goals in their last seven matches. Injuries to key players have further compounded their problems. The absence of striker Lyndon Dykes, who was injured during training, adds to an already extensive injury list that includes Lewis Ferguson, Aaron Hickey, and Nathan Patterson.
Gibraltar, on the other hand, have endured a torrid time, finishing their European Championship qualifiers with demoralising defeats, including a 14-0 loss to France and a 6-0 defeat to the Netherlands. Their performance in the UEFA Nations League was equally dismal, leading to relegation after losing to Lithuania in the playouts. With 12 consecutive losses and no goals scored since the start of 2023, Gibraltar face an uphill battle to restore any semblance of pride in their upcoming matches.
Team News
For Scotland, the injury to Lyndon Dykes means that Che Adams is likely to spearhead the attack. The midfield will be orchestrated by Scott McTominay and Billy Gilmour, while John McGinn will provide creativity from an advanced position. The defence, marshalled by captain Andrew Robertson, will aim to rectify recent lapses and offer more solidity at the back.
Gibraltar will field a mix of experience and fresh faces, with veterans like Lee Casciaro and Liam Walker expected to start. The inclusion of young talents such as Chesterfield’s Liam Jessop and Manchester United’s James Scanlon adds a dynamic element to their squad, though the team’s overall prospects remain bleak given their recent form.
Expected Lineups
Gibraltar: Coleing; Jolley, Sergeant, Mouelhi, Olivero, J. Chipolina; Walker, Pozo, De Haro, Casciaro; De Barr
Scotland: Gunn; McCrorie, Hendry, Porteous, Robertson; McTominay, Gilmour; Forrest, McGinn, Christie; Adams
Analysis and Predictions
The forthcoming match between Scotland and Gibraltar is likely to be a one-sided affair, given the vast disparity in quality and recent form between the two sides. Scotland, despite their struggles, possess far superior talent and experience compared to Gibraltar. The key areas where the game could be decided include the midfield battle, where Scotland’s McTominay and Gilmour are expected to dominate possession and dictate the tempo.
Key Player Duels
- Che Adams vs. Gibraltar Defence: With Dykes unavailable, Adams will be the focal point of Scotland’s attack. His pace and finishing ability will be crucial against a Gibraltar defence that has been porous.
- Scott McTominay vs. Liam Walker: McTominay’s physical presence and ball-winning skills will be vital in stifling Gibraltar’s attempts to build play, while Walker will need to leverage his experience to influence proceedings for his side.
Gameplay Strategy
Scotland are expected to adopt a high-pressing game, looking to control possession and create numerous scoring opportunities. With Gibraltar likely to sit deep and defend in numbers, breaking through their lines will require patience and precision from Scotland’s midfield and forward players. Set-pieces could also be a significant source of goals for the Scots, given Gibraltar’s struggles in dealing with aerial threats.
Strengths and Weaknesses
Scotland’s Strengths:
- Midfield Dominance: The combination of McTominay, Gilmour, and McGinn provides a solid mix of defensive cover, creativity, and goal-scoring threat.
- Defensive Leadership: Robertson’s leadership at the back is crucial, although recent form suggests vulnerabilities that need addressing.
Scotland’s Weaknesses:
- Injury Concerns: The absence of several key players, particularly in attack and defence, could affect team cohesion.
- Recent Form: A seven-game winless streak has dented confidence, and they need a morale-boosting performance.
Gibraltar’s Strengths:
- Veteran Presence: Players like Lee Casciaro bring experience and leadership to the side.
- Set-Piece Potential: Gibraltar’s best chances may come from set-pieces given their difficulties in open play.
Gibraltar’s Weaknesses:
- Defensive Frailties: Conceding 48 goals in 12 games highlights their defensive issues.
- Lack of Goal Threat: Without a goal in their last 12 matches, finding the net remains a significant challenge.
Managerial Analysis
Steve Clarke (Scotland): Clarke has been credited with transforming Scotland into a competitive side, but his recent tactical decisions have come under scrutiny. His ability to motivate and organise his team will be crucial in reversing their current slump.
Julio Cesar Ribas (Gibraltar): Ribas faces an unenviable task with a squad lacking depth and quality. His emphasis on defensive organisation is understandable, but his team’s inability to score goals severely limits their chances of securing positive results.
Expected Goals Averages
Scotland have averaged 2.1 goals per game in their recent qualifiers, showing their ability to score, although they have struggled to replicate this form in friendlies. Gibraltar, meanwhile, have failed to score in their last 12 outings, underlining their offensive woes.
Betting Angles and Predictions
Given the data and form, several betting angles emerge for this fixture.
Best Bet: Scotland to Win and Over 3.5 Goals
Considering Scotland’s superior quality and Gibraltar’s defensive frailties, a comfortable victory for the Scots is expected. Combining this with over 3.5 goals offers value, given Gibraltar’s propensity to concede heavily.
Correct Score Prediction: Scotland 4-0 Gibraltar
A 4-0 scoreline aligns with Scotland’s need for a confidence-boosting performance and Gibraltar’s inability to score. This prediction accounts for Scotland easing off the pressure once a significant lead is established.
Goalscorer Prediction: Che Adams to Score Anytime
With Dykes out, Adams will be Scotland’s primary goal threat. His pace and finishing skills should see him find the net against a weak Gibraltar defence.
Corner Prediction: Scotland to Win the Most Corners
Scotland’s attacking play and Gibraltar’s defensive stance will likely result in a high corner count for the Scots. Expecting Scotland to win the most corners is a reasonable prediction.
Innovative Market: Total Shots on Target Over 6.5
Given Scotland’s expected dominance, betting on total shots on target over 6.5 provides an innovative angle. With Gibraltar expected to sit deep, Scotland will likely pepper the goal with attempts.
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